CYD Stock Analysis: China Yuchai International | NYSE
Auto Manufacturers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.344m USD | 12M Return: -15.8% | BMG210821051 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.77M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 71.3%
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
China Yuchai International Limited (NYSE: CYD) is a Singapore-based engine manufacturer founded in 1951 that designs, assembles, and distributes diesel and natural gas engines for commercial vehicles (trucks, buses, pickups), construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. The company operates through two segments: the core Yuchai segment, which produces on- and off-road powertrain solutions, and the HLGE segment, which handles hospitality and property development. Its product portfolio spans 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high-horsepower marine and generator engines, natural gas, hydrogen, and methanol combustion engines, as well as newer offerings such as plug-in hybrid powertrains, electric drive axles, range extenders, and fuel cell systems, complemented by remanufacturing, repair, maintenance, and training services.
Distribution is handled directly to vehicle OEMs as well as through agents and retailers, serving both the Chinese market and international customers. Within the GICS Industrials sector (Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry), China Yuchai competes alongside other commercial-vehicle engine suppliers in a market shaped by Chinas tightening emissions standards and the gradual shift from diesel toward alternative fuels and electrified powertrains, which aligns with the companys expanding range of natural gas, hybrid, and hydrogen-based products.
- China heavy truck market recovery drives diesel engine volumes
- LNG diesel price gap boosts natural gas engine demand
- Electric powertrain transition threatens legacy diesel engine share
| Net Income: 1.07b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.48 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.02% < 20% (prev 72.60%; Δ -39.58% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.72b > Net Income 1.07b |
| Net Debt (-6.60b) to EBITDA (2.33b): -2.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.9m) vs 12m ago 0.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.46% > 18% (prev 13.57%; Δ 3.89% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 167.5% > 50% (prev 72.79%; Δ 94.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.06 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 100.9m) |
| A: 0.53 (Total Current Assets 27.9b - Total Current Liabilities 13.2b) / Total Assets 27.9b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 6.95b / Total Assets 27.9b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.62b / Avg Total Assets 26.6b) |
| D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 10.2b / Total Liabilities 14.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.41 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.46 (Receivables 14.1b/12.7b, Revenue 44.5b/18.4b) |
| GMI: 0.78 (GM 13.57% / 17.46%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t -0.14 / AQ_t-1 -0.15) |
| SGI: 2.42 (Revenue 44.5b / 18.4b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 1.07b - CFO 2.72b) / TA 27.9b) |
| Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.03 with a total of 180,815 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.69%, over one month by -16.10%, over three months by -28.63% and over the past year by -15.79%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 30.80 (which is 6.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
China Yuchai International has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CYD.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 68.7 | 108% |
Market Cap CNY = 9.02b (1.34b USD * 6.71325 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 12.2491
P/E Forward = 9.3985
P/S = 0.0502
P/B = 0.8769
P/EG = 0.3721
Revenue TTM = 44.5b CNY
EBIT TTM = 1.62b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 2.33b CNY
Long Term Debt = 20.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.04b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.51b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 77.7m
Net Debt = -6.60b CNY (calculated: Debt 1.51b - CCE 8.10b)
Enterprise Value = 2.43b CNY (9.02b + Debt 1.51b - CCE 8.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.06 (Ebit TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 100.9m)
EV/FCF = 1.17x (Enterprise Value 2.43b / FCF TTM 2.07b)
FCF Yield = 85.19% (FCF TTM 2.07b / Enterprise Value 2.43b)
FCF Margin = 4.64% (FCF TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 44.5b)
Net Margin = 2.41% (Net Income TTM 1.07b / Revenue TTM 44.5b)
Gross Margin = 17.46% ((Revenue TTM 44.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 36.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.12% (prev 18.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.09 (Enterprise Value 2.43b / Total Assets 27.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.69% (Interest Expense 100.9m / Debt 1.51b)
Taxrate = 29.60% (690.1m / 2.33b)
NOPAT = 1.14b (EBIT 1.62b * (1 - 29.60%))
Current Ratio = 2.11 (Total Current Assets 27.9b / Total Current Liabilities 13.2b)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 1.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.83 (Net Debt -6.60b / EBITDA 2.33b)
Debt / FCF = -3.19 (Net Debt -6.60b / FCF TTM 2.07b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.04% (Net Income 1.07b / Total Assets 27.9b)
RoE = 11.10% (Net Income TTM 1.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.68b)
RoCE = 16.70% (EBIT 1.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.68b + L.T.Debt 20.0m))
RoIC = 7.86% (NOPAT 1.14b / Invested Capital 14.5b)
WACC = 10.08% (E(9.02b)/V(10.5b) * Re(10.98%) + D(1.51b)/V(10.5b) * Rd(6.69%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -81.04 | Cagr: -3.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.58% ; FCFF base≈1.33b ; Y1≈1.53b ; Y5≈2.25b
[DCF] Fair Price = 867.0 (EV 25.9b - Net Debt -6.60b = Equity 32.5b / Shares 37.5m; r=10.08% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 71.26 | Revenue CAGR: 30.89% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=16.95 | Chg30d=+6.42% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+106.5% | GrowthRev=+38.1%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.99 | Chg30d=+7.56% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+60.5% | GrowthRev=+13.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)