R Stock Analysis: Ryder System | NYSE
Rental & Leasing Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.357m USD | 12M Return: 49.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 96.1M
EPS Trend: 18.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 87.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ryder System (NYSE: R) is a U.S.-based logistics and transportation company headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida, operating globally since its founding in 1933. The business is organized into three reporting segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), which provides full-service truck leasing, commercial rental, maintenance, fuel services, and used vehicle sales; Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS), which supplies vehicles, drivers, routing, and compliance support for customers outsourcing their private fleets; and Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), which offers distribution management, transportation management and brokerage, e-commerce fulfillment, last-mile delivery, and contract manufacturing and packaging services.
Within the Industrials sector (GICS Sub Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation), Ryder competes in two adjacent markets: commercial fleet leasing/rental and third-party logistics (3PL). The FMS segment places the company among the few large-scale North American players offering full-service lease with bundled maintenance, while SCS positions it in the asset-light contract logistics and e-commerce fulfillment space, a category that has expanded with the growth of omnichannel retail and direct-to-consumer shipping.
- Used truck price declines pressure fleet gains on sale
- Freight recession weakens commercial rental and lease demand
- E-commerce fulfillment expansion lifts supply chain segment growth
| Net Income: 496.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -10.97% < 20% (prev -4.16%; Δ -6.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 2.45b > Net Income 496.0m |
| Net Debt (8.26b) to EBITDA (3.18b): 2.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (38.9m) vs 12m ago -8.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.95% > 18% (prev 20.37%; Δ -1.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 78.91% > 50% (prev 77.21%; Δ 1.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.37 > 6 (EBIT TTM 937.0m / Interest Expense TTM 396.0m) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.54b - Total Current Liabilities 3.95b) / Total Assets 16.1b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 2.43b / Total Assets 16.1b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 937.0m / Avg Total Assets 16.3b) |
| D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 2.88b / Total Liabilities 13.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.53 = B |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 2.00b/1.85b, Revenue 12.8b/12.7b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 20.37% / 18.95%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 12.8b / 12.7b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 496.0m - CFO 2.45b) / TA 16.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 268.68 with a total of 537,417 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.37%, over one month by +1.58%, over three months by +8.12% and over the past year by +49.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 252.20 (which is 6.1% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Ryder System has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.57. Therefore, it is recommended to hold R.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 284.9 | 6% |
P/E Trailing = 22.2332
P/E Forward = 23.0947
P/S = 0.8188
P/B = 3.7414
P/EG = 0.8631
Revenue TTM = 12.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 937.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.48b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.02b
Net Debt = 8.26b USD (calculated: Debt 8.48b - CCE 219.0m)
Enterprise Value = 18.6b USD (10.4b + Debt 8.48b - CCE 219.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.37 (Ebit TTM 937.0m / Interest Expense TTM 396.0m)
EV/FCF = 27.10x (Enterprise Value 18.6b / FCF TTM 687.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.69% (FCF TTM 687.0m / Enterprise Value 18.6b)
FCF Margin = 5.35% (FCF TTM 687.0m / Revenue TTM 12.8b)
Net Margin = 3.86% (Net Income TTM 496.0m / Revenue TTM 12.8b)
Gross Margin = 18.95% ((Revenue TTM 12.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.63% (prev 19.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 18.6b / Total Assets 16.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.67% (Interest Expense 396.0m / Debt 8.48b)
Taxrate = 25.67% (172.0m / 670.0m)
NOPAT = 696.5m (EBIT 937.0m * (1 - 25.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 2.54b / Total Current Liabilities 3.95b)
Debt / Equity = 2.95 (Debt 8.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.60 (Net Debt 8.26b / EBITDA 3.18b)
Debt / FCF = 12.03 (Net Debt 8.26b / FCF TTM 687.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.05% (Net Income 496.0m / Total Assets 16.1b)
RoE = 16.70% (Net Income TTM 496.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.97b)
RoCE = 9.56% (EBIT 937.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.97b + L.T.Debt 6.83b))
RoIC = 4.91% (NOPAT 696.5m / Invested Capital 14.2b)
WACC = 6.69% (E(10.4b)/V(18.8b) * Re(9.32%) + D(8.48b)/V(18.8b) * Rd(4.67%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.97 | Cagr: -6.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈423.4m ; Y1≈485.4m ; Y5≈714.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 64.26 (EV 10.7b - Net Debt 8.26b = Equity 2.49b / Shares 38.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 18.68 | EPS CAGR: 1.15% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.78 | Revenue CAGR: 2.40% | SUE: 1.45 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.18 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.31 | Chg30d=-2.00% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+10.8% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=17.61 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+23.1% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=6, down=0)