BUFAB Stock Analysis: Bufab Holding | ST

Industrial Distribution | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 26.289m SEK | 12M Return: 62.9% | SE0025010671 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Fasteners, Machined Parts, Hardware, Industrial Labels
Total Rating 73
Safety 89
Buy Signal 0.92
Industrial Distribution
Industry Rotation: +12.4
Market Cap: 2.65B
Avg Turnover: 30.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.19%
VaR vs Median2.16%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.57
Rel. Str. IBD88.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group87.1
Character TTM
Beta1.003
Beta Downside0.681
Hurst Exponent0.548
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.22%
CAGR/Max DD1.35
CAGR/Mean DD6.22
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BUFAB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.66, "2021-12": 3.12, "2022-03": 1.02, "2022-06": 3.43, "2022-09": 0.94, "2022-12": 3.55, "2023-03": 0.91, "2023-06": 0.93, "2023-09": 0.37, "2023-12": 0.17, "2024-03": 0.6, "2024-06": 0.61, "2024-09": 0.6, "2024-12": 0.37, "2025-03": 0.76, "2025-06": 0.8, "2025-09": 0.78, "2025-12": 0.57, "2026-03": 0.89, "2026-06": 1.27,
EPS CAGR: 3.03%
EPS Trend: 8.5%
Last SUE: 1.12
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of BUFAB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1425, 2021-12: 1599, 2022-03: 2002, 2022-06: 2241, 2022-09: 2122, 2022-12: 2073, 2023-03: 2386, 2023-06: 2280, 2023-09: 2071, 2023-12: 1943, 2024-03: 2149, 2024-06: 2142, 2024-09: 1880, 2024-12: 1863, 2025-03: 2184, 2025-06: 2039, 2025-09: 1917, 2025-12: 1931, 2026-03: 2222, 2026-06: 2265,
Rev. CAGR: -2.45%
Rev. Trend: -67.8%
Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.5% 19
Feb +1.0% 25
Mar -3.2% 42
Apr +6.2% 17
May -0.9% 15
Jun +0.4% 10
Jul +5.9% 22
Aug -3.1% 34
Sep -5.7% 21
Oct +0.4% 2
Nov +5.2% 30
Dec +1.5% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BUFAB Bufab Holding

Bufab AB is a Swedish trading company that supplies C-parts and technical components, offering integrated solutions in procurement, quality assurance, and logistics. Its product range includes fasteners (bolts, screws, nuts, washers, rivets, pins, and clamps), cables, springs, electronic fasteners, machined and forged parts, access hardware, magnets, sheet metal, tools, and wire products. The company also provides industrial labels, masking solutions, foams, gaskets, and magnet-related services such as magnetization and assembly, and markets stainless steel fasteners under the BUMAX brand.

Bufab serves a broad set of end markets, including aerospace, automotive, construction, defense, energy, furniture and interior, pharma and biopharma, and railway, with operations across Sweden, the Nordics, Germany, the UK, the US, and other international markets. Founded in 1977 and headquartered in Värnamo, Sweden, the company operates in the Trading Companies & Distributors sub-industry, where the business model typically centers on managing complex, multi-supplier sourcing of low-cost, high-volume components for industrial customers.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • European industrial weakness pressures C-parts demand
  • Bolt-on acquisitions sustain growth above organic market rate
  • Steel raw material costs pressure gross margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 700.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.97 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 36.86% < 20% (prev 37.50%; Δ -0.64% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.02b > Net Income 700.0m
Net Debt (4.11b) to EBITDA (1.41b): 2.92 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.59 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (189.6m) vs 12m ago -0.37% < -2%
Gross Margin: 33.13% > 18% (prev 30.45%; Δ 2.67% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 88.08% > 50% (prev 88.87%; Δ -0.79% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 169.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.73
A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 5.00b - Total Current Liabilities 1.93b) / Total Assets 9.96b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 3.54b / Total Assets 9.96b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.09b / Avg Total Assets 9.46b)
D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 4.24b / Total Liabilities 5.73b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.73 = AA
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 2.04b/1.80b, Revenue 8.34b/7.97b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 30.45% / 33.13%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.40)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 8.34b / 7.97b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 700.0m - CFO 1.02b) / TA 9.96b)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of BUFAB shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 144.00 with a total of 134,225 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.90%, over one month by +6.98%, over three months by +13.74% and over the past year by +62.88%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 136.50 (which is 5.2% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).

Is BUFAB a buy, sell or hold?

Bufab Holding has no consensus analysts rating.

Bufab Holding (BUFAB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.65b (26.3b SEK * 0.1008 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 37.561
P/S = 3.1536
P/B = 6.2254
P/EG = 2.48
Revenue TTM = 8.34b SEK
EBIT TTM = 1.09b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 1.41b SEK
Long Term Debt = 3.34b SEK (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 278.0m SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.38b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 617.0m
Net Debt = 4.11b SEK (calculated: Debt 4.38b - CCE 273.0m)
Enterprise Value = 30.4b SEK (26.3b + Debt 4.38b - CCE 273.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.43 (Ebit TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 169.0m)
EV/FCF = 32.00x (Enterprise Value 30.4b / FCF TTM 950.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.13% (FCF TTM 950.0m / Enterprise Value 30.4b)
FCF Margin = 11.40% (FCF TTM 950.0m / Revenue TTM 8.34b)
Net Margin = 8.40% (Net Income TTM 700.0m / Revenue TTM 8.34b)
Gross Margin = 33.13% ((Revenue TTM 8.34b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.57b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.16% (prev 32.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.05 (Enterprise Value 30.4b / Total Assets 9.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.86% (Interest Expense 169.0m / Debt 4.38b)
Taxrate = 23.69% (217.0m / 916.0m)
NOPAT = 829.5m (EBIT 1.09b * (1 - 23.69%))
Current Ratio = 2.59 (Total Current Assets 5.00b / Total Current Liabilities 1.93b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 4.38b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.92 (Net Debt 4.11b / EBITDA 1.41b)
Debt / FCF = 4.32 (Net Debt 4.11b / FCF TTM 950.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.40% (Net Income 700.0m / Total Assets 9.96b)
RoE = 16.99% (Net Income TTM 700.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.12b)
RoCE = 14.57% (EBIT 1.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.12b + L.T.Debt 3.34b))
RoIC = 10.32% (NOPAT 829.5m / Invested Capital 8.04b)
WACC = 8.57% (E(26.3b)/V(30.7b) * Re(9.51%) + D(4.38b)/V(30.7b) * Rd(3.86%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.96 | Cagr: 104.1%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.25% ; FCFF base≈877.2m ; Y1≈1.01b ; Y5≈1.48b
[DCF] Fair Price = 91.35 (EV 21.4b - Net Debt 4.11b = Equity 17.3b / Shares 189.7m; r=8.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 8.52 | EPS CAGR: 3.03% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -67.79 | Revenue CAGR: -2.45% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+10.91% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.54 | Chg30d=+2.87% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+80.7% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.31 | Chg30d=+5.50% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+17.1% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +73% (up=8, down=0)