CFR Stock Analysis: Compagnie Financière | SW

Luxury Goods | SW, Switzerland | Market Cap: 113.502m CHF | 12M Return: 43.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Jewelry, Watches, Leather Goods, Writing Instruments
Total Rating 64
Safety 86
Buy Signal 0.75
Luxury Goods
Industry Rotation: -17.5
Market Cap: 139B
Avg Turnover: 167M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.8%
VaR 5th Pctl4.73%
VaR vs Median-3.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.13
Rel. Str. IBD82.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group85.5
Character TTM
Beta0.960
Beta Downside0.738
Hurst Exponent0.555
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.21%
CAGR/Max DD0.51
CAGR/Mean DD1.24

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +5.2% 15
Feb +1.7% 17
Mar -1.6% 36
Apr +0.3% 0
May +2.1% 14
Jun -1.1% 14
Jul -0.8% 22
Aug -1.1% 19
Sep -0.6% 8
Oct -0.2% 5
Nov +2.5% 11
Dec +0.1% 18

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CFR Compagnie Financière

Compagnie Financière Richemont SA is a Switzerland-based investment holding company focused on the global luxury goods sector. It operates through three reporting segments: Jewellery Maisons, Specialist Watchmakers, and Other, covering the design, manufacture, and distribution of jewelry, watches, leather goods, writing instruments, clothing, and accessories. The groups segment structure reflects the industrys wider split between hard luxury (jewellery and high-end timepieces) and soft luxury (fashion, leather goods, and accessories).

Richemonts portfolio includes leading maisons such as Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels in jewellery, prestige watchmakers including IWC Schaffhausen, Jaeger-LeCoultre, Panerai, Piaget, and Vacheron Constantin, as well as fashion and accessory brands such as Chloé, Montblanc, Peter Millar, and dunhill. Products are sold through a mix of directly operated retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and third-party wholesale distributors, a multi-channel model typical of the global luxury industry.

The company sells across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the broader Asia-Pacific region, including key luxury markets such as China, Hong Kong, Macau, Japan, and South Korea. Richemont was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Switzerland.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Jewellery Maisons outpace watchmakers on Cartier demand
  • China luxury demand recovery drives Asia Pacific sales
  • Gold price surge pressures jewellery segment gross margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 3.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 87.56% < 20% (prev 86.72%; Δ 0.84% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 4.86b > Net Income 3.49b
Net Debt (989.9m) to EBITDA (6.28b): 0.16 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.10 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (590.2m) vs 12m ago 0.82% < -2%
Gross Margin: 64.30% > 18% (prev 66.91%; Δ -2.61% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 53.62% > 50% (prev 52.19%; Δ 1.43% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.67b / Interest Expense TTM 323.6m)
Altman Z'' 6.48
A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 29.0b - Total Current Liabilities 9.38b) / Total Assets 42.8b
B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 17.6b / Total Assets 42.8b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 4.67b / Avg Total Assets 41.9b)
D: 1.30 (Book Value of Equity 24.2b / Total Liabilities 18.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.48 = AAA
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 1.71b/1.64b, Revenue 22.5b/21.4b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 66.91% / 64.30%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 22.5b / 21.4b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 3.49b - CFO 4.86b) / TA 42.8b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CFR shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at CHF 193.95 with a total of 634,953 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.42%, over one month by +2.13%, over three months by +28.57% and over the past year by +43.70%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 184.20 (which is 5% or 2 ATR below the current price).

Is CFR a buy, sell or hold?

Compagnie Financière has no consensus analysts rating.

Compagnie Financière (CFR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 139b (114b CHF * 1.2277 CHF.USD)
Market Cap EUR = 122b (114b CHF * 1.0755 CHF.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 35.422
P/E Forward = 28.4091
P/S = 5.0625
P/B = 5.022
P/EG = 2.178
Revenue TTM = 22.5b EUR
EBIT TTM = 4.67b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 6.28b EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.49b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.02b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.3b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.78b
Net Debt = 989.9m EUR (calculated: Debt 18.3b - CCE 17.3b)
Enterprise Value = 123b EUR (122b + Debt 18.3b - CCE 17.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.44 (Ebit TTM 4.67b / Interest Expense TTM 323.6m)
EV/FCF = 31.84x (Enterprise Value 123b / FCF TTM 3.86b)
FCF Yield = 3.14% (FCF TTM 3.86b / Enterprise Value 123b)
FCF Margin = 17.20% (FCF TTM 3.86b / Revenue TTM 22.5b)
Net Margin = 15.54% (Net Income TTM 3.49b / Revenue TTM 22.5b)
Gross Margin = 64.30% ((Revenue TTM 22.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.55% (prev 65.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.88 (Enterprise Value 123b / Total Assets 42.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.77% (Interest Expense 323.6m / Debt 18.3b)
Taxrate = 20.37% (887.7m / 4.36b)
NOPAT = 3.72b (EBIT 4.67b * (1 - 20.37%))
Current Ratio = 3.10 (Total Current Assets 29.0b / Total Current Liabilities 9.38b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 18.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.16 (Net Debt 989.9m / EBITDA 6.28b)
Debt / FCF = 0.26 (Net Debt 989.9m / FCF TTM 3.86b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.33% (Net Income 3.49b / Total Assets 42.8b)
RoE = 15.80% (Net Income TTM 3.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.1b)
RoCE = 17.58% (EBIT 4.67b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.1b + L.T.Debt 4.49b))
RoIC = 9.97% (NOPAT 3.72b / Invested Capital 37.3b)
WACC = 8.32% (E(122b)/V(140b) * Re(9.36%) + D(18.3b)/V(140b) * Rd(1.77%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.88 | Cagr: 1.69%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.75% ; FCFF base≈3.68b ; Y1≈4.17b ; Y5≈5.94b
[DCF] Fair Price = 166.0 (EV 89.7b - Net Debt 989.9m = Equity 88.7b / Shares 534.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.56% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 26.12 | EPS CAGR: 1.50% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.29 | Revenue CAGR: 3.87% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=6.12 | Chg30d=-0.22% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-3.3% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.34 | Chg30d=+5.06% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+20.0% | GrowthRev=+11.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=9, down=6)