UTZ Stock Analysis: Utz Brands | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.047m USD | 12M Return: 21.4% | US9180901012 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 19.3M
EPS Trend: 94.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 31.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Utz Brands, Inc. is a U.S.-based manufacturer of branded salty snacks, offering products such as potato chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, pub and party mixes, pork skins, and ready-to-eat popcorn, along with salsa and dips. The company also produces non-branded items through partner brands, private label arrangements, and co-manufacturing contracts. Its portfolio spans numerous brands, including Utz, On The Border, Zapps, Boulder Canyon, Golden Flake, Bachman, Tims Cascade, and TGI Fridays. Distribution occurs through multiple channels, including direct-to-warehouse, direct-store-delivery (DSD), third-party distributors, and direct-to-consumer. Headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania, Utz was founded in 1921 and has been operating for over a century in the highly competitive U.S. salty snack market, where it competes against large packaged-food peers that also rely heavily on direct-store-delivery networks to maintain shelf presence and rapid product turnover in convenience and grocery channels.
- Gross margin recovery hinges on moderating potato and oil costs
- DSD distribution expansion drives incremental shelf space gains
- Leverage reduction remains priority amid elevated interest expense
| Net Income: -29.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.47% < 20% (prev 6.12%; Δ -4.65% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 115.6m > Net Income -29.0m |
| Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (98.2m): 11.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (88.5m) vs 12m ago 0.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.12% > 18% (prev 34.76%; Δ -14.64% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.78% > 50% (prev 50.24%; Δ 1.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.14 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.4m / Interest Expense TTM 75.6m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 362.1m - Total Current Liabilities 340.7m) / Total Assets 2.78b |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -350.1m / Total Assets 2.78b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 10.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.81b) |
| D: 0.48 (Book Value of Equity 695.9m / Total Liabilities 1.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.16 = B |
| DSRI: 0.70 (Receivables 127.7m/177.9m, Revenue 1.45b/1.43b) |
| GMI: 1.73 (GM 34.76% / 20.12%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.73) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.45b / 1.43b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -29.0m - CFO 115.6m) / TA 2.78b) |
| Beneish M = -2.60 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.24 with a total of 726,588 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.44%, over one month by +0.37%, over three months by +98.11% and over the past year by +21.36%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.10 (which is 1% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Utz Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UTZ.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 14.3 | 0.5% |
P/E Forward = 17.3611
P/S = 1.4088
P/B = 1.8133
Revenue TTM = 1.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 98.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 812.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 65.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 173.7m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.20b - CCE 58.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.19b USD (2.05b + Debt 1.20b - CCE 58.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.14 (Ebit TTM 10.4m / Interest Expense TTM 75.6m)
EV/FCF = 62.48x (Enterprise Value 3.19b / FCF TTM 51.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.60% (FCF TTM 51.1m / Enterprise Value 3.19b)
FCF Margin = 3.52% (FCF TTM 51.1m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Net Margin = -2.00% (Net Income TTM -29.0m / Revenue TTM 1.45b)
Gross Margin = 20.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.87% (prev 25.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 3.19b / Total Assets 2.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.28% (Interest Expense 75.6m / Debt 1.20b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 8.22m (EBIT 10.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 362.1m / Total Current Liabilities 340.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.73 (Debt 1.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 695.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.67 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 98.2m)
Debt / FCF = 22.42 (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM 51.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 711.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.03% (Net Income -29.0m / Total Assets 2.78b)
RoE = -4.08% (Net Income TTM -29.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 711.1m)
RoCE = 0.68% (EBIT 10.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 711.1m + L.T.Debt 812.2m))
RoIC = 0.34% (NOPAT 8.22m / Invested Capital 2.44b)
WACC = 5.38% (E(2.05b)/V(3.25b) * Re(5.63%) + D(1.20b)/V(3.25b) * Rd(6.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.94 | Cagr: 3.80%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈51.1m ; Y1≈51.3m ; Y5≈54.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 845.4m - Net Debt 1.15b = -300.2m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 94.50 | EPS CAGR: 16.28% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 31.95 | Revenue CAGR: 0.33% | SUE: -0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-5.3% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-0.26% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.5% | GrowthRev=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -7% (up=5, down=6)