PKG Stock Analysis: Packaging of America | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 21.233m USD | 12M Return: 14.1% | US6951561090 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 138M
EPS Trend: 81.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is a North American producer of containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper, operating through two core segments: Packaging and Paper. The Packaging segment manufactures linerboard, corrugated shipping containers, multi-color retail boxes, displays, and protective packaging, serving end markets such as food, beverage, produce, and industrial/consumer goods via a direct sales force. The Paper segment produces commodity, specialty, and communication papers-including cut-size office papers and printing/converting papers-marketed through the companys own sales organization. Founded in 1867 and headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois, PKG is classified within the Materials sector under Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials, reflecting its integrated position across the containerboard and uncoated freesheet value chain.
- Containerboard prices decline on weaker box demand
- UFS paper mill closures reshape operating margin mix
- Share buybacks accelerate following Greif mill acquisition
| Net Income: 691.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.70% < 20% (prev 27.70%; Δ -4.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.62b > Net Income 691.0m |
| Net Debt (4.25b) to EBITDA (1.85b): 2.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (89.0m) vs 12m ago -0.78% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.11% > 18% (prev 22.13%; Δ -2.03% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 95.08% > 50% (prev 95.57%; Δ -0.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.04 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.08b / Interest Expense TTM 119.0m) |
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 3.42b - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 11.0b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 3.96b / Total Assets 11.0b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.08b / Avg Total Assets 10.0b) |
| D: 0.73 (Book Value of Equity 4.66b / Total Liabilities 6.35b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.01 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 1.43b/1.21b, Revenue 9.53b/8.64b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 22.13% / 20.11%) |
| AQI: 1.40 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 9.53b / 8.64b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 691.0m - CFO 1.62b) / TA 11.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.57 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 237.18 with a total of 478,415 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.89%, over one month by -3.17%, over three months by -0.99% and over the past year by +14.10%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 221.70 (which is 6.5% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Packaging of America has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.09. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PKG.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 258.5 | 9% |
P/E Trailing = 30.9494
P/E Forward = 18.2482
P/S = 2.2269
P/B = 4.4487
P/EG = 1.4953
Revenue TTM = 9.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.08b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.85b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 106.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 435.4m
Net Debt = 4.25b USD (calculated: Debt 4.84b - CCE 593.8m)
Enterprise Value = 25.5b USD (21.2b + Debt 4.84b - CCE 593.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.04 (Ebit TTM 1.08b / Interest Expense TTM 119.0m)
EV/FCF = 34.32x (Enterprise Value 25.5b / FCF TTM 742.4m)
FCF Yield = 2.91% (FCF TTM 742.4m / Enterprise Value 25.5b)
FCF Margin = 7.79% (FCF TTM 742.4m / Revenue TTM 9.53b)
Net Margin = 7.25% (Net Income TTM 691.0m / Revenue TTM 9.53b)
Gross Margin = 20.11% ((Revenue TTM 9.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.58% (prev 19.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.31 (Enterprise Value 25.5b / Total Assets 11.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.46% (Interest Expense 119.0m / Debt 4.84b)
Taxrate = 24.70% (226.9m / 918.6m)
NOPAT = 810.1m (EBIT 1.08b * (1 - 24.70%))
Current Ratio = 2.94 (Total Current Assets 3.42b / Total Current Liabilities 1.16b)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 4.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.29 (Net Debt 4.25b / EBITDA 1.85b)
Debt / FCF = 5.72 (Net Debt 4.25b / FCF TTM 742.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.89% (Net Income 691.0m / Total Assets 11.0b)
RoE = 14.86% (Net Income TTM 691.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.65b)
RoCE = 12.48% (EBIT 1.08b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.65b + L.T.Debt 3.97b))
RoIC = 8.54% (NOPAT 810.1m / Invested Capital 9.48b)
WACC = 7.06% (E(21.2b)/V(26.1b) * Re(8.25%) + D(4.84b)/V(26.1b) * Rd(2.46%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -17.62 | Cagr: -0.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈695.6m ; Y1≈797.4m ; Y5≈1.17b
[DCF] Fair Price = 150.6 (EV 17.7b - Net Debt 4.25b = Equity 13.4b / Shares 89.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.90 | EPS CAGR: 7.27% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.24 | Revenue CAGR: 7.73% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.91 | Chg30d=-0.80% | Revisions=-18% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.45 | Chg30d=-0.31% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+12.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.12 | Chg30d=+2.29% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+25.5% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +30% (up=16, down=8)