PCY ETF Analysis: Emerging Markets Sovereign | NYSE

Emerging Markets Bond | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.403m USD | 12M Return: 9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Emerging Markets Bonds, Government Bonds, Dollar Denominated, Sovereign Debt
Total Rating 44
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.65
Emerging Markets Bond
Category Rotation: -4.1
TER: 0.50%
AUM: 1.40B
Avg Turnover: 5.20M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility7.61%
VaR 5th Pctl1.40%
VaR vs Median2.42%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Rel. Str. IBD33.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group10
Character TTM
Beta0.352
Beta Downside0.334
Hurst Exponent0.604
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD11.52%
CAGR/Max DD0.76
CAGR/Mean DD3.84

Warnings

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.5% 2
Feb -0.7% 0
Mar -1.1% 15
Apr -0.0% 2
May -0.4% 15
Jun -0.1% 13
Jul +2.2% 36
Aug +0.1% 8
Sep -2.3% 23
Oct -0.9% 35
Nov -0.1% 8
Dec +0.7% 31

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PCY Emerging Markets Sovereign

The Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF (PCY) is structured as an index-tracking fund that invests at least 80% of its total assets in the components of its underlying benchmark. The index it follows is designed to measure the performance of a theoretical portfolio of U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds issued by emerging market sovereigns.

By focusing on USD-denominated sovereign debt, the fund targets investors seeking exposure to emerging market government credit without taking on direct local-currency risk. Sovereign bond ETFs typically generate returns through coupon income and price movements tied to interest rate changes, sovereign credit ratings, and macroeconomic conditions in issuing countries. Emerging market debt is generally considered a higher-yielding segment of the fixed income universe compared to developed market government bonds, reflecting the greater credit risk associated with developing economies.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed rate cuts narrow yield differential pressuring EM bond demand
  • US dollar strength pressures emerging market sovereign debt returns
  • Rising EM sovereign default risk widens credit spreads and weighs on returns
  • Geopolitical tensions and commodity volatility reshape emerging market bond risk premiums
What is the price of PCY shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.07 with a total of 127,793 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.61%, over one month by -2.60%, over three months by -0.72% and over the past year by +8.99%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 20.80 (which is 1.3% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is PCY a buy, sell or hold?

Emerging Markets Sovereign has no consensus analysts rating.