JM Stock Analysis: JM (publ) | ST

Residential Construction | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 7.850m SEK | 12M Return: -13.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Residential Housing, Rental Units, Property Development, Commercial Properties
Total Rating 16
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.32
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: -16.4
Market Cap: 812M
Avg Turnover: 32.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.9%
VaR 5th Pctl7.15%
VaR vs Median3.46%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Rel. Str. IBD22.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group27.5
Character TTM
Beta0.290
Beta Downside0.254
Hurst Exponent0.557
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD49.62%
CAGR/Max DD-0.15
CAGR/Mean DD-0.31
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 6.8, "2021-09": 4.8, "2021-12": 9.4, "2022-03": 5.2, "2022-06": 4.5, "2022-09": 4.4, "2022-12": 9, "2023-03": 4.8, "2023-06": 2.7, "2023-09": 5.5, "2023-12": -2.1, "2024-03": 1.2, "2024-06": 1.2, "2024-09": 0.6, "2024-12": 0.86, "2025-03": 0.8, "2025-06": 0.58, "2025-09": -0.1, "2025-12": -0.32, "2026-03": 2.28, "2026-06": 0.31,
EPS CAGR: -53.53%
EPS Trend: -73.8%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of JM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 4058, 2021-09: 3120, 2021-12: 4927, 2022-03: 3835, 2022-06: 3668, 2022-09: 3004, 2022-12: 5240, 2023-03: 4696, 2023-06: 3375, 2023-09: 4457, 2023-12: 3441, 2024-03: 2765, 2024-06: 4668, 2024-09: 2839, 2024-12: 4001, 2025-03: 2279, 2025-06: 3248, 2025-09: 2309, 2025-12: 2855, 2026-03: 2094, 2026-06: 2348,
Rev. CAGR: -17.87%
Rev. Trend: -96.3%
Last SUE: -0.59
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.3% 0
Feb -0.7% 2
Mar -2.7% 38
Apr +0.6% 0
May -0.2% 13
Jun +3.1% 2
Jul +4.9% 21
Aug -1.6% 6
Sep -0.2% 8
Oct -5.0% 21
Nov +3.5% 39
Dec +0.5% 19

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JM JM (publ)

JM AB (publ) is a Nordic homebuilder that constructs, develops, and sells residential housing across Sweden, Norway, and Finland. The company operates through five business segments: JM Residential Stockholm, JM Residential Sweden, JM Norway, JM Finland, and JM Property Development, covering the full residential value chain from land acquisition and project planning through construction, sales, and after-sale management.

Beyond building and selling homes, JM develops rental units, residential care facilities, and commercial properties, and provides economic, technical, and housing management services to tenant-owner associations. Its property management arm and Greater Stockholm-area contract works give it recurring-service exposure alongside the cyclical development business. JM was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden, and is classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary / Homebuilding sub-industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Riksbank rate cuts boost Swedish housing demand and order book
  • Construction cost inflation pressures JM housing gross margins
  • Stockholm and Norway residential segments drive Nordic revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: -112.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.80 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 105.7% < 20% (prev 80.67%; Δ 25.03% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -1.05b > Net Income -112.0m
Current Ratio: 1.61 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.5m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.78% > 18% (prev 12.36%; Δ -2.58% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 37.38% > 50% (prev 51.60%; Δ -14.22% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM -11.0m / Interest Expense TTM 223.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.69
A: 0.37 (Total Current Assets 26.7b - Total Current Liabilities 16.6b) / Total Assets 27.4b
B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 7.14b / Total Assets 27.4b)
C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -11.0m / Avg Total Assets 25.7b)
D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 7.85b / Total Liabilities 19.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.69 = AA
Beneish M -2.09
DSRI: 2.06 (Receivables 2.30b/1.43b, Revenue 9.61b/12.4b)
GMI: 1.26 (GM 12.36% / 9.78%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 0.78 (Revenue 9.61b / 12.4b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI -112.0m - CFO -1.05b) / TA 27.4b)
Beneish M = -2.09 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of JM shares?

As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 125.00 with a total of 135,524 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.21%, over one month by -4.14%, over three months by +7.67% and over the past year by -13.41%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 118.00 (which is 5.6% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is JM a buy, sell or hold?

JM (publ) has no consensus analysts rating.

JM (publ) (JM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 811.7m (7.85b SEK * 0.1034 SEK.USD)
P/E Forward = 15.1515
P/S = 0.8092
P/B = 1.008
P/EG = 1.5138
Revenue TTM = 9.61b SEK
EBIT TTM = -11.0m SEK
EBITDA TTM = 93.0m SEK
Long Term Debt = 128.0m SEK (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 13.2b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.7b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 556.0m
Net Debt = 13.7b SEK (calculated: Debt 14.7b - CCE 996.0m)
Enterprise Value = 21.6b SEK (7.85b + Debt 14.7b - CCE 996.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.05 (Ebit TTM -11.0m / Interest Expense TTM 223.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.61x (Enterprise Value 21.6b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
FCF Yield = 6.41% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Enterprise Value 21.6b)
FCF Margin = 14.39% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Revenue TTM 9.61b)
Net Margin = -1.17% (Net Income TTM -112.0m / Revenue TTM 9.61b)
Gross Margin = 9.78% ((Revenue TTM 9.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.80% (prev 9.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 21.6b / Total Assets 27.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.51% (Interest Expense 223.0m / Debt 14.7b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = -8.25m (EBIT -11.0m * (1 - 25.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 26.7b / Total Current Liabilities 16.6b)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 14.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 147.6 (Net Debt 13.7b / EBITDA 93.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.93 (Net Debt 13.7b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.44% (Net Income -112.0m / Total Assets 27.4b)
RoE = -1.41% (Net Income TTM -112.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.95b)
RoCE = -0.14% (EBIT -11.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.95b + L.T.Debt 128.0m))
 RoIC = -0.03% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.25m / Invested Capital 23.6b)
 WACC = 3.18% (E(7.85b)/V(22.6b) * Re(7.0%) + D(14.7b)/V(22.6b) * Rd(1.51%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈2.83b ; Y1≈2.48b ; Y5≈2.00b
[DCF] Fair Price = 285.6 (EV 32.1b - Net Debt 13.7b = Equity 18.4b / Shares 64.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -73.81 | EPS CAGR: -53.53% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -96.32 | Revenue CAGR: -17.87% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.44 | Chg30d=+315.48% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.30 | Chg30d=-16.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+343.6% | GrowthRev=+16.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.74 | Chg30d=-10.99% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+103.2% | GrowthRev=+12.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)