NGS Stock Analysis: Natural Gas | NYSE

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 456m USD | 12M Return: 17% | US63886Q1094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gas Compressors, Flare Systems, Electric Compression, Equipment Maintenance
Total Rating 29
Safety 18
Buy Signal -0.64
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Industry Rotation: -3.8
Market Cap: 456M
Avg Turnover: 3.77M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility44.6%
VaR 5th Pctl7.97%
VaR vs Median8.30%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.51
Rel. Str. IBD16.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7
Character TTM
Beta1.076
Beta Downside0.936
Hurst Exponent0.394
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD40.89%
CAGR/Max DD0.79
CAGR/Mean DD3.24
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NGS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.1, "2021-12": -0.18, "2022-03": 0.03, "2022-06": -0.01, "2022-09": 0.05, "2022-12": -0.07, "2023-03": 0.03, "2023-06": 0.12, "2023-09": 0.18, "2023-12": 0.14, "2024-03": 0.41, "2024-06": 0.34, "2024-09": 0.41, "2024-12": 0.415, "2025-03": 0.43, "2025-06": 0.41, "2025-09": 0.45, "2025-12": 0.5209, "2026-03": 0.55, "2026-06": 0.47,
EPS CAGR: 83.72%
EPS Trend: 86.8%
Last SUE: 2.31
Qual. Beats: 8
Revenue Revenue of NGS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 18.245, 2021-12: 18.029, 2022-03: 20.336, 2022-06: 19.926, 2022-09: 22.043, 2022-12: 22.521, 2023-03: 26.62, 2023-06: 26.957, 2023-09: 31.369, 2023-12: 36.221, 2024-03: 36.907, 2024-06: 38.491, 2024-09: 40.686, 2024-12: 40.658, 2025-03: 41.383, 2025-06: 41.382, 2025-09: 43.401, 2025-12: 46.149, 2026-03: 48.467, 2026-06: 51.401,
Rev. CAGR: 19.41%
Rev. Trend: 95.7%
Last SUE: 0.82
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -4.1% 31
Feb +0.1% 7
Mar -4.2% 44
Apr +2.0% 30
May -0.4% 5
Jun +2.2% 5
Jul -3.3% 11
Aug +1.1% 10
Sep +5.3% 25
Oct -0.1% 0
Nov +4.2% 15
Dec +2.7% 29

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NGS Natural Gas

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) is a U.S.-based provider of natural gas and electric compression equipment and related services to the energy industry. The company operates primarily as a rental and aftermarket services provider, designing, assembling, installing, and maintaining compressor units-powered by either natural gas engines or electric motors-for oil and gas production and processing facilities. NGS sits within the GICS Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sub-industry, supplying specialized infrastructure that supports upstream production and midstream gas handling. Incorporated in 1998, headquartered in Southlake, Texas, and listed on the NYSE since 2002, the company functions as a small-cap participant in the energy services value chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US natural gas production growth lifts compression demand
  • Electric compression fleet expansion drives rental margins
  • Drilling activity and gas prices shape fleet utilization
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 20.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.35 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 18.28% < 20% (prev 14.68%; Δ 3.59% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 79.1m > Net Income 20.5m
Net Debt (329.2m) to EBITDA (104.1m): 3.16 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.12 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.8m) vs 12m ago 1.72% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.21% > 18% (prev 42.41%; Δ 1.80% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 30.46% > 50% (prev 31.23%; Δ -0.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 43.2m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3m)
Altman Z'' 2.31
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 65.7m - Total Current Liabilities 31.0m) / Total Assets 718.3m
B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 176.1m / Total Assets 718.3m)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 43.2m / Avg Total Assets 621.9m)
D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 294.5m / Total Liabilities 423.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 2.31 = BBB
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 0.76 (Receivables 22.0m/25.1m, Revenue 189.4m/164.1m)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 42.41% / 44.21%)
AQI: 65.65 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 189.4m / 164.1m)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 20.5m - CFO 79.1m) / TA 718.3m)
Beneish M = 35.18 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of NGS shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 32.80 with a total of 117,220 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.27%, over one month by -4.57%, over three months by -24.07% and over the past year by +17.04%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.00 (which is 5.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is NGS a buy, sell or hold?

Natural Gas has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.75. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NGS.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NGS price?
Analysts Target Price 56 70.7%
Natural Gas (NGS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 456.2m (456.2m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.1062
P/E Forward = 11.8765
P/S = 2.4085
P/B = 1.5702
P/EG = 0.8198
Revenue TTM = 189.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 43.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 104.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 328.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 462k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 329.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.28m
Net Debt = 329.2m USD (calculated: Debt 329.3m - CCE 84.0k)
Enterprise Value = 785.4m USD (456.2m + Debt 329.3m - CCE 84.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.82 (Ebit TTM 43.2m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3m)
EV/FCF = -25.07x (Enterprise Value 785.4m / FCF TTM -31.3m)
FCF Yield = -3.99% (FCF TTM -31.3m / Enterprise Value 785.4m)
FCF Margin = -16.54% (FCF TTM -31.3m / Revenue TTM 189.4m)
Net Margin = 10.81% (Net Income TTM 20.5m / Revenue TTM 189.4m)
Gross Margin = 44.21% ((Revenue TTM 189.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 105.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.94% (prev 41.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 785.4m / Total Assets 718.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.64% (Interest Expense 15.3m / Debt 329.3m)
Taxrate = 26.53% (7.39m / 27.9m)
NOPAT = 31.7m (EBIT 43.2m * (1 - 26.53%))
Current Ratio = 2.12 (Total Current Assets 65.7m / Total Current Liabilities 31.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.12 (Debt 329.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 294.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.16 (Net Debt 329.2m / EBITDA 104.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -10.51 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 329.2m / FCF TTM -31.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 280.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.29% (Net Income 20.5m / Total Assets 718.3m)
RoE = 7.31% (Net Income TTM 20.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 280.3m)
RoCE = 7.10% (EBIT 43.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 280.3m + L.T.Debt 328.0m))
RoIC = 4.61% (NOPAT 31.7m / Invested Capital 687.7m)
WACC = 7.10% (E(456.2m)/V(785.5m) * Re(9.77%) + D(329.3m)/V(785.5m) * Rd(4.64%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.51 | Cagr: 1.33%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -31.3m)
 EPS Correlation: 86.79 | EPS CAGR: 83.72% | SUE: 2.31 | # QB: 8
Revenue Correlation: 95.72 | Revenue CAGR: 19.41% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=-8.57% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=-2.34% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+3.2% | GrowthRev=+22.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=+5.24% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+38.8% | GrowthRev=+19.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)