UTZ Stock Analysis: Utz Brands | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.245m USD | 12M Return: 2.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 25.4M
EPS Trend: 86.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 7.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Utz Brands, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer of branded salty snacks, offering products such as potato chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, pub and party mixes, pork skins, and ready-to-eat popcorn, along with salsa and dips. The company also produces non-branded items through partner brands, private label arrangements, and co-manufacturing contracts. Its portfolio spans numerous brands, including Utz, On The Border, Zapps, Boulder Canyon, Golden Flake, Bachman, Tims Cascade, and TGI Fridays. Distribution occurs through multiple channels, including direct-to-warehouse, direct-store-delivery (DSD), third-party distributors, and direct-to-consumer. Headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania, Utz was founded in 1921 and has been operating for over a century in the highly competitive U.S. salty snack market, where it competes against large packaged-food peers that also rely heavily on direct-store-delivery networks to maintain shelf presence and rapid product turnover in convenience and grocery channels.
- Gross margin recovery hinges on moderating potato and oil costs
- DSD distribution expansion drives incremental shelf space gains
- Leverage reduction remains priority amid elevated interest expense
| Net Income: -8.40m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.10% < 20% (prev 5.86%; Δ -2.76% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 120.2m > Net Income -8.40m |
| Net Debt (964.5m) to EBITDA (120.1m): 8.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.3m) vs 12m ago 0.93% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.31% > 18% (prev 34.88%; Δ -12.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.04% > 50% (prev 50.91%; Δ 1.13% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 33.9m / Interest Expense TTM 76.3m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 359.9m - Total Current Liabilities 315.0m) / Total Assets 2.79b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -334.4m / Total Assets 2.79b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 33.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.78b) |
| D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 709.5m / Total Liabilities 1.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.31 = B |
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 128.2m/139.3m, Revenue 1.45b/1.41b) |
| GMI: 1.56 (GM 34.88% / 22.31%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.74) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.45b / 1.41b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -8.40m - CFO 120.2m) / TA 2.79b) |
| Beneish M = -2.59 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.08 with a total of 2,197,180 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +88.99%, over one month by +80.05%, over three months by +82.19% and over the past year by +2.82%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.20 (which is 6.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Utz Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UTZ.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 11.6 | -17.6% |
P/E Forward = 9.6154
P/S = 0.8597
P/B = 0.9297
Revenue TTM = 1.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 33.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 120.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 825.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.04b USD (corrected: LT Debt 825.1m + ST Debt 36.4m) + Leases 176.7m
Net Debt = 964.5m USD (calculated: Debt 1.04b - CCE 73.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.21b USD (1.24b + Debt 1.04b - CCE 73.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.44 (Ebit TTM 33.9m / Interest Expense TTM 76.3m)
EV/FCF = 52.09x (Enterprise Value 2.21b / FCF TTM 42.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.92% (FCF TTM 42.4m / Enterprise Value 2.21b)
FCF Margin = 2.93% (FCF TTM 42.4m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Net Margin = -0.58% (Net Income TTM -8.40m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Gross Margin = 22.31% ((Revenue TTM 1.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.44% (prev -6.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 2.21b / Total Assets 2.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.35% (Interest Expense 76.3m / Debt 1.04b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 26.8m (EBIT 33.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 359.9m / Total Current Liabilities 315.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 1.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 709.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.03 (Net Debt 964.5m / EBITDA 120.1m)
Debt / FCF = 22.74 (Net Debt 964.5m / FCF TTM 42.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 719.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.30% (Net Income -8.40m / Total Assets 2.79b)
RoE = -1.17% (Net Income TTM -8.40m / Total Stockholder Equity 719.9m)
RoCE = 2.19% (EBIT 33.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 719.9m + L.T.Debt 825.1m))
RoIC = 1.10% (NOPAT 26.8m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.18% (E(1.24b)/V(2.28b) * Re(4.65%) + D(1.04b)/V(2.28b) * Rd(7.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 4.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.07 | Cagr: 3.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈42.4m ; Y1≈42.6m ; Y5≈45.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 701.7m - Net Debt 964.5m = -262.8m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 86.07 | EPS CAGR: 25.70% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 7.50 | Revenue CAGR: 0.07% | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=-5.3% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+7.7% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -35% (up=4, down=10)