EBS Stock Analysis: Erste Bank | VI

Banks - Regional | VI, Austria | Market Cap: 44.706m EUR | 12M Return: 47.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Retail Banking, Commercial Lending, Digital Banking, Securities Services
Total Rating 35
Safety 44
Buy Signal -0.47
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: -5.9
Market Cap: 51.0B
Avg Turnover: 31.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.5%
VaR 5th Pctl5.34%
VaR vs Median6.22%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.32
Rel. Str. IBD77.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group62.7
Character TTM
Beta0.502
Beta Downside0.096
Hurst Exponent0.554
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD21.14%
CAGR/Max DD2.65
CAGR/Mean DD16.85
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EBS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.15, "2021-09": 1.25, "2021-12": 0.93, "2022-03": 1.05, "2022-06": 1.49, "2022-09": 1.2, "2022-12": 1.21, "2023-03": 1.39, "2023-06": 1.98, "2023-09": 1.9, "2023-12": 1.54, "2024-03": 1.87, "2024-06": 1.87, "2024-09": 2.14, "2024-12": 1.33, "2025-03": 1.82, "2025-06": 2.11, "2025-09": 2.2, "2025-12": 2.11, "2026-03": 2.15,
EPS CAGR: 10.55%
EPS Trend: 88.8%
Last SUE: -0.49
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of EBS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1957.9, 2021-09: 1920.9, 2021-12: 1891.91, 2022-03: 2045.251, 2022-06: 2075.6, 2022-09: 2076.2, 2022-12: 2206.912, 2023-03: 2495.1, 2023-06: 2655.5, 2023-09: 2681.7, 2023-12: 2556, 2024-03: 2780.465, 2024-06: 2728, 2024-09: 2771, 2024-12: 2782, 2025-03: 2790, 2025-06: 2843, 2025-09: null, 2025-12: 3028, 2026-03: 3792,
Rev. CAGR: 9.79%
Rev. Trend: 94.0%
Last SUE: -0.20
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +0.8% 14
Feb -2.5% 2
Mar -3.0% 28
Apr +0.6% 0
May -0.7% 11
Jun -0.4% 13
Jul +0.6% 22
Aug -3.0% 35
Sep +0.1% 8
Oct -0.6% 9
Nov +1.2% 12
Dec +0.2% 21

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: EBS Erste Bank

Erste Group Bank AG is an Austrian universal bank offering retail, corporate, and public sector financial services. Its product range spans deposit accounts, consumer and mortgage lending, commercial real estate finance, acquisition and leveraged finance, project finance, factoring, trade and supply chain finance (ErsteConfirming), FX hedging, cash management, and capital markets services (loan syndication, DCM, ECM). It also provides custody, brokerage, securities lending, and George, a digital retail banking platform.

Founded in 1819 and headquartered in Vienna, Erste Group is one of the largest banking groups in Central and Eastern Europe, with operations in Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Hungary, Croatia, and Serbia, plus selected international activities. As a GICS-classified Regional Bank and large-cap stock on the Vienna Stock Exchange, it combines traditional universal banking with a strong retail and digital presence across the CEE region.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • ECB rate cuts pressure net interest margins across CEE lending books
  • Czech and Romanian loan growth offsets Austrian mortgage weakness
  • George digital platform adoption drives down branch operating costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: 3.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 4.04b > Net Income 3.49b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (cannot be calculated)
Current Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct Total Current Assets and Liabilities)
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (388.4m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 3.08% > 50% (prev 3.09%; Δ -0.01% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.63 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.54b / Interest Expense TTM 8.82b)
What is the price of EBS shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 114.60 with a total of 232,091 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.78%, over one month by -0.26%, over three months by +14.26% and over the past year by +47.54%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 109.80 (which is 4.2% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is EBS a buy, sell or hold?

Erste Bank has no consensus analysts rating.

Erste Bank (EBS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 51.0b (44.7b EUR * 1.141 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.4306
P/E Forward = 5.0839
P/S = 3.6331
P/B = 1.6389
P/EG = 7.5674
Revenue TTM = 12.5b EUR
EBIT TTM = 5.54b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 6.19b EUR
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = unknown
 Net Debt = unknown
 Enterprise Value = 181.6m EUR (44.7b + (null Debt) - CCE 44.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.63 (Ebit TTM 5.54b / Interest Expense TTM 8.82b)
EV/FCF = 0.06x (Enterprise Value 181.6m / FCF TTM 3.29b)
 FCF Yield = 1.81k% (FCF TTM 3.29b / Enterprise Value 181.6m)
 FCF Margin = 26.39% (FCF TTM 3.29b / Revenue TTM 12.5b)
Net Margin = 28.00% (Net Income TTM 3.49b / Revenue TTM 12.5b)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 12.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.00 (Enterprise Value 181.6m / Total Assets 450b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 8.82b / Debt none)
 Taxrate = 21.53% (1.19b / 5.54b)
NOPAT = 4.34b (EBIT 5.54b * (1 - 21.53%))
 Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets 44.5b / Total Current Liabilities none)
 Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
 Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 6.19b)
 Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt none / FCF TTM 3.29b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 25.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.86% (Net Income 3.49b / Total Assets 450b)
RoE = 13.70% (Net Income TTM 3.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 25.4b)
 RoCE = unknown (EBIT 5.54b / Capital Employed )
 RoIC = unknown (NOPAT 4.34b, Invested Capital 0.0, EBIT 5.54b)
 WACC = 7.75% (E(44.7b)/V(44.7b) * Re(7.75%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 7.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -18.48 | Cagr: -1.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈3.29b ; Y1≈3.30b ; Y5≈3.50b
[DCF] Fair Price = 140.0 (EV 54.4b - Net Debt 0.0 = Equity 54.4b / Shares 388.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 88.78 | EPS CAGR: 10.55% | SUE: -0.49 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.01 | Revenue CAGR: 9.79% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg30d=+2.79% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.81 | Chg30d=+6.04% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.86 | Chg30d=+0.78% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+19.6% | GrowthRev=+35.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.98 | Chg30d=+0.84% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+11.4% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=4, down=0)