HLI Stock Analysis: Houlihan Lokey | NYSE
Capital Markets | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 9.660m USD | 12M Return: -25.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 115M
EPS Trend: 96.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Houlihan Lokey (NYSE: HLI) is a U.S.-based, mid-cap global investment bank headquartered in Los Angeles, California, founded in 1972 and listed on the NYSE since August 2015. The firm is classified within the GICS Investment Banking & Brokerage sub-industry and operates as a pure advisory and financial services provider, generating revenue primarily from transaction and advisory fees rather than principal trading.
The company is organized into three reportable segments: Corporate Finance (CF), Financial Restructuring (FR), and Financial and Valuation Advisory (FVA). The CF segment provides M&A advisory and capital markets services to public and private companies and financial sponsors. The FR segment advises debtors, creditors, and other stakeholders on recapitalizations, reorganizations, liability management, and related disputes. The FVA segment delivers valuation, fairness and solvency opinions, transaction-related advisory work, and dispute resolution services.
Houlihan Lokey serves a client base of corporations, financial sponsors, and government agencies across multiple geographies. Its financial restructuring practice is widely recognized as one of the larger dedicated restructuring advisory platforms in the global investment banking industry.
- M&A deal pipeline strengthens Corporate Finance advisory revenue
- Financial Restructuring segment benefits from rising distressed credit cycle
- Capital return program expands with steady dividend and buybacks
| Net Income: 425.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.71% < 20% (prev 17.98%; Δ 6.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 704.1m > Net Income 425.7m |
| Net Debt (-867.6m) to EBITDA (652.7m): -1.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (68.1m) vs 12m ago -1.61% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 51.87% > 18% (prev 38.50%; Δ 13.37% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.40% > 50% (prev 62.55%; Δ 1.85% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 610.0m / Interest Expense TTM 47.8m) |
| A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 1.86b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 4.31b |
| B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 1.65b / Total Assets 4.31b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 610.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.06b) |
| D: 1.26 (Book Value of Equity 2.34b / Total Liabilities 1.86b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.56 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 499.6m/415.1m, Revenue 2.62b/2.39b) |
| GMI: 0.74 (GM 38.50% / 51.87%) |
| AQI: 1.17 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.46) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 2.62b / 2.39b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 425.7m - CFO 704.1m) / TA 4.31b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 141.25 with a total of 623,880 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.98%, over one month by +6.27%, over three months by -11.12% and over the past year by -25.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 132.70 (which is 6.1% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Houlihan Lokey has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HLI.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 169.8 | 20.2% |
P/E Trailing = 22.4887
P/E Forward = 18.6567
P/S = 3.6905
P/B = 4.124
P/EG = 6.54
Revenue TTM = 2.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 610.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 652.7m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 492.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 492.1m already included)
Net Debt = -867.6m USD (calculated: Debt 492.1m - CCE 1.36b)
Enterprise Value = 8.79b USD (9.66b + Debt 492.1m - CCE 1.36b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.77 (Ebit TTM 610.0m / Interest Expense TTM 47.8m)
EV/FCF = 12.90x (Enterprise Value 8.79b / FCF TTM 681.8m)
FCF Yield = 7.75% (FCF TTM 681.8m / Enterprise Value 8.79b)
FCF Margin = 26.05% (FCF TTM 681.8m / Revenue TTM 2.62b)
Net Margin = 16.26% (Net Income TTM 425.7m / Revenue TTM 2.62b)
Gross Margin = 51.87% ((Revenue TTM 2.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 38.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.04 (Enterprise Value 8.79b / Total Assets 4.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.71% (Interest Expense 47.8m / Debt 492.1m)
Taxrate = 24.56% (138.1m / 562.3m)
NOPAT = 460.2m (EBIT 610.0m * (1 - 24.56%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 1.86b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 492.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -867.6m / EBITDA 652.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -867.6m / FCF TTM 681.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.47% (Net Income 425.7m / Total Assets 4.31b)
RoE = 18.79% (Net Income TTM 425.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.27b)
RoCE = 19.70% (EBIT 610.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 4.31b - Current Liab 1.21b))
RoIC = 15.52% (NOPAT 460.2m / Invested Capital 2.97b)
WACC = 10.26% (E(9.66b)/V(10.2b) * Re(10.41%) + D(492.1m)/V(10.2b) * Rd(9.71%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 16.78 | Cagr: 0.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.31% ; FCFF base≈732.7m ; Y1≈642.5m ; Y5≈519.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 132.9 (EV 6.34b - Net Debt -867.6m = Equity 7.21b / Shares 54.3m; r=10.26% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.92 | EPS CAGR: 30.12% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.50 | Revenue CAGR: 18.00% | SUE: -3.10 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.64 | Chg30d=-10.40% | Revisions=-18% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=-5.92% | Revisions=-30% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.90 | Chg30d=-3.80% | Revisions=-36% | GrowthEPS=+4.5% | GrowthRev=+9.7%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=9.42 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+14.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -34% (up=9, down=20)