DRI Stock Analysis: Darden Restaurants | NYSE

Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 23.530m USD | 12M Return: 10.2% | US2371941053 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Italian Dining, Steakhouse, Casual Restaurants, Seafood
Total Rating 53
Safety 59
Buy Signal -0.86
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: -19.8
Market Cap: 23.5B
Avg Turnover: 248M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.59%
VaR vs Median-0.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.34
Rel. Str. IBD39.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group72.1
Character TTM
Beta0.350
Beta Downside0.079
Hurst Exponent0.435
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD23.92%
CAGR/Max DD0.65
CAGR/Mean DD2.17
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of DRI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-08": 1.76, "2021-11": 1.48, "2022-02": 1.93, "2022-05": 2.27, "2022-08": 1.53, "2022-11": 1.52, "2023-02": 2.36, "2023-05": 2.6, "2023-08": 1.78, "2023-11": 1.84, "2024-02": 2.62, "2024-05": 2.65, "2024-08": 1.75, "2024-11": 2.03, "2025-02": 2.8, "2025-05": 2.98, "2025-08": 1.97, "2025-11": 2.08, "2026-02": 2.95, "2026-05": 3.66, "2026-08": 2.05,
EPS CAGR: 8.38%
EPS Trend: 97.6%
Last SUE: -0.28
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of DRI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-08: 2306, 2021-11: 2272.2, 2022-02: 2448.9, 2022-05: 2602.9, 2022-08: 2446.1, 2022-11: 2486.5, 2023-02: 2786.2, 2023-05: 2769, 2023-08: 2730.6, 2023-11: 2727.3, 2024-02: 2974.8, 2024-05: 2957.3, 2024-08: 2757, 2024-11: 2890, 2025-02: 3158, 2025-05: 3271.7, 2025-08: 3044.7, 2025-11: 3102.1, 2026-02: 3345.3, 2026-05: 3718.8, 2026-08: 3200.3,
Rev. CAGR: 7.42%
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: -0.23
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.8% 8
Feb +1.1% 20
Mar -3.5% 9
Apr -0.3% 19
May -0.0% 7
Jun -0.3% 17
Jul -1.5% 32
Aug -0.1% 5
Sep -2.2% 26
Oct -2.9% 16
Nov +4.2% 39
Dec +0.9% 16

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: DRI Darden Restaurants

Darden Restaurants, Inc. is a large-cap, multi-brand operator of full-service restaurants headquartered in Orlando, Florida, and founded in 1938. The company runs well-known casual dining and upscale concepts in the U.S. and Canada, including Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddars Scratch Kitchen, Chuys, Yard House, Ruths Chris Steak House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie Vs Prime Seafood, and Bahama Breeze. The full-service restaurant segment is generally characterized by sit-down table service, higher average guest checks than quick-service peers, and sensitivity to discretionary consumer spending, making brand portfolio diversification a common strategy among large operators like Darden.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Olive Garden and LongHorn same-restaurant sales lift consolidated revenue
  • Beef and labor cost inflation pressures restaurant-level margins
  • Ruths Chris and Chuys acquisitions expand premium dining revenue mix
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 1.18b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.90 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -16.80% < 20% (prev -11.44%; Δ -5.37% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.79b > Net Income 1.18b
Net Debt (10.4b) to EBITDA (2.12b): 4.88 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.30 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (114.4m) vs 12m ago -2.72% < -2%
Gross Margin: 69.37% > 18% (prev 33.93%; Δ 35.44% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 102.9% > 50% (prev 96.90%; Δ 5.97% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.56b / Interest Expense TTM 194.2m)
Altman Z'' -0.17
A: -0.17 (Total Current Assets 953.1m - Total Current Liabilities 3.20b) / Total Assets 13.2b
B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -259.5m / Total Assets 13.2b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 1.56b / Avg Total Assets 13.0b)
D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 2.07b / Total Liabilities 11.2b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.17 = B
Beneish M -3.66
DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 118.0m/94.1m, Revenue 13.4b/12.4b)
GMI: 0.49 (GM 33.93% / 69.37%)
AQI: 0.40 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.64)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 13.4b / 12.4b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.18b - CFO 1.79b) / TA 13.2b)
Beneish M = -3.66 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of DRI shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 199.75 with a total of 1,902,476 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.55%, over one month by -9.37%, over three months by -5.36% and over the past year by +10.19%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 187.80 (which is 6% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).

Is DRI a buy, sell or hold?

Darden Restaurants has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DRI.

  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the DRI price?
Analysts Target Price 233.4 16.8%
Darden Restaurants (DRI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 23.5b (23.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.8316
P/E Forward = 18.9394
P/S = 1.7811
P/B = 10.9833
P/EG = 1.9045
Revenue TTM = 13.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 979.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.96b
Net Debt = 10.4b USD (calculated: Debt 10.6b - CCE 220.5m)
Enterprise Value = 33.9b USD (23.5b + Debt 10.6b - CCE 220.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.05 (Ebit TTM 1.56b / Interest Expense TTM 194.2m)
EV/FCF = 27.44x (Enterprise Value 33.9b / FCF TTM 1.24b)
FCF Yield = 3.64% (FCF TTM 1.24b / Enterprise Value 33.9b)
FCF Margin = 9.24% (FCF TTM 1.24b / Revenue TTM 13.4b)
Net Margin = 8.85% (Net Income TTM 1.18b / Revenue TTM 13.4b)
Gross Margin = 69.37% ((Revenue TTM 13.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.22% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.56 (Enterprise Value 33.9b / Total Assets 13.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.84% (Interest Expense 194.2m / Debt 10.6b)
Taxrate = 12.74% (173.7m / 1.36b)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.56b * (1 - 12.74%))
Current Ratio = 0.30 (Total Current Assets 953.1m / Total Current Liabilities 3.20b)
Debt / Equity = 5.12 (Debt 10.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.88 (Net Debt 10.4b / EBITDA 2.12b)
Debt / FCF = 8.39 (Net Debt 10.4b / FCF TTM 1.24b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.10% (Net Income 1.18b / Total Assets 13.2b)
RoE = 55.90% (Net Income TTM 1.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.12b)
RoCE = 41.25% (EBIT 1.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.12b + L.T.Debt 1.67b))
RoIC = 12.64% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 10.8b)
WACC = 5.47% (E(23.5b)/V(34.1b) * Re(7.21%) + D(10.6b)/V(34.1b) * Rd(1.84%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 7.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.28 | Cagr: -2.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.92% ; FCFF base≈1.17b ; Y1≈1.34b ; Y5≈1.96b
[DCF] Fair Price = 168.3 (EV 29.5b - Net Debt 10.4b = Equity 19.1b / Shares 113.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 14.67% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.58 | EPS CAGR: 8.38% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.06 | Revenue CAGR: 7.42% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=2.27 | Chg30d=-0.72% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=24
EPS next Quarter (2027-02-28): EPS=3.26 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2027-05-31): EPS=11.27 | Chg30d=-0.06% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+5.9% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2028-05-31): EPS=12.40 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+10.1% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +12% (up=3, down=2)