ELPC Stock Analysis: Companhia Paranaense de | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 9.399m USD | 12M Return: 50.7% | US20441B7047 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.74M
Rev. Trend: 44.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 2.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is an integrated Brazilian electric utility operating across the full electricity value chain, including generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization. The company runs three reporting segments covering Generation and Transmission, Distribution, and Commercialization, and produces electricity primarily from renewable sources such as hydroelectric and wind power. It also constructs and maintains transmission infrastructure including substations and power lines.
Founded in 1954 and headquartered in Curitiba, COPEL has been listed on the NYSE under the ticker ELPC since a December 2023 listing. As an integrated electric utility, its business model combines regulated activities (transmission and distribution, typically subject to concession agreements and tariff regulation) with competitive generation and energy trading operations.
- Paraná basin rainfall levels swing hydroelectric output
- ANEEL tariff revisions reset distribution segment margins
- BRL depreciation drags on USD-listed earnings
| Net Income: 3.19b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.07% < 20% (prev 7.62%; Δ 1.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 3.19b |
| Net Debt (20.4b) to EBITDA (7.10b): 2.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (185.6m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.09% > 18% (prev 33.87%; Δ -6.78% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.69% > 50% (prev 30.99%; Δ 14.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.55b / Interest Expense TTM 1.54b) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 10.9b - Total Current Liabilities 8.41b) / Total Assets 61.6b |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 7.51b / Total Assets 61.6b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 5.55b / Avg Total Assets 61.2b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 24.1b / Total Liabilities 37.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.95 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 7.41b/6.84b, Revenue 28.0b/18.8b) |
| GMI: 1.25 (GM 33.87% / 27.09%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.68 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 28.0b / 18.8b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 3.19b - CFO 1.27b) / TA 61.6b) |
| Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.24 with a total of 593,191 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.84%, over one month by +7.18%, over three months by +4.70% and over the past year by +50.69%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.60 (which is 5.2% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Companhia Paranaense de has no consensus analysts rating.
| Analysts Target Price | 17 | 38.9% |
Market Cap BRL = 48.7b (9.40b USD * 5.1868 USD.BRL)
P/E Trailing = 15.253
P/E Forward = 10.917
P/S = 0.3358
P/B = 1.9775
Revenue TTM = 28.0b BRL
EBIT TTM = 5.55b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 7.10b BRL
Long Term Debt = 21.1b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.26b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.9b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 285.0m
Net Debt = 20.4b BRL (calculated: Debt 23.9b - CCE 3.41b)
Enterprise Value = 69.2b BRL (48.7b + Debt 23.9b - CCE 3.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.59 (Ebit TTM 5.55b / Interest Expense TTM 1.54b)
EV/FCF = 63.25x (Enterprise Value 69.2b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
FCF Yield = 1.58% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Enterprise Value 69.2b)
FCF Margin = 3.91% (FCF TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 28.0b)
Net Margin = 11.42% (Net Income TTM 3.19b / Revenue TTM 28.0b)
Gross Margin = 27.09% ((Revenue TTM 28.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.30% (prev 24.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 69.2b / Total Assets 61.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.47% (Interest Expense 1.54b / Debt 23.9b)
Taxrate = 14.67% (545.8m / 3.72b)
NOPAT = 4.73b (EBIT 5.55b * (1 - 14.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 10.9b / Total Current Liabilities 8.41b)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 23.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.88 (Net Debt 20.4b / EBITDA 7.10b)
Debt / FCF = 18.69 (Net Debt 20.4b / FCF TTM 1.09b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.22% (Net Income 3.19b / Total Assets 61.6b)
RoE = 13.16% (Net Income TTM 3.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.3b)
RoCE = 12.23% (EBIT 5.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.3b + L.T.Debt 21.1b))
RoIC = 8.75% (NOPAT 4.73b / Invested Capital 54.1b)
WACC = 7.19% (E(48.7b)/V(72.6b) * Re(8.0%) + D(23.9b)/V(72.6b) * Rd(6.47%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 8.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.33 | Cagr: -0.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈1.42b ; Y1≈1.25b ; Y5≈1.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 16.2b - Net Debt 20.4b = -4.28b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.47 | Revenue CAGR: 7.84% | SUE: 3.77 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=-0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+28.9% | GrowthRev=+0.6%