SCCO Stock Analysis: Southern Copper | NYSE
Copper | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 140.569m USD | 12M Return: 96.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 208M
EPS Trend: 95.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE: SCCO) is a vertically integrated miner that explores, mines, smelts, and refines copper and other minerals across Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and other American countries. Its operations span the full copper value chain, from open-pit mining and milling/flotation of copper ore through smelting, refining, and the production of copper cathodes, as well as byproducts including molybdenum concentrates, sulfuric acid, silver, and gold. The company also runs underground mines producing zinc, lead, silver, and gold, along with a coal mine and a zinc refinery.
Key assets include the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, smelter, and refinery in Peru; the La Caridad open-pit copper mine and the Buenavista open-pit copper mine in Mexico, both supported by concentrators and SX-EW (solvent extraction-electrowinning) plants, along with a smelter, refinery, and rod plant. The company holds extensive mineral concessions across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, and Chile. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Southern Copper was incorporated in 1952 and operates as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.
SCCO is part of the copper mining sub-industry within the Materials sector. Copper is a critical input for electrical wiring, power transmission, and clean-energy technologies, and integrated producers like Southern Copper are positioned across multiple stages of the supply chain, from resource extraction to refined metal output.
- Copper prices on LME swing quarterly revenues
- Peru and Mexico political risk threatens mine output
- Molybdenum byproduct prices lift smelting segment margins
| Net Income: 5.67b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 54.83% < 20% (prev 47.72%; Δ 7.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.28 > 3% & CFO 6.74b > Net Income 5.67b |
| Net Debt (1.85b) to EBITDA (9.93b): 0.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (829.1m) vs 12m ago 2.64% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 62.26% > 18% (prev 50.55%; Δ 11.71% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.28% > 50% (prev 60.79%; Δ 11.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 25.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.04b / Interest Expense TTM 361.3m) |
| A: 0.36 (Total Current Assets 10.8b - Total Current Liabilities 2.13b) / Total Assets 24.1b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 5.80b / Total Assets 24.1b) |
| C: 0.41 (EBIT TTM 9.04b / Avg Total Assets 21.8b) |
| D: 1.11 (Book Value of Equity 12.6b / Total Liabilities 11.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.08 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 2.07b/1.63b, Revenue 15.8b/11.9b) |
| GMI: 0.81 (GM 50.55% / 62.26%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 15.8b / 11.9b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 5.67b - CFO 6.74b) / TA 24.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 179.32 with a total of 1,105,995 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.43%, over one month by +6.45%, over three months by +2.22% and over the past year by +96.23%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 159.60 (which is 11% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).
Southern Copper has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.41. Therefore, it is recommended to sell SCCO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 6
- StrongSell: 4
| Analysts Target Price | 168.2 | -6.2% |
P/E Trailing = 26.444
P/E Forward = 38.7597
P/S = 8.9038
P/B = 11.1278
P/EG = 5.4105
Revenue TTM = 15.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.93b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 86.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 9.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 649.8m
Net Debt = 1.85b USD (calculated: Debt 9.18b - CCE 7.33b)
Enterprise Value = 142b USD (141b + Debt 9.18b - CCE 7.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.01 (Ebit TTM 9.04b / Interest Expense TTM 361.3m)
EV/FCF = 23.88x (Enterprise Value 142b / FCF TTM 5.97b)
FCF Yield = 4.19% (FCF TTM 5.97b / Enterprise Value 142b)
FCF Margin = 37.78% (FCF TTM 5.97b / Revenue TTM 15.8b)
Net Margin = 35.90% (Net Income TTM 5.67b / Revenue TTM 15.8b)
Gross Margin = 62.26% ((Revenue TTM 15.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.98% (prev 64.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.90 (Enterprise Value 142b / Total Assets 24.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.94% (Interest Expense 361.3m / Debt 9.18b)
Taxrate = 35.84% (3.15b / 8.79b)
NOPAT = 5.80b (EBIT 9.04b * (1 - 35.84%))
Current Ratio = 5.06 (Total Current Assets 10.8b / Total Current Liabilities 2.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.73 (Debt 9.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.19 (Net Debt 1.85b / EBITDA 9.93b)
Debt / FCF = 0.31 (Net Debt 1.85b / FCF TTM 5.97b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 25.95% (Net Income 5.67b / Total Assets 24.1b)
RoE = 49.38% (Net Income TTM 5.67b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.5b)
RoCE = 49.58% (EBIT 9.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.5b + L.T.Debt 6.75b))
RoIC = 27.23% (NOPAT 5.80b / Invested Capital 21.3b)
WACC = 11.71% (E(141b)/V(150b) * Re(12.31%) + D(9.18b)/V(150b) * Rd(3.94%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 12.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.79 | Cagr: 3.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.90% ; FCFF base≈4.96b ; Y1≈5.69b ; Y5≈8.38b
[DCF] Fair Price = 98.28 (EV 78.9b - Net Debt 1.85b = Equity 77.1b / Shares 784.0m; r=11.71% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.64 | EPS CAGR: 29.51% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.95 | Revenue CAGR: 17.28% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=+6.80% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.70 | Chg30d=+3.92% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+48.1% | GrowthRev=+25.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.23 | Chg30d=+5.21% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=-6.1% | GrowthRev=-4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +82% (up=14, down=0)