EMBJ Stock Analysis: Embraer S.A. | NYSE
Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.555m USD | 12M Return: 45% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 55.7M
EPS Trend: 87.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 82.8%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace manufacturer founded in 1969 and headquartered in São Paulo, operating across five reportable segments: Commercial Aviation, Defense & Security, Executive Aviation, Services & Support, and Other. Its Commercial Aviation segment produces commercial jets, while Defense & Security covers military aircraft, satellites, surveillance systems, and command-and-control technologies. The Executive Aviation segment produces business jets, and Services & Support offers maintenance, training, flight operations, and aftermarket solutions. The Other segment reflects diversification activities, including the development and certification of eVTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, agricultural crop-spraying planes, and air traffic control systems for urban air mobility.
The company sits within the global Aerospace & Defense industry, a capital-intensive sector characterized by long product development cycles, stringent certification requirements, and a concentrated competitive landscape. Embraer is one of the few major Western commercial aircraft manufacturers outside the dominant Airbus–Boeing duopoly and is widely regarded as a leading producer in the regional jet category. The Other segments emphasis on eVTOLs signals exposure to the emerging urban air mobility market, where several manufacturers are pursuing pre-commercial development alongside electric and hybrid-electric propulsion initiatives.
- Commercial jet backlog and deliveries drive revenue outlook
- KC-390 military orders expand defense segment revenue
- Services and support margins lift overall profitability
| Net Income: 1.68b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.11% < 20% (prev 26.34%; Δ 1.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 3.64b > Net Income 1.68b |
| Net Debt (3.69b) to EBITDA (3.23b): 1.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (179.9m) vs 12m ago -2.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.66% > 18% (prev 17.29%; Δ 0.37% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.35% > 50% (prev 49.40%; Δ 13.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 1.56b) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 37.0b - Total Current Liabilities 25.0b) / Total Assets 66.8b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 172.7m / Total Assets 66.8b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 1.97b / Avg Total Assets 67.6b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 16.9b / Total Liabilities 47.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.75 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.69 (Receivables 5.67b/6.52b, Revenue 42.8b/33.7b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 17.29% / 17.66%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.27 (Revenue 42.8b / 33.7b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.68b - CFO 3.64b) / TA 66.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 67.99 with a total of 1,620,514 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.12%, over one month by +9.78%, over three months by +8.65% and over the past year by +44.99%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 64.90 (which is 4.5% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Embraer S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap BRL = 58.7b (11.6b USD * 5.0842 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 37.9708
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 0.2683
P/B = 3.5087
P/EG = 28.2177
Revenue TTM = 42.8b BRL
EBIT TTM = 1.97b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 3.23b BRL
Long Term Debt = 2.59b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 628.0m BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.6b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 117.4m
Net Debt = 3.69b BRL (calculated: Debt 14.6b - CCE 10.9b)
Enterprise Value = 62.4b BRL (58.7b + Debt 14.6b - CCE 10.9b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.26 (Ebit TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 1.56b)
EV/FCF = 28.36x (Enterprise Value 62.4b / FCF TTM 2.20b)
FCF Yield = 3.53% (FCF TTM 2.20b / Enterprise Value 62.4b)
FCF Margin = 5.14% (FCF TTM 2.20b / Revenue TTM 42.8b)
Net Margin = 3.93% (Net Income TTM 1.68b / Revenue TTM 42.8b)
Gross Margin = 17.66% ((Revenue TTM 42.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.97% (prev 16.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 62.4b / Total Assets 66.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.71% (Interest Expense 1.56b / Debt 14.6b)
Taxrate = 4.76% (85.0m / 1.79b)
NOPAT = 1.87b (EBIT 1.97b * (1 - 4.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 37.0b / Total Current Liabilities 25.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 14.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.14 (Net Debt 3.69b / EBITDA 3.23b)
Debt / FCF = 1.68 (Net Debt 3.69b / FCF TTM 2.20b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.49% (Net Income 1.68b / Total Assets 66.8b)
RoE = 9.20% (Net Income TTM 1.68b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.3b)
RoCE = 9.42% (EBIT 1.97b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.3b + L.T.Debt 2.59b))
RoIC = 4.65% (NOPAT 1.87b / Invested Capital 40.3b)
WACC = 10.58% (E(58.7b)/V(73.3b) * Re(10.67%) + D(14.6b)/V(73.3b) * Rd(10.71%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 10.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -52.57 | Cagr: -46.48%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.12% ; FCFF base≈1.57b ; Y1≈1.80b ; Y5≈2.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 139.9 (EV 28.6b - Net Debt 3.69b = Equity 24.9b / Shares 178.0m; r=10.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.28 | EPS CAGR: 128.6% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.83 | Revenue CAGR: 30.82% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=+2.17% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=+0.68% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+105.1% | GrowthRev=+12.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.85 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+36.0% | GrowthRev=+11.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=8, down=1)