TR Stock Analysis: Tootsie Roll Industries | NYSE
Confectioners | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.963m USD | 12M Return: 2.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.68M
EPS Trend: 54.1%
Rev. Trend: -50.8%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Tootsie Roll Industries (NYSE: TR) is a U.S.-based confectionery manufacturer and seller operating in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and international markets. Founded in 1896 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, the company produces and markets a broad portfolio of candy brands including Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Blow-Pop, Dots, Junior Mints, Charleston Chew, Andes, Sugar Daddy, and Dubble Bubble, among others.
The company distributes its products through a wide range of channels, reaching wholesale candy and food distributors, supermarkets, dollar and discount stores, chain grocers, drug chains, mass merchandisers, warehouse and membership clubs, vending machine operators, e-commerce platforms, the U.S. military, and fundraising organizations. This multi-channel approach supports a diversified customer base across both retail and institutional segments.
Tootsie Roll operates within the Consumer Staples sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats), placing it among defensive, non-cyclical food producers. The company has been publicly traded since its 1987 IPO and is classified as a mid-cap stock. Its broad brand portfolio and long operating history are characteristic of established, multi-brand packaged food companies that rely on wide distribution and brand recognition rather than a single flagship product.
- Cocoa and sugar input costs pressure confectionery gross margins
- Halloween seasonal sales concentrate annual confectionery revenue
- Dollar store and mass merchandiser channel expansion lifts volume
| Net Income: 99.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 31.63% < 20% (prev 34.93%; Δ -3.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 138.5m > Net Income 99.7m |
| Net Debt (-151.4m) to EBITDA (157.6m): -0.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (75.1m) vs 12m ago 2.88% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.37% > 18% (prev 35.57%; Δ -0.21% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.57% > 50% (prev 62.93%; Δ -1.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 309.2 > 6 (EBIT TTM 138.2m / Interest Expense TTM 447k) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 323.2m - Total Current Liabilities 90.6m) / Total Assets 1.25b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 3.36m / Total Assets 1.25b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 138.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.19b) |
| D: 3.18 (Book Value of Equity 949.2m / Total Liabilities 299.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.34 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 46.9m/46.0m, Revenue 735.6m/718.5m) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 35.57% / 35.37%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.52) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 735.6m / 718.5m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 99.7m - CFO 138.5m) / TA 1.25b) |
| Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.58 with a total of 166,001 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.13%, over one month by -2.23%, over three months by -7.17% and over the past year by +2.21%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.80 (which is 4.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Tootsie Roll Industries has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 19 | -50.8% |
P/E Trailing = 29.625
P/E Forward = 26.6667
P/S = 3.875
P/B = 3.1217
P/EG = 3.4316
Revenue TTM = 735.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 138.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 157.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.50m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.13m
Net Debt = -151.4m USD (calculated: Debt 18.7m - CCE 170.1m)
Enterprise Value = 2.81b USD (2.96b + Debt 18.7m - CCE 170.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 309.2 (Ebit TTM 138.2m / Interest Expense TTM 447k)
EV/FCF = 28.43x (Enterprise Value 2.81b / FCF TTM 98.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.52% (FCF TTM 98.9m / Enterprise Value 2.81b)
FCF Margin = 13.44% (FCF TTM 98.9m / Revenue TTM 735.6m)
Net Margin = 13.55% (Net Income TTM 99.7m / Revenue TTM 735.6m)
Gross Margin = 35.37% ((Revenue TTM 735.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 475.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.55% (prev 37.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 2.81b / Total Assets 1.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.39% (Interest Expense 447k / Debt 18.7m)
Taxrate = 27.72% (38.2m / 137.8m)
NOPAT = 99.9m (EBIT 138.2m * (1 - 27.72%))
Current Ratio = 3.57 (Total Current Assets 323.2m / Total Current Liabilities 90.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 18.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 949.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.96 (Net Debt -151.4m / EBITDA 157.6m)
Debt / FCF = -1.53 (Net Debt -151.4m / FCF TTM 98.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 925.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.34% (Net Income 99.7m / Total Assets 1.25b)
RoE = 10.77% (Net Income TTM 99.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 925.5m)
RoCE = 14.81% (EBIT 138.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 925.5m + L.T.Debt 7.50m))
RoIC = 8.90% (NOPAT 99.9m / Invested Capital 1.12b)
WACC = 5.36% (E(2.96b)/V(2.98b) * Re(5.38%) + D(18.7m)/V(2.98b) * Rd(2.39%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 5.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.32 | Cagr: 2.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.65% ; FCFF base≈101.2m ; Y1≈96.9m ; Y5≈93.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 37.55 (EV 1.47b - Net Debt -151.4m = Equity 1.62b / Shares 43.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -5.58% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 54.09 | EPS CAGR: 3.81% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.76 | Revenue CAGR: -1.33% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0