MTBA ETF Analysis: Simplify MBS | NYSE

Intermediate Government | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.530m USD | 12M Return: 3.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Agency MBS, Residential Mortgage, Commercial Mortgage, Mortgage Derivatives
Total Rating 51
Safety 67
Buy Signal -0.48
Intermediate Government
Category Rotation: -1.6
TER: 0.15%
AUM: 1.53B
Avg Turnover: 5.23M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility3.60%
VaR 5th Pctl0.67%
VaR vs Median3.02%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Rel. Str. IBD29.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group91.7
Character TTM
Beta0.041
Beta Downside0.009
Hurst Exponent0.510
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD3.48%
CAGR/Max DD1.38
CAGR/Mean DD5.81

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 2.6 years of data

Jan -0.1% 31
Feb +0.6% 37
Mar -1.4% 32
Apr -0.3% 37
May -0.7% 34
Jun +0.4% 29
Jul -0.5% -
Aug +1.1% -
Sep +0.2% -
Oct +0.0% -
Nov +0.2% 34
Dec -0.9% 30

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MTBA Simplify MBS

The Simplify MBS ETF (MTBA) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that invests at least 80% of its net assets in mortgage-backed securities. The fund takes a broad definition of MBS, covering both agency and non-agency, residential and commercial securities, as well as related derivatives such as futures, forwards, swaps, and options. It focuses primarily on MBS issued by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises and agencies, specifically the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae), the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac). The fund was listed on NYSE on November 6, 2023.

Mortgage-backed securities are fixed-income instruments backed by pools of mortgage loans, where investors receive payments derived from the underlying homeowners mortgage payments. Agency MBS issued by Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac benefit from explicit or implicit U.S. government support, which generally distinguishes them from non-agency MBS that carry private credit risk. The fund is classified as an Intermediate Government ETF, indicating its focus on government-backed debt securities with intermediate-term maturities.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed rate cuts compress MBS yields and spreads
  • Treasury yield volatility drives MBS price swings
  • Rising prepayments erode MBS income as housing rebounds
  • Competition from larger MBS ETFs pressures AUM growth
What is the price of MTBA shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 48.75 with a total of 129,534 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.31%, over one month by -0.99%, over three months by -0.73% and over the past year by +3.61%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 48.50 (which is 0.5% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is MTBA a buy, sell or hold?

Simplify MBS has no consensus analysts rating.