GEF-B Stock Analysis: Greif | NYSE

Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.156m USD | 12M Return: 84.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Steel Drums, Fiber Drums, Plastic Drums, Adhesives
Total Rating 61
Safety 87
Buy Signal 0.34
Packaging & Containers
Industry Rotation: -9.3
Market Cap: 4.16B
Avg Turnover: 9.05M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.60%
VaR vs Median1.64%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.25
Rel. Str. IBD90.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group89.6
Character TTM
Beta0.452
Beta Downside0.077
Hurst Exponent0.581
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.37%
CAGR/Max DD0.82
CAGR/Mean DD2.87
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GEF-B over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 2.92, "2021-10": 1.93, "2022-01": 1.28, "2022-04": 3.65, "2022-07": 3.58, "2022-10": 1.83, "2023-01": 1.06, "2023-04": 1.77, "2023-07": 1.75, "2023-10": 1.56, "2024-01": 1.7493, "2024-04": 1.15, "2024-07": 2.2489, "2024-10": 1.64, "2025-01": 0.22, "2025-04": 0.9947, "2025-07": 1.66, "2025-10": 0.69, "2026-01": 1.64, "2026-04": 2.46,
EPS CAGR: -11.86%
EPS Trend: -56.8%
Last SUE: 1.60
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of GEF-B over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 1490.8, 2021-10: 1578.2, 2022-01: 1564.3, 2022-04: 1667.3, 2022-07: 1622.1, 2022-10: 1495.8, 2023-01: 1271, 2023-04: 1308.9, 2023-07: 1330.3, 2023-10: 1308.4, 2024-01: 1205.8, 2024-04: 877.2, 2024-07: 1164.9, 2024-10: 724.9, 2025-01: 1265.8, 2025-04: 1385.7, 2025-07: 146.9, 2025-10: 994.8, 2026-01: 1072.8, 2026-04: 1165.6,
Rev. CAGR: -15.58%
Rev. Trend: -93.6%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -2.2% 19
Feb -2.0% 19
Mar +3.1% 18
Apr -1.0% 14
May -2.4% 6
Jun +5.1% 34
Jul -0.6% 16
Aug -1.1% 20
Sep +2.5% 13
Oct -2.0% 15
Nov +9.4% 58
Dec +0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GEF-B Greif

Greif, Inc. is a global producer of industrial packaging products and services, operating through four business segments: Customized Polymer Solutions (plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and small plastics), Durable Metal Solutions (steel drums and related products), Sustainable Fiber Solutions (fibre drums, recycled board, tubes, cores, and specialty partitions), and Integrated Solutions (complementary products such as paints, linings, closure systems, and packaging services).

The company manufactures a broad range of rigid industrial packaging, including steel, fibre, and plastic drums, IBCs, jerrycans, water bottles, and remanufactured or reconditioned containers, and offers container life cycle management, logistics, and warehousing services. In addition to its core packaging operations, Greif purchases and sells recycled fiber and produces adhesives.

Greif serves a diverse set of B2B end markets, including chemicals, food and beverage, agriculture, petroleum, pharmaceuticals, paints and coatings, automotive, construction, and building products. The company is classified within the Materials sector and the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, reflecting its heavy weighting in steel-based and other metal packaging alongside its polymer and fiber product lines. Founded in 1877 and headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, Greif operated as Greif Bros. Corporation before adopting its current name in 2001.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Steel input cost volatility pressures Durable Metal Solutions margins
  • Sustainable Fiber Solutions benefits from shift to recyclable packaging
  • Industrial demand weakness impacts Customized Polymer Solutions volumes
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 985.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.10 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.85% < 20% (prev 8.12%; Δ 2.73% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -74.7m > Net Income 985.1m
Net Debt (1.15b) to EBITDA (516.6m): 2.22 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.6m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.82% > 18% (prev 21.06%; Δ 1.76% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.26% > 50% (prev 67.23%; Δ -12.97% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m)
Altman Z'' 3.89
A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.64b - Total Current Liabilities 1.27b) / Total Assets 5.70b
B: 0.59 (Retained Earnings 3.36b / Total Assets 5.70b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 302.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.23b)
D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 3.00b / Total Liabilities 2.57b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.89 = AA
Beneish M -3.07
DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 747.0m/803.7m, Revenue 3.38b/4.54b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 21.06% / 22.82%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.49)
SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 3.38b / 4.54b)
TATA: 0.19 (NI 985.1m - CFO -74.7m) / TA 5.70b)
Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GEF-B shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 108.15 with a total of 173,204 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.08%, over one month by +1.26%, over three months by +19.59% and over the past year by +84.76%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 101.80 (which is 5.9% or 2 ATR below the current price).

Is GEF-B a buy, sell or hold?

Greif has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GEF-B.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF-B price?
Analysts Target Price 93 -14%
Greif (GEF-B) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.16b (4.16b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.2066
P/E Forward = 7.3529
P/S = 0.9658
P/B = 1.3677
P/EG = 0.6737
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 302.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 516.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 687.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 389.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 203.2m
Net Debt = 1.15b USD (calculated: Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Enterprise Value = 5.30b USD (4.16b + Debt 1.44b - CCE 288.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.18 (Ebit TTM 302.5m / Interest Expense TTM 58.4m)
EV/FCF = -23.25x (Enterprise Value 5.30b / FCF TTM -228.1m)
FCF Yield = -4.30% (FCF TTM -228.1m / Enterprise Value 5.30b)
FCF Margin = -6.75% (FCF TTM -228.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 29.14% (Net Income TTM 985.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 22.82% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.39% (prev 23.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 5.30b / Total Assets 5.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.06% (Interest Expense 58.4m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 32.08% (97.5m / 303.9m)
NOPAT = 205.4m (EBIT 302.5m * (1 - 32.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 1.64b / Total Current Liabilities 1.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.22 (Net Debt 1.15b / EBITDA 516.6m)
 Debt / FCF = -5.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.15b / FCF TTM -228.1m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.81% (Net Income 985.1m / Total Assets 5.70b)
RoE = 33.40% (Net Income TTM 985.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.95b)
RoCE = 8.32% (EBIT 302.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.95b + L.T.Debt 687.4m))
RoIC = 4.41% (NOPAT 205.4m / Invested Capital 4.66b)
WACC = 6.33% (E(4.16b)/V(5.59b) * Re(7.57%) + D(1.44b)/V(5.59b) * Rd(4.06%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 72.65 | Cagr: 9.50%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -228.1m)
 EPS Correlation: -56.77 | EPS CAGR: -11.86% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -93.62 | Revenue CAGR: -15.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=6.38 | Chg30d=+14.66% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+113.4% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)