ELPC Stock Analysis: Companhia Paranaense de | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.812m USD | 12M Return: 65.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.43M
Rev. Trend: 24.3%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 2.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is an integrated Brazilian electric utility operating across the full electricity value chain, including generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization. The company runs three reporting segments covering Generation and Transmission, Distribution, and Commercialization, and produces electricity primarily from renewable sources such as hydroelectric and wind power. It also constructs and maintains transmission infrastructure including substations and power lines.
Founded in 1954 and headquartered in Curitiba, COPEL has been listed on the NYSE under the ticker ELPC since a December 2023 listing. As an integrated electric utility, its business model combines regulated activities (transmission and distribution, typically subject to concession agreements and tariff regulation) with competitive generation and energy trading operations.
- Paraná basin rainfall levels swing hydroelectric output
- ANEEL tariff revisions reset distribution segment margins
- BRL depreciation drags on USD-listed earnings
| Net Income: 2.72b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.01% < 20% (prev 29.13%; Δ -16.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 2.00b > Net Income 2.72b |
| Net Debt (18.8b) to EBITDA (6.65b): 2.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (185.6m) vs 12m ago 0.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.47% > 18% (prev 34.84%; Δ -9.37% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.28% > 50% (prev 30.01%; Δ 14.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.14b / Interest Expense TTM 1.54b) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 13.1b - Total Current Liabilities 9.55b) / Total Assets 62.9b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 8.21b / Total Assets 62.9b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 5.14b / Avg Total Assets 61.6b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 23.8b / Total Liabilities 39.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.00 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.74 (Receivables 7.58b/6.80b, Revenue 27.3b/18.1b) |
| GMI: 1.37 (GM 34.84% / 25.47%) |
| AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.60) |
| SGI: 1.51 (Revenue 27.3b / 18.1b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 2.72b - CFO 2.00b) / TA 62.9b) |
| Beneish M = -2.48 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.54 with a total of 267,189 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.45%, over one month by -2.12%, over three months by -10.52% and over the past year by +65.10%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.00 (which is 4.7% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Companhia Paranaense de has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 16.9 | 46.7% |
Market Cap BRL = 44.8b (8.81b USD * 5.0842 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 16.4861
P/E Forward = 13.6426
P/S = 0.3229
P/B = 1.8661
Revenue TTM = 27.3b BRL
EBIT TTM = 5.14b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 6.65b BRL
Long Term Debt = 21.2b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.21b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.9b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 301.8m
Net Debt = 18.8b BRL (calculated: Debt 23.9b - CCE 5.11b)
Enterprise Value = 63.6b BRL (44.8b + Debt 23.9b - CCE 5.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.35 (Ebit TTM 5.14b / Interest Expense TTM 1.54b)
EV/FCF = 34.60x (Enterprise Value 63.6b / FCF TTM 1.84b)
FCF Yield = 2.89% (FCF TTM 1.84b / Enterprise Value 63.6b)
FCF Margin = 6.74% (FCF TTM 1.84b / Revenue TTM 27.3b)
Net Margin = 9.97% (Net Income TTM 2.72b / Revenue TTM 27.3b)
Gross Margin = 25.47% ((Revenue TTM 27.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.92% (prev 21.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.01 (Enterprise Value 63.6b / Total Assets 62.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.43% (Interest Expense 1.54b / Debt 23.9b)
Taxrate = 18.68% (620.7m / 3.32b)
NOPAT = 4.18b (EBIT 5.14b * (1 - 18.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 13.1b / Total Current Liabilities 9.55b)
Debt / Equity = 1.00 (Debt 23.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.83 (Net Debt 18.8b / EBITDA 6.65b)
Debt / FCF = 10.23 (Net Debt 18.8b / FCF TTM 1.84b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.41% (Net Income 2.72b / Total Assets 62.9b)
RoE = 11.03% (Net Income TTM 2.72b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.6b)
RoCE = 11.22% (EBIT 5.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.6b + L.T.Debt 21.2b))
RoIC = 7.71% (NOPAT 4.18b / Invested Capital 54.2b)
WACC = 7.29% (E(44.8b)/V(68.7b) * Re(8.39%) + D(23.9b)/V(68.7b) * Rd(6.43%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.12 | Cagr: -0.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.67b ; Y1≈1.92b ; Y5≈2.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 31.88 (EV 42.5b - Net Debt 18.8b = Equity 23.7b / Shares 742.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.35 | Revenue CAGR: 3.62% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-5.56% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=-23.98% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-92.4% | GrowthRev=-4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=-11.15% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+23.2% | GrowthRev=+7.0%