MOV Stock Analysis: Movado | NYSE
Luxury Goods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 737m USD | 12M Return: 92% | US6245801062 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.07M
EPS Trend: -43.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 11.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Movado Group, Inc. is a U.S.-based designer, marketer, and distributor of watches and accessories that operates through two segments: Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. Its owned brand portfolio includes Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT, while its licensed portfolio features prominent fashion names such as Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and Kate Spade New York. The company also distributes jewelry and other accessories and provides after-sales and shipping services.
The business relies on a multi-channel distribution model that serves jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, licensed brand retail stores, third-party e-commerce retailers, and its own direct-to-consumer e-commerce platforms. This blend of owned and licensed watch brands, sold through both wholesale and DTC channels, is a common structure in the global premium and fashion watch market, where brand licensing and retail partnerships play a key role in reaching diverse customer segments. Headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey, the company traces its origins to 1881 and adopted the Movado Group name in 1996.
- Licensed brand revenue from Coach and Tommy Hilfiger drives growth
- Smartwatch competition pressures traditional watch segment share
- China and Asia Pacific demand remains weak amid consumer slowdown
| Net Income: 41.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 58.49% < 20% (prev 59.30%; Δ -0.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 75.5m > Net Income 41.4m |
| Net Debt (-143.5m) to EBITDA (60.8m): -2.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.26 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.9m) vs 12m ago 1.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.11% > 18% (prev 53.71%; Δ 2.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.47% > 50% (prev 86.67%; Δ 5.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 103.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 51.5m / Interest Expense TTM 496k) |
| A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 527.2m - Total Current Liabilities 123.7m) / Total Assets 743.3m |
| B: 0.60 (Retained Earnings 444.8m / Total Assets 743.3m) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 51.5m / Avg Total Assets 746.0m) |
| D: 2.15 (Book Value of Equity 507.2m / Total Liabilities 236.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.23 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 99.5m/101.2m, Revenue 689.9m/648.9m) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 53.71% / 56.11%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 689.9m / 648.9m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 41.4m - CFO 75.5m) / TA 743.3m) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.12 with a total of 195,607 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.33%, over one month by -1.24%, over three months by -9.33% and over the past year by +91.95%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 32.00 (which is 6.2% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Movado has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOV.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 39.2% |
P/E Trailing = 18.2431
P/E Forward = 21.1864
P/S = 1.068
P/B = 1.4571
P/EG = 0.8358
Revenue TTM = 689.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 51.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 60.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 49.7m USD (estimated: total debt 68.1m - short term 18.4m)
Short Term Debt = 18.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 68.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 68.1m already included)
Net Debt = -143.5m USD (calculated: Debt 68.1m - CCE 211.6m)
Enterprise Value = 593.2m USD (736.8m + Debt 68.1m - CCE 211.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 103.7 (Ebit TTM 51.5m / Interest Expense TTM 496k)
EV/FCF = 8.31x (Enterprise Value 593.2m / FCF TTM 71.4m)
FCF Yield = 12.04% (FCF TTM 71.4m / Enterprise Value 593.2m)
FCF Margin = 10.35% (FCF TTM 71.4m / Revenue TTM 689.9m)
Net Margin = 6.00% (Net Income TTM 41.4m / Revenue TTM 689.9m)
Gross Margin = 56.11% ((Revenue TTM 689.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 302.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.40% (prev 57.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 593.2m / Total Assets 743.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 496k / Debt 68.1m)
Taxrate = 19.82% (10.3m / 52.2m)
NOPAT = 41.3m (EBIT 51.5m * (1 - 19.82%))
Current Ratio = 4.26 (Total Current Assets 527.2m / Total Current Liabilities 123.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 68.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 507.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.36 (Net Debt -143.5m / EBITDA 60.8m)
Debt / FCF = -2.01 (Net Debt -143.5m / FCF TTM 71.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 505.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.55% (Net Income 41.4m / Total Assets 743.3m)
RoE = 8.19% (Net Income TTM 41.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 505.1m)
RoCE = 9.27% (EBIT 51.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 505.1m + L.T.Debt 49.7m))
RoIC = 6.84% (NOPAT 41.3m / Invested Capital 603.6m)
WACC = 9.29% (E(736.8m)/V(804.9m) * Re(10.09%) + D(68.1m)/V(804.9m) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 57.15 | Cagr: 0.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.00% ; FCFF base≈49.4m ; Y1≈56.7m ; Y5≈83.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 76.53 (EV 1.08b - Net Debt -143.5m = Equity 1.22b / Shares 16.0m; r=9.29% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -43.11 | EPS CAGR: -17.73% | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 11.24 | Revenue CAGR: 0.30% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=-13.07% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.94 | Chg30d=+3.42% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+65.4% | GrowthRev=+5.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=+2.02% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +22% (up=4, down=2)