GBX Stock Analysis: Greenbrier Companies | NYSE
Railroads | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.613m USD | 12M Return: 10.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 28.7M
EPS Trend: 45.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -92.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Greenbrier Companies (NYSE: GBX) is a Lake Oswego, Oregon-based industrial firm founded in 1974 that designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment across North America, Europe, and South America. The company operates through two segments: Manufacturing, which produces a range of freight cars (including covered hoppers, gondolas, tank cars, and intermodal railcars) along with parts, reconditioning services, and a railcar maintenance network; and Leasing & Management Services, which provides operating and per diem leases on a fleet of approximately 17,000 railcars and offers fleet management, accounting, and re-marketing services to railroads, shippers, carriers, and institutional investors.
The combination of manufacturing and in-house leasing gives Greenbrier a vertically integrated business model common in the rail equipment industry, allowing it to both produce railcars and hold them on its own books to generate recurring lease revenue. As a small-cap member of the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry, Greenbriers results tend to track capital spending cycles of North American freight railroads and broader trends in freight volumes.
- North American railcar backlog grows on freight demand recovery
- Steel cost inflation pressures manufacturing gross margins
- Lease fleet utilization rises, boosting services segment revenue
| Net Income: 102.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 43.71% < 20% (prev 17.14%; Δ 26.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 99.9m > Net Income 102.1m |
| Net Debt (2.69b) to EBITDA (193.4m): 13.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.81 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.8m) vs 12m ago -1.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.00% > 18% (prev 18.44%; Δ -3.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.36% > 50% (prev 81.07%; Δ -20.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.98 > 6 (EBIT TTM 161.2m / Interest Expense TTM 81.5m) |
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 1.78b - Total Current Liabilities 635.3m) / Total Assets 4.35b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 1.24b / Total Assets 4.35b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 161.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.35b) |
| D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 1.57b / Total Liabilities 2.65b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.53 = A |
| DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 463.4m/541.4m, Revenue 2.63b/3.53b) |
| GMI: 1.23 (GM 18.44% / 15.00%) |
| AQI: 1.38 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 2.63b / 3.53b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 102.1m - CFO 99.9m) / TA 4.35b) |
| Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.28 with a total of 244,261 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.45%, over one month by +3.62%, over three months by +3.24% and over the past year by +10.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 46.80 (which is 6.9% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Greenbrier Companies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GBX.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 45.3 | -9.8% |
P/E Trailing = 15.4201
P/E Forward = 11.0619
P/S = 0.6132
P/B = 1.025
P/EG = 0.5796
Revenue TTM = 2.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 161.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 193.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 598.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 121.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.16b
Net Debt = 2.69b USD (calculated: Debt 2.97b - CCE 273.7m)
Enterprise Value = 4.30b USD (1.61b + Debt 2.97b - CCE 273.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.98 (Ebit TTM 161.2m / Interest Expense TTM 81.5m)
EV/FCF = -36.29x (Enterprise Value 4.30b / FCF TTM -118.6m)
FCF Yield = -2.76% (FCF TTM -118.6m / Enterprise Value 4.30b)
FCF Margin = -4.52% (FCF TTM -118.6m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Net Margin = 3.89% (Net Income TTM 102.1m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Gross Margin = 15.00% ((Revenue TTM 2.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.07% (prev 11.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 4.30b / Total Assets 4.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.75% (Interest Expense 81.5m / Debt 2.97b)
Taxrate = 27.01% (36.9m / 136.6m)
NOPAT = 117.7m (EBIT 161.2m * (1 - 27.01%))
Current Ratio = 2.81 (Total Current Assets 1.78b / Total Current Liabilities 635.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.89 (Debt 2.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.92 (Net Debt 2.69b / EBITDA 193.4m)
Debt / FCF = -22.70 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.69b / FCF TTM -118.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.35% (Net Income 102.1m / Total Assets 4.35b)
RoE = 6.57% (Net Income TTM 102.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 7.49% (EBIT 161.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 598.0m))
RoIC = 3.21% (NOPAT 117.7m / Invested Capital 3.67b)
WACC = 4.67% (E(1.61b)/V(4.58b) * Re(9.57%) + D(2.97b)/V(4.58b) * Rd(2.75%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -48.89 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -118.6m)
EPS Correlation: 44.98 | EPS CAGR: 15.08% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -92.88 | Revenue CAGR: -12.02% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=-3.24% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=3.03 | Chg30d=-3.70% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-54.0% | GrowthRev=-23.4%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=3.90 | Chg30d=-4.10% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+28.6% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -70% (up=0, down=7)