XLY ETF Analysis: Consumer Discretionary | NYSE

Consumer Cyclical | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 21.479m USD | 12M Return: -5.6% | US81369Y4070 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

E-Commerce, Automotive, Home Improvement, Restaurants
Total Rating 40
Safety 53
Buy Signal -0.54
Consumer Cyclical
Category Rotation: -1.3
TER: 0.09%
AUM: 21.5B
Avg Turnover: 666M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility18.8%
VaR 5th Pctl3.48%
VaR vs Median2.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Rel. Str. IBD25.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group50
Character TTM
Beta1.169
Beta Downside1.227
Hurst Exponent0.479
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.01%
CAGR/Max DD0.47
CAGR/Mean DD2.39

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.1% 7
Feb -3.2% 20
Mar +0.7% 5
Apr +0.8% 16
May +0.0% 10
Jun +0.5% 17
Jul +0.5% 20
Aug -0.3% 8
Sep -1.1% 35
Oct -1.9% 27
Nov +4.0% 39
Dec -0.2% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: XLY Consumer Discretionary

The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) tracks the Consumer Discretionary sector of the S&P 500 using a full replication strategy, investing at least 95% of its total assets in the securities that make up the underlying index. Constituents are classified using the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), which groups companies whose revenues are tied to non-essential goods and services such as automobiles, apparel, hotels, restaurants, and retail. The fund is structured as a non-diversified ETF, meaning it can hold concentrated positions in individual securities within the index rather than spreading risk across a broad mix of unrelated holdings.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Consumer spending cools as inflation pressures household budgets
  • Amazon and Tesla mega-cap weighting drives index returns
  • Interest rates rise dampening housing and auto demand
What is the price of XLY shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 110.56 with a total of 6,082,861 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.20%, over one month by -6.06%, over three months by -2.25% and over the past year by -5.62%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 108.40 (which is 2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is XLY a buy, sell or hold?

Consumer Discretionary has no consensus analysts rating.