KNX Stock Analysis: Knight Transportation | NYSE
Trucking | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.753m USD | 12M Return: 61.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 267M
EPS Trend: -27.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 73.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KNX) is a large-cap U.S. freight transportation company headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, operating across the United States and Mexico. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is classified within the Industrials sector under Cargo Ground Transportation, a sub-industry covering businesses that move freight over land via truck, rail, and intermodal services.
The company operates through four reporting segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. The Truckload segment provides irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, and cross-border services. The LTL (less-than-truckload) segment offers regional direct service, supplementing its own network with partner carriers for broader national coverage. The Logistics segment offers brokerage and freight management using third-party transportation providers, while the Intermodal segment arranges container movements on third-party rail networks and provides drayage services that connect rail terminals to customer facilities.
In addition to its core transportation operations, Knight-Swift provides repair and maintenance shop services, equipment leasing, warranty services, and insurance. It also engages in trailer parts manufacturing, warehousing, and driver training through its driving academy activities. The companys customer base spans retail, food and beverage, consumer and paper products, transportation and logistics, housing and building, automotive, and manufacturing industries.
- Truckload spot rates recover from cyclical lows amid tighter capacity
- LTL margins expand as AAA Cooper integration delivers cost synergies
- Intermodal volumes grow as shippers shift freight from truckload to rail
| Net Income: 42.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.71% < 20% (prev -2.44%; Δ 0.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.30b > Net Income 42.9m |
| Net Debt (3.49b) to EBITDA (928.5m): 3.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (163.3m) vs 12m ago 0.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.47% > 18% (prev 19.74%; Δ 11.74% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.03% > 50% (prev 59.31%; Δ 3.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 159.1m / Interest Expense TTM 134.7m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 942.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 12.0b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 2.57b / Total Assets 12.0b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 159.1m / Avg Total Assets 12.3b) |
| D: 1.39 (Book Value of Equity 6.98b / Total Liabilities 5.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.17 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.47 (Receivables 434.8m/887.4m, Revenue 7.73b/7.43b) |
| GMI: 0.63 (GM 19.74% / 31.47%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 7.73b / 7.43b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 42.9m - CFO 1.30b) / TA 12.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.77 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 70.73 with a total of 5,271,693 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.50%, over one month by -9.53%, over three months by +9.62% and over the past year by +61.35%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 64.30 (which is 9.1% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Knight Transportation has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KNX.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 86.6 | 22.5% |
P/E Trailing = 361.65
P/E Forward = 38.4615
P/S = 1.568
P/B = 1.7517
P/EG = 0.6337
Revenue TTM = 7.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 159.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 928.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 280.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.30b
Net Debt = 3.49b USD (calculated: Debt 3.75b - CCE 260.8m)
Enterprise Value = 15.2b USD (11.8b + Debt 3.75b - CCE 260.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.18 (Ebit TTM 159.1m / Interest Expense TTM 134.7m)
EV/FCF = 12.23x (Enterprise Value 15.2b / FCF TTM 1.25b)
FCF Yield = 8.17% (FCF TTM 1.25b / Enterprise Value 15.2b)
FCF Margin = 16.12% (FCF TTM 1.25b / Revenue TTM 7.73b)
Net Margin = 0.56% (Net Income TTM 42.9m / Revenue TTM 7.73b)
Gross Margin = 31.47% ((Revenue TTM 7.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.28% (prev 9.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 15.2b / Total Assets 12.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.59% (Interest Expense 134.7m / Debt 3.75b)
Taxrate = 39.12% (27.7m / 70.9m)
NOPAT = 96.8m (EBIT 159.1m * (1 - 39.12%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 942.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 3.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.76 (Net Debt 3.49b / EBITDA 928.5m)
Debt / FCF = 2.80 (Net Debt 3.49b / FCF TTM 1.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.35% (Net Income 42.9m / Total Assets 12.0b)
RoE = 0.61% (Net Income TTM 42.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.06b)
RoCE = 1.83% (EBIT 159.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.06b + L.T.Debt 1.65b))
RoIC = 0.88% (NOPAT 96.8m / Invested Capital 10.9b)
WACC = 7.56% (E(11.8b)/V(15.5b) * Re(9.27%) + D(3.75b)/V(15.5b) * Rd(3.59%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 9.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 97.93 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈796.5m ; Y1≈913.1m ; Y5≈1.34b
[DCF] Fair Price = 103.0 (EV 20.2b - Net Debt 3.49b = Equity 16.7b / Shares 162.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -27.77 | EPS CAGR: -9.22% | SUE: 3.33 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.56 | Revenue CAGR: 2.29% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=+10.84% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=+9.09% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+65.8% | GrowthRev=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.82 | Chg30d=+11.02% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+82.7% | GrowthRev=+9.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +78% (up=19, down=1)