GGG Stock Analysis: Graco | NYSE
Specialty Industrial Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.592m USD | 12M Return: -3.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 102M
EPS Trend: -19.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 60.1%
Qual. Beats: -2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) is a U.S.-based manufacturer of fluid and powder handling equipment, operating globally across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. Founded in 1926 and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the company is classified within the Industrials sector under Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components, and is classified as a large-cap stock.
The business is organized into three segments. The Contractor segment supplies sprayers for paint, foam, roof coatings, and road/field markings, as well as dispensing and mixing equipment. The Industrial segment produces liquid finishing systems, fluid transfer pumps, automatic lubrication equipment, vehicle service products, and powder finishing systems. The Expansion Markets segment serves more specialized end markets, including pumps for semiconductor manufacturing, high-pressure valves for the oil and gas industry, and environmental monitoring and remediation equipment for groundwater and landfill applications.
Gracos business model centers on engineering specialized fluid management solutions for diverse industrial and commercial customers, generating revenue across cyclical and secular end markets ranging from construction and manufacturing to energy and environmental services.
- US housing starts drive contractor sprayer demand
- Semiconductor pump orders rise with chip fab expansion
- Industrial segment margins face raw material pressure
| Net Income: 533.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.37% < 20% (prev 45.76%; Δ -5.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 673.5m > Net Income 533.5m |
| Net Debt (-439.4m) to EBITDA (729.3m): -0.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (161.9m) vs 12m ago -3.92% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.64% > 18% (prev 52.25%; Δ 0.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 73.41% > 50% (prev 71.17%; Δ 2.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 194.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 622.1m / Interest Expense TTM 3.20m) |
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 1.37b - Total Current Liabilities 459.4m) / Total Assets 3.13b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 1.32b / Total Assets 3.13b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 622.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.09b) |
| D: 4.15 (Book Value of Equity 2.52b / Total Liabilities 607.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.01 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 424.2m/387.2m, Revenue 2.27b/2.17b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 52.25% / 52.64%) |
| AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.27b / 2.17b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 533.5m - CFO 673.5m) / TA 3.13b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 80.44 with a total of 991,019 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.25%, over one month by +6.58%, over three months by +0.27% and over the past year by -3.43%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 78.00 (which is 3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Graco has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GGG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 90.3 | 12.2% |
P/E Trailing = 23.2784
P/E Forward = 23.8095
P/S = 5.5539
P/B = 4.8606
P/EG = 2.5087
Revenue TTM = 2.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 622.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 729.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 16.0m USD (estimated: total debt 45.2m - short term 29.2m)
Short Term Debt = 29.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 68.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 23.0m
Net Debt = -439.4m USD (calculated: Debt 68.2m - CCE 507.6m)
Enterprise Value = 12.2b USD (12.6b + Debt 68.2m - CCE 507.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 194.7 (Ebit TTM 622.1m / Interest Expense TTM 3.20m)
EV/FCF = 19.31x (Enterprise Value 12.2b / FCF TTM 629.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.18% (FCF TTM 629.5m / Enterprise Value 12.2b)
FCF Margin = 27.76% (FCF TTM 629.5m / Revenue TTM 2.27b)
Net Margin = 23.53% (Net Income TTM 533.5m / Revenue TTM 2.27b)
Gross Margin = 52.64% ((Revenue TTM 2.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.67% (prev 51.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.88 (Enterprise Value 12.2b / Total Assets 3.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.69% (Interest Expense 3.20m / Debt 68.2m)
Taxrate = 18.30% (119.5m / 653.1m)
NOPAT = 508.3m (EBIT 622.1m * (1 - 18.30%))
Current Ratio = 2.99 (Total Current Assets 1.37b / Total Current Liabilities 459.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 68.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.60 (Net Debt -439.4m / EBITDA 729.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.70 (Net Debt -439.4m / FCF TTM 629.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.28% (Net Income 533.5m / Total Assets 3.13b)
RoE = 20.27% (Net Income TTM 533.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = 23.49% (EBIT 622.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 16.0m))
RoIC = 19.65% (NOPAT 508.3m / Invested Capital 2.59b)
WACC = 8.30% (E(12.6b)/V(12.7b) * Re(8.32%) + D(68.2m)/V(12.7b) * Rd(4.69%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.65 | Cagr: -0.96%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.89% ; FCFF base≈621.0m ; Y1≈641.5m ; Y5≈719.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 71.37 (EV 11.1b - Net Debt -439.4m = Equity 11.6b / Shares 162.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 3.46% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -19.19 | EPS CAGR: -0.72% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 60.10 | Revenue CAGR: 1.46% | SUE: -1.76 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=+18% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=+0.15% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+5.2% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.38 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+9.0% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)