GPC Stock Analysis: Genuine Parts | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 16.594m USD | 12M Return: -0.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 253M
EPS Trend: -91.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Genuine Parts Company (NYSE: GPC) is a large-cap U.S. distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, and incorporated in 1928. The company operates through three reporting segments: North America Automotive Parts Group, International Automotive Parts Group, and Industrial Parts Group, serving professional repair shops, fleet operators, and industrial customers across multiple geographies. Its automotive business distributes parts, accessories, tools, and equipment for a broad range of vehicles, including hybrid and electric vehicles, trucks, buses, motorcycles, farm equipment, and heavy-duty machinery, and operates independent repair shops and auto care centers under the well-known NAPA brand.
The Industrial Parts Group distributes a wide catalog of MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) products, including bearings, seals, hoses, hydraulics, abrasives, adhesives, electrical supplies, chemicals, and janitorial supplies, while also offering value-added services such as inventory management, vendor-managed inventory, asset tracking with RFID, and specialized component repair. Beyond parts distribution, the company provides technical training, diagnostic tools, and in-store services like paint mixing, hydraulic hose assembly, battery testing, and key cutting, supporting its position within the fragmented automotive aftermarket and industrial distribution sectors where scale, logistics capability, and brand recognition are key competitive advantages.
- NAPA same-store sales track aging US vehicle fleet and miles driven
- Industrial Parts Group margins benefit from US reshoring and MRO demand
- International segment growth driven by Europe and Australia acquisitions
| Net Income: 32.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.05% < 20% (prev 5.30%; Δ 0.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.19b > Net Income 32.8m |
| Net Debt (7.81b) to EBITDA (736.6m): 10.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.0m) vs 12m ago -0.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.22% > 18% (prev 36.88%; Δ -0.66% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 120.9% > 50% (prev 116.3%; Δ 4.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 171.3m / Interest Expense TTM 170.1m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 11.1b - Total Current Liabilities 9.55b) / Total Assets 21.1b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 4.69b / Total Assets 21.1b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 171.3m / Avg Total Assets 20.7b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 4.53b / Total Liabilities 16.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.54 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.70 (Receivables 2.65b/3.57b, Revenue 25.1b/23.8b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 36.88% / 36.22%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 25.1b / 23.8b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 32.8m - CFO 1.19b) / TA 21.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.25 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 127.70 with a total of 1,228,684 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.33%, over one month by +8.98%, over three months by +21.14% and over the past year by -0.60%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 119.20 (which is 6.7% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Genuine Parts has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GPC.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 137.9 | 8% |
P/E Trailing = 267.4889
P/E Forward = 15.361
P/S = 0.6619
P/B = 3.6693
P/EG = 1.3205
Revenue TTM = 25.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 171.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 736.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.00b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.72b
Net Debt = 7.81b USD (calculated: Debt 8.37b - CCE 559.1m)
Enterprise Value = 24.4b USD (16.6b + Debt 8.37b - CCE 559.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 171.3m / Interest Expense TTM 170.1m)
EV/FCF = 32.14x (Enterprise Value 24.4b / FCF TTM 759.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.11% (FCF TTM 759.4m / Enterprise Value 24.4b)
FCF Margin = 3.03% (FCF TTM 759.4m / Revenue TTM 25.1b)
Net Margin = 0.13% (Net Income TTM 32.8m / Revenue TTM 25.1b)
Gross Margin = 36.22% ((Revenue TTM 25.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.80% (prev 37.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 24.4b / Total Assets 21.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.03% (Interest Expense 170.1m / Debt 8.37b)
Taxrate = 22.55% (66.3m / 293.8m)
NOPAT = 132.6m (EBIT 171.3m * (1 - 22.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 11.1b / Total Current Liabilities 9.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.85 (Debt 8.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.61 (Net Debt 7.81b / EBITDA 736.6m)
Debt / FCF = 10.29 (Net Debt 7.81b / FCF TTM 759.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.16% (Net Income 32.8m / Total Assets 21.1b)
RoE = 0.72% (Net Income TTM 32.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.55b)
RoCE = 2.13% (EBIT 171.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.55b + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 1.11% (NOPAT 132.6m / Invested Capital 12.0b)
WACC = 6.46% (E(16.6b)/V(25.0b) * Re(8.92%) + D(8.37b)/V(25.0b) * Rd(2.03%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.22 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈556.2m ; Y1≈637.6m ; Y5≈938.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 45.77 (EV 14.1b - Net Debt 7.81b = Equity 6.31b / Shares 137.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.13 | EPS CAGR: -10.32% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.05% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=-0.55% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.73 | Chg30d=+0.36% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+4.9% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.28 | Chg30d=-1.43% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+7.0% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -9% (up=9, down=11)