ES Stock Analysis: Eversource Energy | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 28.172m USD | 12M Return: 19.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 154M
EPS Trend: 94.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 68.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Eversource Energy (NYSE: ES) is a Massachusetts-based public utility holding company that delivers electricity, natural gas, and water through four segments: Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution. The company serves residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers across Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire, and also operates solar power facilities within its portfolio.
The company was incorporated in 1927 and operated as Northeast Utilities until its 2015 rebranding to Eversource Energy. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker ES and is classified as a large-cap stock, with a market capitalization of roughly $25.8 billion, within the GICS Utilities sector and Electric Utilities sub-industry.
As a rate-regulated utility, Eversources earnings are largely governed by state public utility commissions in the territories it serves, which set allowed rates of return on capital invested in transmission, distribution, and water infrastructure. This regulated-monopoly structure generally produces stable, predictable cash flows anchored to the essential-service nature of energy and water delivery.
- CT rate case decision supports distribution revenue growth
- Offshore wind project exits reduce future capital risk
- Electric transmission capex accelerates rate base expansion
| Net Income: 1.75b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.74 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.56% < 20% (prev -12.65%; Δ -7.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 4.40b > Net Income 1.75b |
| Net Debt (30.1b) to EBITDA (5.63b): 5.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (376.6m) vs 12m ago 2.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.87% > 18% (prev 38.72%; Δ 1.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 22.31% > 50% (prev 21.08%; Δ 1.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.48 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.24b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 8.21b) / Total Assets 64.7b |
| B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 4.82b / Total Assets 64.7b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 3.24b / Avg Total Assets 62.5b) |
| D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 16.5b / Total Liabilities 48.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.66 = B |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 2.30b/2.07b, Revenue 13.9b/12.7b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 38.72% / 39.87%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 13.9b / 12.7b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.75b - CFO 4.40b) / TA 64.7b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 74.69 with a total of 1,909,533 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.86%, over one month by +1.25%, over three months by +9.98% and over the past year by +19.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 72.70 (which is 2.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Eversource Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.68. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ES.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 73 | -2.3% |
P/E Trailing = 16.0407
P/E Forward = 16.3132
P/S = 2.0219
P/B = 1.7042
P/EG = 3.1655
Revenue TTM = 13.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 27.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.22b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.1b USD (calculated: Debt 30.3b - CCE 270.2m)
Enterprise Value = 58.2b USD (28.2b + Debt 30.3b - CCE 270.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.48 (Ebit TTM 3.24b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 246.0x (Enterprise Value 58.2b / FCF TTM 236.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.41% (FCF TTM 236.7m / Enterprise Value 58.2b)
FCF Margin = 1.70% (FCF TTM 236.7m / Revenue TTM 13.9b)
Net Margin = 12.55% (Net Income TTM 1.75b / Revenue TTM 13.9b)
Gross Margin = 39.87% ((Revenue TTM 13.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.29% (prev 29.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 58.2b / Total Assets 64.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.31% (Interest Expense 1.31b / Debt 30.3b)
Taxrate = 9.22% (178.4m / 1.93b)
NOPAT = 2.94b (EBIT 3.24b * (1 - 9.22%))
Current Ratio = 0.65 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 8.21b)
Debt / Equity = 1.84 (Debt 30.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.34 (Net Debt 30.1b / EBITDA 5.63b)
Debt / FCF = 127.0 (Net Debt 30.1b / FCF TTM 236.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.80% (Net Income 1.75b / Total Assets 64.7b)
RoE = 10.86% (Net Income TTM 1.75b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.1b)
RoCE = 7.50% (EBIT 3.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.1b + L.T.Debt 27.1b))
RoIC = 4.95% (NOPAT 2.94b / Invested Capital 59.4b)
WACC = 5.31% (E(28.2b)/V(58.5b) * Re(6.81%) + D(30.3b)/V(58.5b) * Rd(4.31%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 6.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 97.90 | Cagr: 3.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈236.7m ; Y1≈237.7m ; Y5≈251.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 3.92b - Net Debt 30.1b = -26.2b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 94.29 | EPS CAGR: 4.85% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 68.13 | Revenue CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-6.55% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=12
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=-2.98% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.65 | Chg30d=-0.39% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-2.2% | GrowthRev=-1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.90 | Chg30d=-1.28% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+5.3% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -71% (up=1, down=13)