EGP Stock Analysis: EastGroup Properties | NYSE

REIT - Industrial | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.510m USD | 12M Return: 35.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Industrial Properties, Distribution Facilities, Warehouses, Logistics Space
Total Rating 52
Safety 60
Buy Signal -0.79
REIT - Industrial
Industry Rotation: -0.3
Market Cap: 11.5B
Avg Turnover: 90.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility20.8%
VaR 5th Pctl3.74%
VaR vs Median9.06%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.36
Rel. Str. IBD70.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.7
Character TTM
Beta0.390
Beta Downside0.420
Hurst Exponent0.429
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD22.37%
CAGR/Max DD0.42
CAGR/Mean DD1.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EGP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.69, "2021-09": 0.76, "2021-12": 1.75, "2022-03": 0.8, "2022-06": 0.84, "2022-09": 0.87, "2022-12": 0.89, "2023-03": 0.91, "2023-06": 0.97, "2023-09": 1.07, "2023-12": 1.35, "2024-03": 1.22, "2024-06": 1.14, "2024-09": 1.13, "2024-12": 1.1621, "2025-03": 1.14, "2025-06": 1.2, "2025-09": 1.26, "2025-12": 1.27, "2026-03": 1.3, "2026-06": 2.36,
EPS CAGR: 10.10%
EPS Trend: 79.0%
Last SUE: -0.27
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of EGP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 99.575, 2021-09: 104.597, 2021-12: 107.372, 2022-03: 112.974, 2022-06: 118.553, 2022-09: 125.658, 2022-12: 129.84, 2023-03: 135.025, 2023-06: 137.818, 2023-09: 144.412, 2023-12: 149.149, 2024-03: 154.224, 2024-06: 157.382, 2024-09: 162.876, 2024-12: 164.044, 2025-03: 172.686, 2025-06: 177.286, 2025-09: 182.136, 2025-12: 187.465, 2026-03: 190.256, 2026-06: 193.331,
Rev. CAGR: 12.32%
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Last SUE: -0.23
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.8% 0
Feb -0.6% 11
Mar +1.0% 2
Apr +1.4% 11
May +0.4% 0
Jun +0.9% 24
Jul +2.2% 34
Aug -0.1% 5
Sep -3.3% 52
Oct +1.3% 9
Nov +0.5% 32
Dec -2.7% 19

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: EGP EastGroup Properties

EastGroup Properties, Inc. (NYSE: EGP) is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust (REIT) that develops, acquires, and operates industrial properties concentrated in high-growth Sun Belt markets, with a primary emphasis on Texas, Florida, California, Arizona, and North Carolina. The company targets location sensitive customers-tenants that need smaller-format distribution facilities generally ranging from 20,000 to 100,000 square feet-and pursues growth by clustering premier distribution assets near major transportation infrastructure in supply-constrained submarkets. EastGroup is a member of the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 indexes, was incorporated in 1969, and is headquartered in Ridgeland, Mississippi. As an industrial REIT, the company generates revenue primarily through long-term leases on warehouse and logistics properties, a business model that typically benefits from secular tailwinds such as e-commerce penetration, supply chain reshoring, and population growth in its core Sun Belt footprint.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Sun Belt e-commerce demand fuels warehouse occupancy and rental rate growth
  • Interest rate environment pressures cap rates and development funding costs
  • Development pipeline expansion drives future FFO growth in supply-constrained markets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 304.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.71 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -22.89% < 20% (prev -11.66%; Δ -11.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 536.5m > Net Income 304.8m
Net Debt (1.76b) to EBITDA (557.8m): 3.15 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.16 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (53.8m) vs 12m ago 2.29% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.17% > 18% (prev 65.18%; Δ -21.02% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 14.06% > 50% (prev 13.04%; Δ 1.02% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 334.7m / Interest Expense TTM 32.3m)
Altman Z'' 1.87
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 33.4m - Total Current Liabilities 205.8m) / Total Assets 5.52b
B: -0.08 (Retained Earnings -455.9m / Total Assets 5.52b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 334.7m / Avg Total Assets 5.36b)
D: 1.84 (Book Value of Equity 3.57b / Total Liabilities 1.95b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.87 = BBB
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 115.2m/100.8m, Revenue 753.2m/676.9m)
GMI: 1.48 (GM 65.18% / 44.17%)
AQI: 0.19 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.97)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 753.2m / 676.9m)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 304.8m - CFO 536.5m) / TA 5.52b)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of EGP shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 210.84 with a total of 359,962 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.68%, over one month by +2.62%, over three months by +6.13% and over the past year by +35.26%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 202.60 (which is 3.9% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is EGP a buy, sell or hold?

EastGroup Properties has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.15. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EGP.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the EGP price?
Analysts Target Price 222.3 5.4%
EastGroup Properties (EGP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 11.5b (11.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 38.9891
P/E Forward = 42.0168
P/S = 15.3178
P/B = 3.2514
P/EG = 8.416
Revenue TTM = 753.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 334.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 557.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.79b USD (corrected: LT Debt 1.61b + ST Debt 140.0m) + Leases 38.2m
Net Debt = 1.76b USD (calculated: Debt 1.79b - CCE 33.4m)
Enterprise Value = 13.3b USD (11.5b + Debt 1.79b - CCE 33.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.35 (Ebit TTM 334.7m / Interest Expense TTM 32.3m)
EV/FCF = 26.29x (Enterprise Value 13.3b / FCF TTM 504.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.80% (FCF TTM 504.6m / Enterprise Value 13.3b)
FCF Margin = 67.00% (FCF TTM 504.6m / Revenue TTM 753.2m)
Net Margin = 40.47% (Net Income TTM 304.8m / Revenue TTM 753.2m)
Gross Margin = 44.17% ((Revenue TTM 753.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 420.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.78% (prev 15.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.40 (Enterprise Value 13.3b / Total Assets 5.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.81% (Interest Expense 32.3m / Debt 1.79b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 264.4m (EBIT 334.7m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.16 (Total Current Assets 33.4m / Total Current Liabilities 205.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.50 (Debt 1.79b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 1.76b / EBITDA 557.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.48 (Net Debt 1.76b / FCF TTM 504.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.69% (Net Income 304.8m / Total Assets 5.52b)
RoE = 8.61% (Net Income TTM 304.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.54b)
RoCE = 6.50% (EBIT 334.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.54b + L.T.Debt 1.61b))
RoIC = 5.01% (NOPAT 264.4m / Invested Capital 5.28b)
WACC = 6.56% (E(11.5b)/V(13.3b) * Re(7.36%) + D(1.79b)/V(13.3b) * Rd(1.81%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.87 | Cagr: 5.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈457.0m ; Y1≈523.8m ; Y5≈771.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 183.1 (EV 11.6b - Net Debt 1.76b = Equity 9.85b / Shares 53.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 78.95 | EPS CAGR: 10.10% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.90 | Revenue CAGR: 12.32% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+57% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.39 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+10.7% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.52 | Chg30d=+0.15% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+2.5% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +75% (up=9, down=0)