HO Stock Analysis: Thales S.A. | PA

Aerospace & Defense | PA, France | Market Cap: 48.577m EUR | 12M Return: 7.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Defence Systems, Aerospace Avionics, Digital Security, Satellite Technologies
Total Rating 48
Safety 48
Buy Signal -0.26
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +6.7
Market Cap: 55.4B
Avg Turnover: 53.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.47%
VaR vs Median4.44%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.19
Rel. Str. IBD37.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group37.7
Character TTM
Beta-0.259
Beta Downside-0.505
Hurst Exponent0.512
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.55%
CAGR/Max DD1.24
CAGR/Mean DD3.00

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Extended 1w

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.1% 26
Feb +4.4% 43
Mar +3.9% 18
Apr +0.1% 0
May -0.1% 0
Jun +0.1% 10
Jul -1.3% 22
Aug -1.2% 12
Sep -0.8% 23
Oct -6.5% 21
Nov -5.0% 44
Dec -0.1% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: HO Thales S.A.

Thales S.A. is a French-headquartered technology group (founded 1893, Meudon) that operates across three core pillars: defence and security, aerospace and space, and digital identity and security. It was originally known as Thomson-CSF before adopting the Thales name in 2000.

Its defence offering spans air defence systems, C4ISR command-and-control solutions, naval combat and underwater warfare platforms, missile electronics, robotics, and unmanned systems for air, land, and maritime use. The aerospace and space segment covers air traffic management, avionics, in-flight connectivity, satellite-based technologies, and microwave, laser, and microelectronic subsystems.

The digital identity and security business serves commercial clients in banking, payments, biometric identification, secure IoT, and access management, making Thales one of the few large European players with significant exposure to both government defence procurement and private-sector digital security markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • European defence spending surges amid geopolitical tensions boost backlog
  • Avionics and air traffic management revenue rises on aerospace recovery
  • Digital Identity divestiture frees capital for defence acquisitions and shareholder returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 1.50b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.40 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -19.85% < 20% (prev -21.12%; Δ 1.27% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 4.69b > Net Income 1.50b
Net Debt (2.16b) to EBITDA (3.51b): 0.61 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (206.0m) vs 12m ago -0.18% < -2%
Gross Margin: 26.86% > 18% (prev 26.11%; Δ 0.75% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 57.85% > 50% (prev 54.90%; Δ 2.95% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.79 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.42b / Interest Expense TTM 224.1m)
Altman Z'' 0.33
A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 21.9b - Total Current Liabilities 26.4b) / Total Assets 40.0b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 4.88b / Total Assets 40.0b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 2.42b / Avg Total Assets 39.4b)
D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 8.01b / Total Liabilities 32.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.33 = B
Beneish M -3.10
DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 10.2b/10.5b, Revenue 22.8b/21.3b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 26.11% / 26.86%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.36)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 22.8b / 21.3b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.50b - CFO 4.69b) / TA 40.0b)
Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HO shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 243.40 with a total of 284,752 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.71%, over one month by +10.39%, over three months by +6.71% and over the past year by +7.88%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 229.70 (which is 5.6% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is HO a buy, sell or hold?

Thales S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Thales S.A. (HO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 55.4b (48.6b EUR * 1.141 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.0775
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 2.1945
P/B = 6.1452
P/EG = 1.8841
Revenue TTM = 22.8b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.42b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.51b EUR
Long Term Debt = 3.56b EUR (estimated: total debt 5.58b - short term 2.02b)
Short Term Debt = 2.02b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.21b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.64b
Net Debt = 2.16b EUR (calculated: Debt 7.21b - CCE 5.06b)
Enterprise Value = 50.7b EUR (48.6b + Debt 7.21b - CCE 5.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.79 (Ebit TTM 2.42b / Interest Expense TTM 224.1m)
EV/FCF = 12.78x (Enterprise Value 50.7b / FCF TTM 3.97b)
FCF Yield = 7.82% (FCF TTM 3.97b / Enterprise Value 50.7b)
FCF Margin = 17.40% (FCF TTM 3.97b / Revenue TTM 22.8b)
Net Margin = 6.55% (Net Income TTM 1.50b / Revenue TTM 22.8b)
Gross Margin = 26.86% ((Revenue TTM 22.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.27% (prev 26.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 50.7b / Total Assets 40.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.11% (Interest Expense 224.1m / Debt 7.21b)
Taxrate = 18.12% (325.2m / 1.79b)
NOPAT = 1.98b (EBIT 2.42b * (1 - 18.12%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 21.9b / Total Current Liabilities 26.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 7.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt 2.16b / EBITDA 3.51b)
Debt / FCF = 0.54 (Net Debt 2.16b / FCF TTM 3.97b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.79% (Net Income 1.50b / Total Assets 40.0b)
RoE = 19.53% (Net Income TTM 1.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.66b)
RoCE = 21.56% (EBIT 2.42b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.66b + L.T.Debt 3.56b))
RoIC = 13.72% (NOPAT 1.98b / Invested Capital 14.4b)
WACC = 4.74% (E(48.6b)/V(55.8b) * Re(5.07%) + D(7.21b)/V(55.8b) * Rd(3.11%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 5.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.50 | Cagr: -1.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.40b ; Y1≈3.89b ; Y5≈5.73b
[DCF] Fair Price = 409.1 (EV 86.2b - Net Debt 2.16b = Equity 84.1b / Shares 205.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -15.18 | EPS CAGR: -0.86% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.10 | Revenue CAGR: 9.15% | SUE: 1.19 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.80 | Chg30d=+0.51% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.6% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.28 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+13.8% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)