NEM Stock Analysis: Newmont Goldcorp | NYSE

Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 130.184m USD | 12M Return: 46.5% | US6516391066 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Copper, Silver, Zinc
Total Rating 62
Safety 69
Buy Signal 0.37
Gold
Industry Rotation: -39.8
Market Cap: 130B
Avg Turnover: 900M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility47.6%
VaR 5th Pctl8.21%
VaR vs Median4.83%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.93
Rel. Str. IBD83.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group74.4
Character TTM
Beta0.694
Beta Downside0.694
Hurst Exponent0.470
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.57%
CAGR/Max DD1.43
CAGR/Mean DD4.69
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NEM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.6, "2021-12": 0.78, "2022-03": 0.69, "2022-06": 0.46, "2022-09": 0.27, "2022-12": 0.44, "2023-03": 0.4, "2023-06": 0.33, "2023-09": 0.36, "2023-12": 0.5, "2024-03": 0.55, "2024-06": 0.72, "2024-09": 0.81, "2024-12": 1.4, "2025-03": 1.25, "2025-06": 1.43, "2025-09": 1.71, "2025-12": 2.52, "2026-03": 2.9, "2026-06": 2.1,
EPS CAGR: 106.00%
EPS Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 0.21
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NEM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2906, 2021-12: 3390, 2022-03: 2965, 2022-06: 3163, 2022-09: 2673, 2022-12: 3148, 2023-03: 2657, 2023-06: 2705, 2023-09: 2493, 2023-12: 3920, 2024-03: 4001, 2024-06: 4311, 2024-09: 4600, 2024-12: 4871, 2025-03: 4871, 2025-06: 5275, 2025-09: 5380, 2025-12: 6571, 2026-03: 7183, 2026-06: 3454,
Rev. CAGR: 32.76%
Rev. Trend: 97.5%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.0% 20
Feb -5.0% 22
Mar +5.7% 33
Apr +3.1% 5
May -2.0% 30
Jun -0.6% 7
Jul +0.0% 5
Aug -5.3% 6
Sep -3.1% 40
Oct -0.6% 0
Nov +1.4% 16
Dec +1.5% 36

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NEM Newmont Goldcorp

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) is a gold producer that also explores for copper, silver, lead, zinc, and other metals. The company maintains operations and/or assets across a geographically diverse portfolio spanning the United States, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Ghana, Suriname, Argentina, the Dominican Republic, Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Mexico, and Canada. Founded in 1916 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Newmont is listed on the NYSE and operates within the Materials sector (GICS Sub Industry: Gold), where it is widely regarded as one of the worlds largest gold mining companies. As a producer in the precious metals industry, Newmonts revenue is primarily tied to the market price of gold, with copper and silver often recovered as byproducts of gold mining operations.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Gold price appreciation lifts realized prices and operating margins
  • All-in sustaining costs decline driving free cash flow expansion
  • Nevada Gold Mines JV with Barrick delivers record production volumes
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 8.60b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.28 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 35.77% < 20% (prev 29.20%; Δ 6.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 12.6b > Net Income 8.60b
Net Debt (-7.15b) to EBITDA (14.5b): -0.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.07b) vs 12m ago -4.05% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.50% > 18% (prev 40.90%; Δ 13.60% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 40.05% > 50% (prev 35.56%; Δ 4.49% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 74.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 11.8b / Interest Expense TTM 159.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.32
A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 13.3b - Total Current Liabilities 5.23b) / Total Assets 57.6b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 5.72b / Total Assets 57.6b)
C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 11.8b / Avg Total Assets 56.4b)
D: 1.59 (Book Value of Equity 35.4b / Total Liabilities 22.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.32 = AA
Beneish M -2.70
DSRI: 1.61 (Receivables 1.18b/637.0m, Revenue 22.6b/19.6b)
GMI: 0.75 (GM 40.90% / 54.50%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.20)
SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 22.6b / 19.6b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 8.60b - CFO 12.6b) / TA 57.6b)
Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NEM shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 121.43 with a total of 3,516,645 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.60%, over one month by -9.96%, over three months by +27.62% and over the past year by +46.49%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 115.50 (which is 4.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is NEM a buy, sell or hold?

Newmont Goldcorp has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NEM.

  • StrongBuy: 13
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NEM price?
Analysts Target Price 136.6 12.5%
Newmont Goldcorp (NEM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 130b (130b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.5801
P/E Forward = 11.6279
P/S = 5.0523
P/B = 3.8048
P/EG = 2.8267
Revenue TTM = 22.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.8b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 383.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 515.0m
Net Debt = -7.15b USD (calculated: Debt 5.98b - CCE 13.1b)
Enterprise Value = 123b USD (130b + Debt 5.98b - CCE 13.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 74.31 (Ebit TTM 11.8b / Interest Expense TTM 159.0m)
EV/FCF = 9.64x (Enterprise Value 123b / FCF TTM 12.8b)
FCF Yield = 10.38% (FCF TTM 12.8b / Enterprise Value 123b)
FCF Margin = 56.53% (FCF TTM 12.8b / Revenue TTM 22.6b)
Net Margin = 38.06% (Net Income TTM 8.60b / Revenue TTM 22.6b)
Gross Margin = 54.50% ((Revenue TTM 22.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.55% (prev 62.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.13 (Enterprise Value 123b / Total Assets 57.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.66% (Interest Expense 159.0m / Debt 5.98b)
Taxrate = 37.84% (5.21b / 13.8b)
NOPAT = 7.34b (EBIT 11.8b * (1 - 37.84%))
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 13.3b / Total Current Liabilities 5.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 5.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 35.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.49 (Net Debt -7.15b / EBITDA 14.5b)
Debt / FCF = -0.56 (Net Debt -7.15b / FCF TTM 12.8b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 34.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.24% (Net Income 8.60b / Total Assets 57.6b)
RoE = 25.02% (Net Income TTM 8.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 34.4b)
RoCE = 29.96% (EBIT 11.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 34.4b + L.T.Debt 5.08b))
RoIC = 14.22% (NOPAT 7.34b / Invested Capital 51.7b)
WACC = 8.12% (E(130b)/V(136b) * Re(8.42%) + D(5.98b)/V(136b) * Rd(2.66%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.07 | Cagr: -3.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈9.62b ; Y1≈11.0b ; Y5≈16.2b
[DCF] Fair Price = 238.5 (EV 244b - Net Debt -7.15b = Equity 251b / Shares 1.05b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.46 | EPS CAGR: 106.0% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.50 | Revenue CAGR: 32.76% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.94 | Chg30d=+1.42% | Revisions=-44% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.21 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+33.7% | GrowthRev=+18.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.24 | Chg30d=+1.59% | Revisions=+18% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=+9.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -7% (up=11, down=13)