TMP Stock Analysis: Tompkins Financial | NYSE MKT

Banks - Regional | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 1.412m USD | 12M Return: 50.5% | US8901101092 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, Wealth Management, Insurance
Total Rating 60
Safety 64
Buy Signal 0.66
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Market Cap: 1.41B
Avg Turnover: 10.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.49%
VaR vs Median-2.62%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.48
Rel. Str. IBD82.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group88.5
Character TTM
Beta0.621
Beta Downside0.475
Hurst Exponent0.504
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.90%
CAGR/Max DD1.04
CAGR/Mean DD3.04
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TMP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.66, "2021-12": 1.33, "2022-03": 1.6, "2022-06": 1.45, "2022-09": 1.48, "2022-12": 1.36, "2023-03": 1.35, "2023-06": 0.59, "2023-09": 0.99, "2023-12": 1.05, "2024-03": 1.18, "2024-06": 1.1, "2024-09": 1.3, "2024-12": 1.37, "2025-03": 1.37, "2025-06": 1.5, "2025-09": 1.65, "2025-12": 1.78, "2026-03": 1.82, "2026-06": 2.04,
EPS CAGR: 25.49%
EPS Trend: 96.7%
Last SUE: 2.85
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TMP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 81.141, 2021-12: 76.965, 2022-03: 78.02, 2022-06: 78.617, 2022-09: 83.233, 2022-12: 84.867, 2023-03: 88.622, 2023-06: 83.369, 2023-09: 32.782, 2023-12: 98.589, 2024-03: 105.32, 2024-06: 107.016, 2024-09: 111.507, 2024-12: 109.903, 2025-03: 114.494, 2025-06: 116.158, 2025-09: 121.62, 2025-12: 226.673, 2026-03: 114.503, 2026-06: 26.598,
Rev. CAGR: 27.62%
Rev. Trend: 93.8%
Last SUE: -0.79
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -2.5% 42
Feb -0.7% 8
Mar -2.1% 29
Apr -4.9% 12
May +0.1% 7
Jun +1.0% 29
Jul +2.4% 34
Aug -1.8% 21
Sep -1.4% 16
Oct +1.3% 24
Nov +8.1% 44
Dec +2.9% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TMP Tompkins Financial

Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP) is a U.S. financial holding company that provides commercial and consumer banking, leasing, trust and investment management, financial planning, wealth management, and insurance services. The company operates through two reportable segments: Banking and Wealth Management.

On the banking side, TMP accepts deposits (checking, savings, time deposits, IRAs) and originates a broad loan portfolio spanning commercial real estate, construction, commercial and industrial, agriculture, residential mortgage, home equity, and consumer lending, including indirect auto financing and overdraft lines. It also offers letters of credit, sweep accounts, treasury/cash management tools, and digital banking services. The Wealth Management segment delivers trust and estate services, financial and tax planning, insurance brokerage (property & casualty, life, disability, long-term care), and employee benefit consulting, serving individuals, corporate executives, small business owners, and high-net-worth clients.

TMP is classified within the GICS Regional Banks sub-industry, a business model in which revenue is primarily generated from net interest income (the spread between loan yields and deposit costs) and supplemented by fee-based services such as wealth management and insurance commissions. Founded in 1836 and headquartered in Ithaca, New York, the company operates as a community-oriented regional bank listed on the NYSE MKT.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses amid Fed rate cuts
  • Wealth management assets rise with equity market gains
  • Commercial real estate loan growth fuels banking segment
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 175.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.49 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.57k% < 20% (prev -1.21k%; Δ -359.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 56.0m > Net Income 175.3m
Net Debt (656.4m) to EBITDA (174.7m): 3.76 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (14.3m) vs 12m ago 0.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 72.60% > 18% (prev 67.34%; Δ 5.26% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.70% > 50% (prev 5.40%; Δ 0.30% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 170.8m / Interest Expense TTM 128.8m)
Altman Z'' -5.21
A: -0.87 (Total Current Assets 71.7m - Total Current Liabilities 7.76b) / Total Assets 8.80b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 698.2m / Total Assets 8.80b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 170.8m / Avg Total Assets 8.59b)
D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 959.9m / Total Liabilities 7.84b)
Altman-Z'' = -5.21 = D
What is the price of TMP shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 99.57 with a total of 136,524 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.23%, over one month by +1.91%, over three months by +7.47% and over the past year by +50.54%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 94.30 (which is 5.3% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).

Is TMP a buy, sell or hold?

Tompkins Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold TMP.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TMP price?
Analysts Target Price 104.5 5%
Tompkins Financial (TMP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.41b (1.41b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.9081
P/E Forward = 12.8535
P/S = 3.1606
P/B = 1.4487
P/EG = 1.6064
Revenue TTM = 489.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 170.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 174.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 546.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 728.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 728.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 656.4m USD (calculated: Debt 728.1m - CCE 71.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.07b USD (1.41b + Debt 728.1m - CCE 71.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.33 (Ebit TTM 170.8m / Interest Expense TTM 128.8m)
EV/FCF = 40.04x (Enterprise Value 2.07b / FCF TTM 51.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.50% (FCF TTM 51.7m / Enterprise Value 2.07b)
FCF Margin = 10.55% (FCF TTM 51.7m / Revenue TTM 489.4m)
Net Margin = 35.82% (Net Income TTM 175.3m / Revenue TTM 489.4m)
Gross Margin = 72.60% ((Revenue TTM 489.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 134.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -21.48% (prev 71.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.23 (Enterprise Value 2.07b / Total Assets 8.80b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 17.69% (Interest Expense 128.8m / Debt 728.1m)
Taxrate = 28.11% (68.5m / 243.8m)
NOPAT = 122.8m (EBIT 170.8m * (1 - 28.11%))
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 71.7m / Total Current Liabilities 7.76b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 728.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 959.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.76 (Net Debt 656.4m / EBITDA 174.7m)
Debt / FCF = 12.71 (Net Debt 656.4m / FCF TTM 51.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 908.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.04% (Net Income 175.3m / Total Assets 8.80b)
RoE = 19.30% (Net Income TTM 175.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 908.5m)
RoCE = 11.74% (EBIT 170.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 908.5m + L.T.Debt 546.4m))
RoIC = 7.03% (NOPAT 122.8m / Invested Capital 1.75b)
WACC = 9.72% (E(1.41b)/V(2.14b) * Re(8.17%) + D(728.1m)/V(2.14b) * Rd(17.69%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 83.94 | Cagr: 0.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.16% ; FCFF base≈66.9m ; Y1≈58.7m ; Y5≈47.4m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 621.6m - Net Debt 656.4m = -34.8m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 96.74 | EPS CAGR: 25.49% | SUE: 2.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 93.77 | Revenue CAGR: 27.62% | SUE: -0.79 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.95 | Chg30d=+2.36% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.82 | Chg30d=+3.85% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+23.8% | GrowthRev=-21.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.32 | Chg30d=+2.09% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+8.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)