ALIV-SDB Stock Analysis: Autoliv | ST
Auto Parts | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 83.564m SEK | 12M Return: 4.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 49.3M
EPS Trend: 79.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 80.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autoliv, Inc., headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden and founded in 1953, is a global supplier of passive safety systems to the automotive industry, operating across the Americas, Europe, China, and Asia. Its product portfolio includes airbag modules and inflators, side-impact airbag systems, pedestrian protection systems, seatbelts, steering wheels, and battery cut-off switches, with growing offerings in mobility safety solutions for commercial vehicles, motorcycles, and bicycles. The company serves primarily automotive OEMs (original equipment manufacturers).
Passive safety systems, such as airbags and seatbelts, are engineered to mitigate occupant injury during a crash and are a regulated, safety-critical component of vehicle design, closely tied to crash-test performance ratings issued by bodies such as Euro NCAP and the U.S. NHTSA. Suppliers in this segment typically operate on long-cycle, model-based supply agreements with automakers, where content per vehicle can vary depending on safety specifications and trim level.
- Global light vehicle production growth lifts passive safety system orders
- China automotive demand recovery supports Asia Pacific segment revenue
- Steel and copper cost inflation pressures margins against OEM pricing concessions
| Net Income: 708.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.92 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.97% < 20% (prev -2.96%; Δ 3.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.19b > Net Income 708.1m |
| Net Debt (2.09b) to EBITDA (1.57b): 1.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (73.2m) vs 12m ago -5.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.30% > 18% (prev 18.97%; Δ 0.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 136.2% > 50% (prev 122.2%; Δ 14.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 104.5m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.01b - Total Current Liabilities 3.90b) / Total Assets 8.50b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 2.25b / Total Assets 8.50b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Avg Total Assets 8.49b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 6.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.28 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 2.39b/2.59b, Revenue 11.6b/10.4b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 18.97% / 19.30%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 11.6b / 10.4b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 708.1m - CFO 1.19b) / TA 8.50b) |
| Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 1145.00 with a total of 24,678 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.35%, over one month by +1.69%, over three months by +6.80% and over the past year by +4.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1104.70 (which is 3.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Autoliv has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap USD = 8.64b (83.6b SEK * 0.1034 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.8119
P/E Forward = 11.0619
P/S = 7.5425
P/B = 3.4668
P/EG = 0.8452
Revenue TTM = 11.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 350.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 151.0m
Net Debt = 2.09b USD (calculated: Debt 2.47b - CCE 377.0m)
Enterprise Value = 10.7b USD (8.64b + Debt 2.47b - CCE 377.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.82 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 104.5m)
EV/FCF = 13.69x (Enterprise Value 10.7b / FCF TTM 784.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.31% (FCF TTM 784.1m / Enterprise Value 10.7b)
FCF Margin = 6.79% (FCF TTM 784.1m / Revenue TTM 11.6b)
Net Margin = 6.13% (Net Income TTM 708.1m / Revenue TTM 11.6b)
Gross Margin = 19.30% ((Revenue TTM 11.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.11% (prev 20.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 10.7b / Total Assets 8.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.23% (Interest Expense 104.5m / Debt 2.47b)
Taxrate = 24.09% (242.9m / 1.01b)
NOPAT = 858.6m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 24.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 4.01b / Total Current Liabilities 3.90b)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 2.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.33 (Net Debt 2.09b / EBITDA 1.57b)
Debt / FCF = 2.67 (Net Debt 2.09b / FCF TTM 784.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.34% (Net Income 708.1m / Total Assets 8.50b)
RoE = 27.62% (Net Income TTM 708.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.56b)
RoCE = 26.61% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.56b + L.T.Debt 1.69b))
RoIC = 18.33% (NOPAT 858.6m / Invested Capital 4.68b)
WACC = 7.40% (E(8.64b)/V(11.1b) * Re(8.59%) + D(2.47b)/V(11.1b) * Rd(4.23%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.36 | Cagr: -4.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈650.5m ; Y1≈745.6m ; Y5≈1.10b
[DCF] Fair Price = 196.9 (EV 16.5b - Net Debt 2.09b = Equity 14.4b / Shares 73.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 79.78 | EPS CAGR: 11.50% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.15 | Revenue CAGR: 4.27% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.29 | Chg30d=-8.41% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.76 | Chg30d=-5.04% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-0.9% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.94 | Chg30d=-1.32% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+22.2% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -58% (up=1, down=8)