LOB Stock Analysis: Live Oak Bancshares | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.717m USD | 12M Return: 3.3% | US53803X1054 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Deposit Accounts, Commercial Loans, Wealth Management, Renewable Financing
Total Rating 29
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.36
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Market Cap: 1.72B
Avg Turnover: 7.78M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.8%
VaR 5th Pctl4.82%
VaR vs Median-1.61%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.13
Rel. Str. IBD39
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.8
Character TTM
Beta1.154
Beta Downside1.227
Hurst Exponent0.515
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.79%
CAGR/Max DD0.18
CAGR/Mean DD0.41
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LOB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": 0.66, "2022-03": 0.76, "2022-06": 0.49, "2022-09": 0.34, "2022-12": 0.35, "2023-03": 0.18, "2023-06": 0.39, "2023-09": 0.88, "2023-12": 0.66, "2024-03": 0.46, "2024-06": 0.59, "2024-09": 0.28, "2024-12": 0.27, "2025-03": 0.26, "2025-06": 0.53, "2025-09": 0.59, "2025-12": 0.47, "2026-03": 0.63, "2026-06": 0.74,
EPS CAGR: -2.22%
EPS Trend: -9.4%
Last SUE: 0.70
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LOB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 115.763, 2021-12: 119.584, 2022-03: 124.461, 2022-06: 105.648, 2022-09: 133.325, 2022-12: 145.396, 2023-03: 169.951, 2023-06: 192.481, 2023-09: 216.038, 2023-12: 198.084, 2024-03: 220.555, 2024-06: 230.545, 2024-09: 238.274, 2024-12: 239.916, 2025-03: 236.34, 2025-06: 257.066, 2025-09: 258.399, 2025-12: 289.442, 2026-03: 259.938, 2026-06: 272.472,
Rev. CAGR: 14.73%
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Last SUE: 0.74
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.2 years of data

Jan -6.2% 14
Feb +5.1% 15
Mar -10.1% 31
Apr +0.8% 23
May -3.6% 27
Jun +1.4% 2
Jul +9.8% 25
Aug -0.9% 19
Sep -0.1% 2
Oct +1.5% 13
Nov +5.2% 43
Dec +0.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LOB Live Oak Bancshares

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (NYSE: LOB) is a Wilmington, North Carolina-based bank holding company that operates through Live Oak Banking Company, providing a range of banking products and services across the United States. Its deposit offerings include noninterest-bearing demand accounts along with interest-bearing checking, money market, savings, and time deposits. On the lending side, the company extends commercial and industrial loans, construction and development loans, owner- and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans, and commercial land loans. Beyond traditional banking, Live Oak provides settlement, accounting, and securitization services for government-guaranteed loans, renewable energy financing, wealth and investment management for high-net-worth clients, and investment advisory services to fintech-focused venture capital funds. The company was founded in 2008 and went public in July 2015.

As a regional bank holding company within the Financials sector, Live Oak operates with the structure common to U.S. community and niche-focused banking institutions, where the parent company oversees the operating bank and any affiliated subsidiaries. Its emphasis on government-guaranteed loan servicing and renewable energy financing reflects a strategy of targeting specialized lending verticals rather than competing broadly across all consumer and commercial banking segments.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • SBA loan originations and securitization volumes drive core revenue
  • Net interest margin compresses as Fed cuts rates
  • Renewable energy and fintech venture investments diversify earnings
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 137.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.10 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.18k% < 20% (prev -1.15k%; Δ -28.19% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -36.3m > Net Income 137.5m
Net Debt (-827.9m) to EBITDA (226.1m): -3.66 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.07 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (46.6m) vs 12m ago 1.74% < -2%
Gross Margin: 50.46% > 18% (prev 40.82%; Δ 9.64% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.23% > 50% (prev 7.02%; Δ 0.21% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 202.6m / Interest Expense TTM 463.3m)
Altman Z'' -4.86
A: -0.80 (Total Current Assets 927.6m - Total Current Liabilities 13.7b) / Total Assets 16.0b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 869.8m / Total Assets 16.0b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 202.6m / Avg Total Assets 14.9b)
D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 1.31b / Total Liabilities 14.7b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.86 = D
What is the price of LOB shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 37.48 with a total of 205,332 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.01%, over one month by -6.21%, over three months by -8.43% and over the past year by +3.31%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.30 (which is 3.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is LOB a buy, sell or hold?

Live Oak Bancshares has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LOB.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LOB price?
Analysts Target Price 46.3 23.4%
Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.72b (1.72b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.2464
P/E Forward = 10.1937
P/S = 3.2613
P/B = 1.4407
Revenue TTM = 1.08b USD
EBIT TTM = 202.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 226.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 99.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 542k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 99.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.00k
Net Debt = -827.9m USD (calculated: Debt 99.8m - CCE 927.6m)
Enterprise Value = 888.8m USD (1.72b + Debt 99.8m - CCE 927.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.44 (Ebit TTM 202.6m / Interest Expense TTM 463.3m)
EV/FCF = -17.02x (Enterprise Value 888.8m / FCF TTM -52.2m)
FCF Yield = -5.88% (FCF TTM -52.2m / Enterprise Value 888.8m)
FCF Margin = -4.83% (FCF TTM -52.2m / Revenue TTM 1.08b)
Net Margin = 12.73% (Net Income TTM 137.5m / Revenue TTM 1.08b)
Gross Margin = 50.46% ((Revenue TTM 1.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 535.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.82% (prev 48.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.06 (Enterprise Value 888.8m / Total Assets 16.0b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 464.4% (Interest Expense 463.3m / Debt 99.8m)
 Taxrate = 32.25% (65.3m / 202.6m)
NOPAT = 137.2m (EBIT 202.6m * (1 - 32.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.07 (Total Current Assets 927.6m / Total Current Liabilities 13.7b)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 99.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.66 (Net Debt -827.9m / EBITDA 226.1m)
 Debt / FCF = 15.85 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -827.9m / FCF TTM -52.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.92% (Net Income 137.5m / Total Assets 16.0b)
RoE = 10.91% (Net Income TTM 137.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.26b)
RoCE = 14.90% (EBIT 202.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.26b + L.T.Debt 99.8m))
RoIC = 5.98% (NOPAT 137.2m / Invested Capital 2.30b)
WACC = 9.49% (E(1.72b)/V(1.82b) * Re(10.04%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.33 | Cagr: 0.92%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -52.2m)
 EPS Correlation: -9.38 | EPS CAGR: -2.22% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.36 | Revenue CAGR: 14.73% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=+2.64% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=+2.36% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+68.4% | GrowthRev=+11.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.23 | Chg30d=+0.48% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+35.5% | GrowthRev=+14.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=9, down=2)