LXFR Stock Analysis: Luxfer Holdings | NYSE

Specialty Industrial Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 461m USD | 12M Return: 29.7% | GB00BNK03D49 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Aluminum Cylinders, Magnesium Alloys, Zirconium Oxides, Carbon Composites
Total Rating 59
Safety 88
Buy Signal 0.16
Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Rotation: +8.7
Market Cap: 461M
Avg Turnover: 6.44M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility37.3%
VaR 5th Pctl6.16%
VaR vs Median0.25%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.82
Rel. Str. IBD70.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group74.8
Character TTM
Beta1.131
Beta Downside1.134
Hurst Exponent0.578
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.99%
CAGR/Max DD0.35
CAGR/Mean DD1.01
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LXFR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.26, "2021-12": 0.28, "2022-03": 0.33, "2022-06": 0.36, "2022-09": 0.35, "2022-12": 0.31, "2023-03": 0.2, "2023-06": 0.27, "2023-09": 0.04, "2023-12": 0.09, "2024-03": 0.15, "2024-06": 0.39, "2024-09": 0.33, "2024-12": 0.29, "2025-03": 0.23, "2025-06": 0.3, "2025-09": 0.3, "2025-12": 0.28, "2026-03": 0.27, "2026-06": 0.26,
EPS CAGR: 27.34%
EPS Trend: 75.7%
Last SUE: 0.23
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LXFR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 91.2, 2021-12: 98.7, 2022-03: 97, 2022-06: 109.5, 2022-09: 100.2, 2022-12: 116.7, 2023-03: 101.3, 2023-06: 110.4, 2023-09: 97.4, 2023-12: 95.9, 2024-03: 89.4, 2024-06: 99.7, 2024-09: 99.4, 2024-12: 103.4, 2025-03: 97, 2025-06: 104, 2025-09: 92.9, 2025-12: 90.7, 2026-03: 83.9, 2026-06: 95.7,
Rev. CAGR: -3.19%
Rev. Trend: -69.7%
Last SUE: 0.81
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.6% 7
Feb -0.3% 7
Mar +1.2% 5
Apr -1.4% 21
May +6.6% 45
Jun -2.0% 19
Jul -0.1% 7
Aug -2.1% 19
Sep -1.2% 11
Oct -0.3% 13
Nov +2.1% 24
Dec +2.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LXFR Luxfer Holdings

Luxfer Holdings PLC (NYSE: LXFR) is a U.S.-based industrial company that develops and manufactures high-performance materials, components, and high-pressure gas containment devices through two business segments: Gas Cylinders and Elektron. The Gas Cylinders segment produces engineered containment solutions using aluminum alloys and carbon composite technologies for applications spanning medical gas, alternative fuel transportation, aerospace, defense, and space markets. The Elektron segment manufactures specialty materials based on magnesium and zirconium, serving defense (countermeasure flares, infrared decoys), industrial catalysis, advanced ceramics, pharmaceuticals, and fuel cell components. Founded in 1898 and headquartered in Riverside, California, the company has manufactured industrial materials for over 125 years and operates globally across the U.S., U.K., Japan, Canada, Germany, and the broader Asia Pacific region.

Sector context: Luxfer operates in the Industrials sector, specifically within Industrial Machinery & Components, a classification that reflects its focus on engineered specialty materials rather than commodity production. Its product portfolio is heavily weighted toward defense and aerospace end markets, while exposure to alternative fuel containment (hydrogen and CNG for transportation) aligns the business with energy transition demand for lightweight, high-pressure storage solutions.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Hydrogen and CNG cylinder demand accelerates
  • Aerospace defense orders boost Gas Cylinders segment revenue
  • Magnesium powder sales lift Elektron segment margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 8.00m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.64 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.24% < 20% (prev 17.98%; Δ 11.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 25.8m > Net Income 8.00m
Net Debt (57.9m) to EBITDA (46.9m): 1.23 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.33 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.2m) vs 12m ago 0.45% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.83% > 18% (prev 22.46%; Δ 2.37% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 92.16% > 50% (prev 101.2%; Δ -8.99% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 35.2m / Interest Expense TTM 3.10m)
Altman Z'' 4.67
A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 185.8m - Total Current Liabilities 79.6m) / Total Assets 389.0m
B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 104.0m / Total Assets 389.0m)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 35.2m / Avg Total Assets 394.1m)
D: 1.34 (Book Value of Equity 222.7m / Total Liabilities 166.3m)
Altman-Z'' = 4.67 = AA
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.26 (Receivables 70.0m/61.6m, Revenue 363.2m/403.8m)
GMI: 0.90 (GM 22.46% / 24.83%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.35)
SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 363.2m / 403.8m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 8.00m - CFO 25.8m) / TA 389.0m)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of LXFR shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.25 with a total of 270,416 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.17%, over one month by +0.58%, over three months by -7.25% and over the past year by +29.67%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 17.10 (which is 0.9% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is LXFR a buy, sell or hold?

Luxfer Holdings has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the LXFR price?
Analysts Target Price 18.8 8.7%
Luxfer Holdings (LXFR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 460.7m (460.7m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.1429
P/E Forward = 11.8624
P/S = 1.2764
P/B = 2.0673
P/EG = 1.6956
Revenue TTM = 363.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 35.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 46.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 58.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 69.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.1m
Net Debt = 57.9m USD (calculated: Debt 69.4m - CCE 11.5m)
Enterprise Value = 518.6m USD (460.7m + Debt 69.4m - CCE 11.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.35 (Ebit TTM 35.2m / Interest Expense TTM 3.10m)
EV/FCF = 31.50x (Enterprise Value 518.6m / FCF TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.17% (FCF TTM 16.5m / Enterprise Value 518.6m)
FCF Margin = 4.53% (FCF TTM 16.5m / Revenue TTM 363.2m)
Net Margin = 2.20% (Net Income TTM 8.00m / Revenue TTM 363.2m)
Gross Margin = 24.83% ((Revenue TTM 363.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 273.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.60% (prev 26.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.33 (Enterprise Value 518.6m / Total Assets 389.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.47% (Interest Expense 3.10m / Debt 69.4m)
Taxrate = 42.86% (8.40m / 19.6m)
NOPAT = 20.1m (EBIT 35.2m * (1 - 42.86%))
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 185.8m / Total Current Liabilities 79.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 69.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 222.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.23 (Net Debt 57.9m / EBITDA 46.9m)
Debt / FCF = 3.52 (Net Debt 57.9m / FCF TTM 16.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 226.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.03% (Net Income 8.00m / Total Assets 389.0m)
RoE = 3.54% (Net Income TTM 8.00m / Total Stockholder Equity 226.1m)
RoCE = 12.38% (EBIT 35.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 226.1m + L.T.Debt 58.3m))
RoIC = 6.23% (NOPAT 20.1m / Invested Capital 322.9m)
WACC = 8.99% (E(460.7m)/V(530.1m) * Re(9.96%) + D(69.4m)/V(530.1m) * Rd(4.47%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 9.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 24.71 | Cagr: 0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.73% ; FCFF base≈24.0m ; Y1≈21.1m ; Y5≈17.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.08 (EV 247.3m - Net Debt 57.9m = Equity 189.4m / Shares 26.8m; r=8.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 75.71 | EPS CAGR: 27.34% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -69.71 | Revenue CAGR: -3.19% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=-16.67% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=-10.13% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-8.1% | GrowthRev=-5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+39.7% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)