BHP Stock Analysis: BHP | NYSE
Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 219.253m USD | 12M Return: 59% | US0886061086 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 201M
EPS Trend: -5.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 23.7%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BHP Group Limited is a global resources company headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, founded in 1851. It operates across Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America, and other international markets through three primary segments: Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal.
In addition to copper, iron ore, and metallurgical and energy coal, the company mines uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, and cobalt. It also engages in nickel mining, smelting, and refining, and holds potash development activities. BHP further provides towing, freight, marketing and trading, marketing support, finance, and administrative services.
As a member of the GICS Materials sector and Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, BHPs business model spans the full mining value chain, from exploration and extraction to processing, refining, and downstream marketing of mineral commodities. Listed on the NYSE under the ticker BHP since 1987, the company is classified as a mega-cap stock.
- Chinese steel demand drives iron ore segment revenue
- Copper output growth benefits from electrification demand
- Capital returns expand through record dividends and buybacks
| Net Income: 9.86b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.31 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.73% < 20% (prev 14.03%; Δ 10.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 21.9b > Net Income 9.86b |
| Net Debt (12.0b) to EBITDA (29.3b): 0.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.54b) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.13% > 18% (prev 82.21%; Δ -43.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.19% > 50% (prev 47.12%; Δ 4.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 25.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 23.1b / Interest Expense TTM 896.3m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 31.0b - Total Current Liabilities 16.5b) / Total Assets 121b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 47.2b / Total Assets 121b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 23.1b / Avg Total Assets 115b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 50.9b / Total Liabilities 65.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.22 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 5.04b/4.66b, Revenue 58.9b/51.3b) |
| GMI: 2.10 (GM 82.21% / 39.13%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 58.9b / 51.3b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 9.86b - CFO 21.9b) / TA 121b) |
| Beneish M = -2.00 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.97 with a total of 2,964,447 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.51%, over one month by -12.02%, over three months by +6.98% and over the past year by +58.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 80.00 (which is 5.8% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
BHP has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BHP.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 76.3 | -10.3% |
P/E Trailing = 22.4078
P/E Forward = 16.7785
P/S = 3.7313
P/B = 4.4514
P/EG = 5.9512
Revenue TTM = 58.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 23.1b USD
EBITDA TTM = 29.3b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.68b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.50b
Net Debt = 12.0b USD (calculated: Debt 30.6b - CCE 18.6b)
Enterprise Value = 231b USD (219b + Debt 30.6b - CCE 18.6b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.72 (Ebit TTM 23.1b / Interest Expense TTM 896.3m)
EV/FCF = 19.32x (Enterprise Value 231b / FCF TTM 12.0b)
FCF Yield = 5.18% (FCF TTM 12.0b / Enterprise Value 231b)
FCF Margin = 20.32% (FCF TTM 12.0b / Revenue TTM 58.9b)
Net Margin = 16.73% (Net Income TTM 9.86b / Revenue TTM 58.9b)
Gross Margin = 39.13% ((Revenue TTM 58.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.78% (prev 42.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.91 (Enterprise Value 231b / Total Assets 121b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.93% (Interest Expense 896.3m / Debt 30.6b)
Taxrate = 41.89% (9.41b / 22.5b)
NOPAT = 13.4b (EBIT 23.1b * (1 - 41.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.88 (Total Current Assets 31.0b / Total Current Liabilities 16.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 30.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 50.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.41 (Net Debt 12.0b / EBITDA 29.3b)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 12.0b / FCF TTM 12.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 48.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.56% (Net Income 9.86b / Total Assets 121b)
RoE = 20.27% (Net Income TTM 9.86b / Total Stockholder Equity 48.6b)
RoCE = 32.70% (EBIT 23.1b / Capital Employed (Equity 48.6b + L.T.Debt 21.9b))
RoIC = 12.80% (NOPAT 13.4b / Invested Capital 105b)
WACC = 9.46% (E(219b)/V(250b) * Re(10.54%) + D(30.6b)/V(250b) * Rd(2.93%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 10.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.43 | Cagr: 0.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.47% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈12.5b ; Y5≈18.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 86.39 (EV 232b - Net Debt 12.0b = Equity 220b / Shares 2.54b; r=9.46% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -5.27 | EPS CAGR: -1.21% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 23.69 | Revenue CAGR: 1.17% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=5.08 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+26.9% | GrowthRev=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.33 | Chg30d=-11.09% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-16.7% | GrowthRev=-1.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)