EXPD Stock Analysis: Expeditors International of | NYSE
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 24.579m USD | 12M Return: 56.3% | US3021301094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 177M
EPS Trend: 85.8%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 80.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (NYSE: EXPD) is a global logistics services provider operating across the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. Founded in 1979 and headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, the company went public in March 1990 and is classified within the Industrials sector under Air Freight & Logistics.
EXPDs service portfolio spans airfreight consolidation and forwarding, ocean freight consolidation and direct forwarding, customs brokerage, intra-continental ground transportation, warehousing and distribution, and order management. It also offers customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, cargo monitoring and tracking, trade compliance consulting, and cargo security solutions.
The company acts as either a freight consolidator or an agent for the airlines carrying its shipments, and provides ancillary services such as shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance, and export/import regulatory documentation.
As a freight forwarder, EXPD operates on an asset-light business model, arranging the movement of cargo without owning the underlying aircraft, vessels, or trucks, which is characteristic of the global air freight and logistics industry.
- Trans-Pacific freight rate declines pressure operating margins
- Air freight volumes weaken amid escalating global trade tensions
- Capital returns through buybacks and dividends boost earnings per share
| Net Income: 919.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.03% < 20% (prev 13.62%; Δ -1.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 972.5m > Net Income 919.3m |
| Net Debt (-464.2m) to EBITDA (1.26b): -0.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (132.7m) vs 12m ago -3.50% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.89% > 18% (prev 13.60%; Δ 10.30% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 242.6% > 50% (prev 235.5%; Δ 7.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 4.01b - Total Current Liabilities 2.56b) / Total Assets 5.13b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 2.31b / Total Assets 5.13b) |
| C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 1.20b / Avg Total Assets 4.96b) |
| D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 2.12b / Total Liabilities 3.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.69 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 2.63b/2.01b, Revenue 12.0b/11.3b) |
| GMI: 0.57 (GM 13.60% / 23.89%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 12.0b / 11.3b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 919.3m - CFO 972.5m) / TA 5.13b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 187.46 with a total of 815,281 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.82%, over one month by -0.84%, over three months by +15.95% and over the past year by +56.25%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 182.30 (which is 2.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Expeditors International of has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.44. Therefore, it is recommended to sell EXPD.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 177.7 | -5.2% |
P/E Trailing = 27.5627
P/E Forward = 24.57
P/S = 2.0421
P/B = 11.5983
P/EG = 2.9942
Revenue TTM = 12.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 451.1m USD (estimated: total debt 567.3m - short term 116.2m)
Short Term Debt = 116.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 567.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 567.3m already included)
Net Debt = -464.2m USD (calculated: Debt 567.3m - CCE 1.03b)
Enterprise Value = 24.1b USD (24.6b + Debt 567.3m - CCE 1.03b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 26.10x (Enterprise Value 24.1b / FCF TTM 923.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.83% (FCF TTM 923.9m / Enterprise Value 24.1b)
FCF Margin = 7.68% (FCF TTM 923.9m / Revenue TTM 12.0b)
Net Margin = 7.64% (Net Income TTM 919.3m / Revenue TTM 12.0b)
Gross Margin = 23.89% ((Revenue TTM 12.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.30% (prev 34.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.70 (Enterprise Value 24.1b / Total Assets 5.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 567.3m)
Taxrate = 24.82% (303.8m / 1.22b)
NOPAT = 905.7m (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 24.82%))
Current Ratio = 1.57 (Total Current Assets 4.01b / Total Current Liabilities 2.56b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 567.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.37 (Net Debt -464.2m / EBITDA 1.26b)
Debt / FCF = -0.50 (Net Debt -464.2m / FCF TTM 923.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.53% (Net Income 919.3m / Total Assets 5.13b)
RoE = 40.68% (Net Income TTM 919.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.26b)
RoCE = 44.44% (EBIT 1.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.26b + L.T.Debt 451.1m))
RoIC = 43.34% (NOPAT 905.7m / Invested Capital 2.09b)
WACC = 7.61% (E(24.6b)/V(25.1b) * Re(7.79%) + D(567.3m)/V(25.1b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.46 | Cagr: -3.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.82% ; FCFF base≈878.4m ; Y1≈998.7m ; Y5≈1.44b
[DCF] Fair Price = 170.5 (EV 21.7b - Net Debt -464.2m = Equity 22.2b / Shares 130.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 14.04% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 85.84 | EPS CAGR: 12.25% | SUE: 2.66 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 80.73 | Revenue CAGR: 8.99% | SUE: 3.92 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.14 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+77% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.72 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+29.8% | GrowthRev=+17.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.07 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+4.5% | GrowthRev=+0.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +92% (up=34, down=0)