SHOT Stock Analysis: Scandic Hotels (publ) | ST
Lodging | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 17.587m SEK | 12M Return: 5.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 23.8M
EPS Trend: 67.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 90.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Scandic Hotels Group AB (publ) operates and franchises hotels across eight European countries, including the Nordics, Ireland, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Poland. Its portfolio spans multiple brands, ranging from its flagship Scandic and Scandic Go labels to third-party franchises such as Hilton, Holiday Inn, Maldron, Indigo, Clayton, and Crowne Plaza, giving it exposure to various price points and guest segments. Founded in 1963 and headquartered in Stockholm, the company trades on Nasdaq Stockholm under the ticker SHOT and sits within the Consumer Discretionary sector as a mid-cap stock.
The hotel industry typically relies on a mix of directly owned, leased, managed, and franchised properties, with franchising serving as a key lever for asset-light growth. By operating under several brands, Scandic can target different traveler demographics-from economy to upscale-while sharing back-end functions such as distribution, loyalty programs, and procurement across its portfolio.
- Nordic leisure travel demand lifts RevPAR in peak season
- Energy and wage inflation pressure hotel operating margins
- Franchise expansion in Germany and Ireland accelerates portfolio growth
| Net Income: 726.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.55% < 20% (prev -23.33%; Δ 2.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 6.54b > Net Income 726.0m |
| Net Debt (44.5b) to EBITDA (6.12b): 7.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (215.1m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.86% > 18% (prev 73.06%; Δ -27.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 42.82% > 50% (prev 41.95%; Δ 0.87% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.85b / Interest Expense TTM 1.89b) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.19b - Total Current Liabilities 6.84b) / Total Assets 53.2b |
| B: -0.15 (Retained Earnings -8.19b / Total Assets 53.2b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.85b / Avg Total Assets 52.9b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 2.77b / Total Liabilities 50.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.65 = B |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 83.20 with a total of 178,561 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.84%, over one month by -8.22%, over three months by -7.46% and over the past year by +5.84%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 80.00 (which is 3.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Scandic Hotels (publ) has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 24.2582
P/S = 0.777
P/B = 6.1659
P/EG = 0.89
Revenue TTM = 22.6b SEK
EBIT TTM = 2.85b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 6.12b SEK
Long Term Debt = 990.0m SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.80b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 45.2b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 44.2b already included)
Net Debt = 44.5b SEK (calculated: Debt 45.2b - CCE 714.0m)
Enterprise Value = 62.1b SEK (17.6b + Debt 45.2b - CCE 714.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 2.85b / Interest Expense TTM 1.89b)
EV/FCF = 11.53x (Enterprise Value 62.1b / FCF TTM 5.38b)
FCF Yield = 8.67% (FCF TTM 5.38b / Enterprise Value 62.1b)
FCF Margin = 23.78% (FCF TTM 5.38b / Revenue TTM 22.6b)
Net Margin = 3.21% (Net Income TTM 726.0m / Revenue TTM 22.6b)
Gross Margin = 45.86% ((Revenue TTM 22.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.42% (prev 57.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 62.1b / Total Assets 53.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.18% (Interest Expense 1.89b / Debt 45.2b)
Taxrate = 21.00% (193.0m / 919.0m)
NOPAT = 2.25b (EBIT 2.85b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 2.19b / Total Current Liabilities 6.84b)
Debt / Equity = 16.34 (Debt 45.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.27 (Net Debt 44.5b / EBITDA 6.12b)
Debt / FCF = 8.26 (Net Debt 44.5b / FCF TTM 5.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.89b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.37% (Net Income 726.0m / Total Assets 53.2b)
RoE = 25.12% (Net Income TTM 726.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.89b)
RoCE = 73.50% (EBIT 2.85b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.89b + L.T.Debt 990.0m))
RoIC = 4.65% (NOPAT 2.25b / Invested Capital 48.5b)
WACC = 4.75% (E(17.6b)/V(62.8b) * Re(8.47%) + D(45.2b)/V(62.8b) * Rd(4.18%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 34.24 | Cagr: 5.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.62% ; FCFF base≈5.51b ; Y1≈5.27b ; Y5≈5.06b
[DCF] Fair Price = 162.8 (EV 79.5b - Net Debt 44.5b = Equity 35.0b / Shares 215.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -5.78% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 67.14 | EPS CAGR: 15.58% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.50 | Revenue CAGR: 1.16% | SUE: -2.60 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.50 | Chg30d=-5.41% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.73 | Chg30d=+0.70% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+101.0% | GrowthRev=+9.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.80 | Chg30d=+7.84% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+30.6% | GrowthRev=+31.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=1, down=1)