ALFA Stock Analysis: Alfa Laval | ST
Specialty Industrial Machinery | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 236.505m SEK | 12M Return: 37% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 276M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: -3
Rev. Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alfa Laval AB is a Swedish industrial company founded in 1883 and headquartered in Lund, Sweden. It specializes in heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions, serving as a key supplier of specialized components to industrial customers rather than a finished-goods producer.
The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean. Its product portfolio is broad and includes plate heat exchangers, centrifugal pumps, separators, decanters, tank cleaning equipment, hygienic fittings for sanitary processes, ballast water management systems, exhaust gas cleaning systems, and various boiler types. End markets span energy and utilities, marine and transportation, food, dairy and beverage, pharma and biotech, water and wastewater, and home and personal care.
Alfa Lavals business model is closely tied to industrial capital expenditure cycles and environmental regulation. Demand drivers include the energy transition and demand for energy-efficient heat exchange technology, IMO-driven adoption of ballast water treatment and exhaust gas cleaning in shipping, and hygiene/automation requirements in pharmaceutical and food production.
- Marine scrubber orders rebound as global shipping cycle accelerates
- Data center cooling demand lifts Energy division heat exchanger backlog
- Food and Pharma aftermarket revenue mix expands group operating margins
| Net Income: 8.19b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.11% < 20% (prev 16.70%; Δ -9.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 9.06b > Net Income 8.19b |
| Net Debt (19.8b) to EBITDA (14.8b): 1.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (413.3m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.31% > 18% (prev 36.16%; Δ 0.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.96% > 50% (prev 74.54%; Δ -2.58% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.0b / Interest Expense TTM 547.0m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 46.9b - Total Current Liabilities 41.9b) / Total Assets 105b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 44.1b / Total Assets 105b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 12.0b / Avg Total Assets 97.9b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 45.4b / Total Liabilities 58.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.32 = A |
| DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 23.5b/19.9b, Revenue 70.4b/67.8b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 36.16% / 36.31%) |
| AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 70.4b / 67.8b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 8.19b - CFO 9.06b) / TA 105b) |
| Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 567.40 with a total of 343,922 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.90%, over one month by +0.28%, over three months by +5.00% and over the past year by +36.99%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 536.50 (which is 5.4% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Alfa Laval has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 28.8553
P/E Forward = 25.0627
P/S = 3.3782
P/B = 4.9193
P/EG = 3.2073
Revenue TTM = 70.4b SEK
EBIT TTM = 12.0b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 14.8b SEK
Long Term Debt = 8.75b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.16b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.5b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.48b
Net Debt = 19.8b SEK (calculated: Debt 24.5b - CCE 4.63b)
Enterprise Value = 256b SEK (237b + Debt 24.5b - CCE 4.63b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.94 (Ebit TTM 12.0b / Interest Expense TTM 547.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.53x (Enterprise Value 256b / FCF TTM 6.17b)
FCF Yield = 2.41% (FCF TTM 6.17b / Enterprise Value 256b)
FCF Margin = 8.76% (FCF TTM 6.17b / Revenue TTM 70.4b)
Net Margin = 11.63% (Net Income TTM 8.19b / Revenue TTM 70.4b)
Gross Margin = 36.31% ((Revenue TTM 70.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.30% (prev 38.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 256b / Total Assets 105b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.23% (Interest Expense 547.0m / Debt 24.5b)
Taxrate = 25.75% (2.86b / 11.1b)
NOPAT = 8.91b (EBIT 12.0b * (1 - 25.75%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 46.9b / Total Current Liabilities 41.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 24.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.34 (Net Debt 19.8b / EBITDA 14.8b)
Debt / FCF = 3.22 (Net Debt 19.8b / FCF TTM 6.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.37% (Net Income 8.19b / Total Assets 105b)
RoE = 18.42% (Net Income TTM 8.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.5b)
RoCE = 22.55% (EBIT 12.0b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.5b + L.T.Debt 8.75b))
RoIC = 13.01% (NOPAT 8.91b / Invested Capital 68.5b)
WACC = 7.66% (E(237b)/V(261b) * Re(8.28%) + D(24.5b)/V(261b) * Rd(2.23%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 40.62 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈6.94b ; Y1≈6.09b ; Y5≈4.92b
[DCF] Fair Price = 143.0 (EV 79.0b - Net Debt 19.8b = Equity 59.1b / Shares 413.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.70 | EPS CAGR: 12.45% | SUE: -1.29 | # QB: -3
Revenue Correlation: 96.47 | Revenue CAGR: 4.21% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.55 | Chg30d=-1.32% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.19 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.29 | Chg30d=+3.94% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+14.0% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +77% (up=10, down=0)