QUAD Stock Analysis: Quad Graphics | NYSE
Specialty Business Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 485m USD | 12M Return: 51.4% | US7473011093 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.53M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -74.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Quad/Graphics, Inc. (NYSE: QUAD) provides a broad range of marketing solutions across North America, Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and Asia, operating through United States Print and Related Services and International segments. The company offers printing services including retail inserts, catalogs, magazines, direct mail, directories, packaging, and newspapers, along with paper procurement and ink manufacturing. Beyond print, Quad provides marketing services such as data analytics, technology solutions, media planning and optimization, creative strategy, content creation, and execution across digital and broadcast channels, as well as medical services. Its client base includes blue-chip companies across retail, consumer packaged goods, financial services, and healthcare industries.
The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Sussex, Wisconsin. As a small-cap player in the GICS Industrials sector, specifically the Commercial Printing sub-industry, Quad operates in a sector that has faced structural headwinds from digital media substitution, prompting many traditional printers to diversify into integrated marketing services to offset declining print volumes.
- Paper input cost inflation pressures print margins
- Direct mail and packaging demand offsets secular print decline
- LSC Communications acquisition synergies boost operational efficiency
| Net Income: 31.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.53% < 20% (prev -1.61%; Δ -0.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 96.6m > Net Income 31.2m |
| Net Debt (531.0m) to EBITDA (157.0m): 3.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (50.0m) vs 12m ago 5.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.06% > 18% (prev 18.24%; Δ 13.82% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 233.8% > 50% (prev 208.3%; Δ 25.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.90 > 6 (EBIT TTM 83.2m / Interest Expense TTM 43.8m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 501.5m - Total Current Liabilities 573.7m) / Total Assets 1.20b |
| B: -0.52 (Retained Earnings -623.4m / Total Assets 1.20b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 83.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.22b) |
| D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 124.7m / Total Liabilities 1.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.51 = D |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 298.2m/290.0m, Revenue 2.85b/2.58b) |
| GMI: 0.57 (GM 18.24% / 32.06%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 2.85b / 2.58b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 31.2m - CFO 96.6m) / TA 1.20b) |
| Beneish M = -3.41 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.43 with a total of 227,530 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -7.55%, over three months by +18.63% and over the past year by +51.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.90 (which is 5.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Quad Graphics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy QUAD.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 13.2 | 39.7% |
P/E Trailing = 14.2879
P/E Forward = 6.2035
P/S = 0.2041
P/B = 3.8916
P/EG = 0.8378
Revenue TTM = 2.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 83.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 157.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 349.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 74.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 538.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 69.2m
Net Debt = 531.0m USD (calculated: Debt 538.4m - CCE 7.40m)
Enterprise Value = 1.02b USD (485.3m + Debt 538.4m - CCE 7.40m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.90 (Ebit TTM 83.2m / Interest Expense TTM 43.8m)
EV/FCF = 20.16x (Enterprise Value 1.02b / FCF TTM 50.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.96% (FCF TTM 50.4m / Enterprise Value 1.02b)
FCF Margin = 1.77% (FCF TTM 50.4m / Revenue TTM 2.85b)
Net Margin = 1.09% (Net Income TTM 31.2m / Revenue TTM 2.85b)
Gross Margin = 32.06% ((Revenue TTM 2.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.96% (prev 17.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 1.02b / Total Assets 1.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.14% (Interest Expense 43.8m / Debt 538.4m)
Taxrate = 21.21% (8.40m / 39.6m)
NOPAT = 65.6m (EBIT 83.2m * (1 - 21.21%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 501.5m / Total Current Liabilities 573.7m)
Debt / Equity = 4.32 (Debt 538.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 124.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.38 (Net Debt 531.0m / EBITDA 157.0m)
Debt / FCF = 10.54 (Net Debt 531.0m / FCF TTM 50.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 119.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.56% (Net Income 31.2m / Total Assets 1.20b)
RoE = 26.19% (Net Income TTM 31.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 119.2m)
RoCE = 17.74% (EBIT 83.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 119.2m + L.T.Debt 349.8m))
RoIC = 9.49% (NOPAT 65.6m / Invested Capital 690.9m)
WACC = 8.27% (E(485.3m)/V(1.02b) * Re(10.33%) + D(538.4m)/V(1.02b) * Rd(8.14%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 52.95 | Cagr: 2.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈58.9m ; Y1≈51.6m ; Y5≈41.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 3.63 (EV 669.6m - Net Debt 531.0m = Equity 138.6m / Shares 38.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -74.14 | Revenue CAGR: -6.25% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=+11.76% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.31 | Chg30d=+7.38% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+29.7% | GrowthRev=-2.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.46 | Chg30d=+6.31% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+11.5% | GrowthRev=-2.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=6, down=0)