BKE Stock Analysis: Buckle | NYSE
Apparel Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.075m USD | 12M Return: -21.8% | US1184401065 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 20.6M
EPS Trend: -19.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 58.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Buckle, Inc. (NYSE: BKE) is a U.S. specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and kids, operating under the Buckle and Buckle Youth banners. The company sells both recognized brand-name merchandise and an extensive portfolio of private-label brands (such as BKE, Buckle Black, FITZ + EDDI, and Nova Industries), distinguishing it within the highly competitive Apparel Retail sub-industry, where private-label penetration is a common margin and differentiation lever. Beyond merchandise, Buckle generates incremental engagement through in-store services including hemming, layaways, a guest loyalty program, a private-label credit card, personalized stylist services, gift packaging, and a special-order fulfillment system. The company was incorporated in 1948 as Mills Clothing, Inc., adopted its current name in April 1991, and is headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska. As a mid-cap Consumer Discretionary stock, BKE is exposed to discretionary spending cycles and shifting fashion trends that broadly shape the specialty apparel sector.
- Mall traffic trends pressure comparable store sales growth
- Denim category drives quarterly comparable sales performance
- Dividends and share buybacks support total shareholder return
| Net Income: 220.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.87% < 20% (prev 21.09%; Δ -2.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 257.8m > Net Income 220.8m |
| Net Debt (134.2m) to EBITDA (303.7m): 0.44 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.08 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (51.0m) vs 12m ago 0.75% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.95% > 18% (prev 48.90%; Δ 0.06% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 125.1% > 50% (prev 121.6%; Δ 3.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 482.2m - Total Current Liabilities 231.5m) / Total Assets 1.09b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 257.4m / Total Assets 1.09b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 276.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.06b) |
| D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 489.0m / Total Liabilities 605.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.87 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 9.94m/7.70m, Revenue 1.33b/1.25b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 48.90% / 48.95%) |
| AQI: -7.20 (AQ_t -0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 1.33b / 1.25b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 220.8m - CFO 257.8m) / TA 1.09b) |
| Beneish M = -7.67 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.27 with a total of 322,371 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.91%, over one month by -3.34%, over three months by +0.05% and over the past year by -21.79%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 40.50 (which is 4.2% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Buckle has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BKE.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46 | 8.8% |
P/E Trailing = 9.2834
P/E Forward = 13.6799
P/S = 1.5622
P/B = 4.2447
P/EG = 3.3156
Revenue TTM = 1.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 276.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 303.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 339.6m USD (estimated: total debt 421.4m - short term 81.8m)
Short Term Debt = 81.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 421.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 421.4m already included)
Net Debt = 134.2m USD (calculated: Debt 421.4m - CCE 287.2m)
Enterprise Value = 2.21b USD (2.08b + Debt 421.4m - CCE 287.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 276.8m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 11.55x (Enterprise Value 2.21b / FCF TTM 191.3m)
FCF Yield = 8.66% (FCF TTM 191.3m / Enterprise Value 2.21b)
FCF Margin = 14.40% (FCF TTM 191.3m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Net Margin = 16.62% (Net Income TTM 220.8m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Gross Margin = 48.95% ((Revenue TTM 1.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 678.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.85% (prev 46.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.02 (Enterprise Value 2.21b / Total Assets 1.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 421.4m)
Taxrate = 24.06% (70.0m / 290.8m)
NOPAT = 210.2m (EBIT 276.8m * (1 - 24.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.08 (Total Current Assets 482.2m / Total Current Liabilities 231.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 421.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 489.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.44 (Net Debt 134.2m / EBITDA 303.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.70 (Net Debt 134.2m / FCF TTM 191.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 470.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.80% (Net Income 220.8m / Total Assets 1.09b)
RoE = 46.91% (Net Income TTM 220.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 470.8m)
RoCE = 34.16% (EBIT 276.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 470.8m + L.T.Debt 339.6m))
RoIC = 23.92% (NOPAT 210.2m / Invested Capital 878.6m)
WACC = 7.36% (E(2.08b)/V(2.50b) * Re(8.86%) + D(421.4m)/V(2.50b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.53 | Cagr: 0.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.10% ; FCFF base≈199.0m ; Y1≈184.5m ; Y5≈166.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 48.62 (EV 2.64b - Net Debt 134.2m = Equity 2.50b / Shares 51.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -9.12% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -19.76 | EPS CAGR: -1.17% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 58.07 | Revenue CAGR: 1.92% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+0.53% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=4.30 | Chg30d=+1.03% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+3.9% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=-1.35% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-3.5% | GrowthRev=+4.0%