BGSI Stock Analysis: Boyd | NYSE

Auto & Truck Dealerships | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.254m USD | 12M Return: -52.3% | CA1033101082 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Collision Repair, Auto Glass, Claims Administration, Mobile Calibration
Total Rating 19
Safety 62
Buy Signal -1.14
Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Rotation: -0.7
Market Cap: 2.25B
Avg Turnover: 4.65M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility42.4%
VaR 5th Pctl6.45%
VaR vs Median-6.30%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.59
Rel. Str. IBD2.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group1.9
Character TTM
Beta0.438
Beta Downside0.551
Hurst Exponent0.449
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD66.71%
CAGR/Max DD-0.26
CAGR/Mean DD-0.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BGSI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.11, "2021-12": 0.2282, "2022-03": 0.1, "2022-06": 0.63, "2022-09": 0.56, "2022-12": 0.6606, "2023-03": 0.99, "2023-06": 1.26, "2023-09": 1, "2023-12": 0.8879, "2024-03": 0.44, "2024-06": 0.56, "2024-09": 0.15, "2024-12": 0.29, "2025-03": 0.1, "2025-06": 0.5, "2025-09": 0.62, "2025-12": 0.9, "2026-03": 0.58, "2026-06": 0.8,
EPS CAGR: -20.81%
EPS Trend: -44.0%
Last SUE: -0.81
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BGSI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: null, 2021-12: 1872.67, 2022-03: null, 2022-06: null, 2022-09: null, 2022-12: 2432.318, 2023-03: null, 2023-06: null, 2023-09: null, 2023-12: 740.014, 2024-03: 786.547, 2024-06: 779.163, 2024-09: 752.293, 2024-12: 752.339, 2025-03: 778.323, 2025-06: 780.407, 2025-09: 790.21, 2025-12: 793.854, 2026-03: 982.870312, 2026-06: 1013.652,
Rev. CAGR: 3.29%
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E Ratio 184.1
Strong Share Dilution
High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +1.5% 16
Feb +0.1% 10
Mar -3.6% 30
Apr +1.8% 28
May -0.1% 10
Jun -0.6% 27
Jul -0.5% 7
Aug -0.1% 7
Sep -4.2% 54
Oct -0.2% 0
Nov +3.5% 28
Dec -1.4% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BGSI Boyd

Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) operates non-franchised collision repair centers across North America, primarily serving insurance companies and individual vehicle owners. In Canada, locations operate under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names, while in the United States, the company operates under Gerber Collision and Glass. Beyond collision repair, BGSI runs a retail auto glass operation in the U.S. through multiple trade names including Glass America, Auto Glass Service, Auto Glass Authority, and Autoglassonly.com. The company also provides third-party claims administration through Gerber National Claims Services, which offers glass, emergency roadside, and first notice of loss services, along with Mobile Auto Solutions for scanning and calibration. Founded in 1990 and headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada, BGSI is classified within the Industrials sector under the Diversified Support Services sub-industry.

The collision repair and auto glass industry is heavily influenced by insurance claim volume, vehicle miles driven, and vehicle complexity, as modern cars increasingly require advanced calibration and electronic scanning following repairs. Consolidation is a notable trend in this fragmented sector, where independent operators frequently merge with or are acquired by larger platforms like Boyd to achieve scale advantages in procurement, insurer relationships, and operational efficiency.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Same-store sales growth drives organic revenue expansion
  • Acquisition pace accelerates multi-site collision repair footprint
  • ADAS calibration revenue expands with rising vehicle complexity
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 9.11m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.45 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.98% < 20% (prev -6.12%; Δ -0.86% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 387.1m > Net Income 9.11m
Net Debt (3.05b) to EBITDA (375.2m): 8.14 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.9m) vs 12m ago 29.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.44% > 18% (prev 46.13%; Δ -1.69% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 105.5% > 50% (prev 123.0%; Δ -17.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 122.5m / Interest Expense TTM 94.5m)
Altman Z'' 0.70
A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 346.9m - Total Current Liabilities 596.9m) / Total Assets 4.30b
B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 175.9m / Total Assets 4.30b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 122.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.39b)
D: 0.67 (Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 2.57b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.70 = B
Beneish M -2.66
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 175.2m/143.8m, Revenue 3.58b/3.06b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 46.13% / 44.44%)
AQI: 1.32 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.40)
SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 3.58b / 3.06b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 9.11m - CFO 387.1m) / TA 4.30b)
Beneish M = -2.66 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of BGSI shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 79.95 with a total of 30,921 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.84%, over one month by -6.50%, over three months by -16.02% and over the past year by -52.32%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 75.80 (which is 5.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is BGSI a buy, sell or hold?

Boyd has no consensus analysts rating.

Boyd (BGSI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.25b (2.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 184.0909
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 0.6272
P/B = 1.3358
Revenue TTM = 3.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 122.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 375.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 968.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 166.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.08b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.05b
Net Debt = 3.05b USD (calculated: Debt 3.08b - CCE 23.0m)
Enterprise Value = 5.31b USD (2.25b + Debt 3.08b - CCE 23.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.30 (Ebit TTM 122.5m / Interest Expense TTM 94.5m)
EV/FCF = 16.09x (Enterprise Value 5.31b / FCF TTM 330.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.22% (FCF TTM 330.0m / Enterprise Value 5.31b)
FCF Margin = 9.22% (FCF TTM 330.0m / Revenue TTM 3.58b)
Net Margin = 0.25% (Net Income TTM 9.11m / Revenue TTM 3.58b)
Gross Margin = 44.44% ((Revenue TTM 3.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.36% (prev 38.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 5.31b / Total Assets 4.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.07% (Interest Expense 94.5m / Debt 3.08b)
Taxrate = 50.00% (9.11m / 18.2m)
NOPAT = 61.2m (EBIT 122.5m * (1 - 50.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 346.9m / Total Current Liabilities 596.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.78 (Debt 3.08b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.14 (Net Debt 3.05b / EBITDA 375.2m)
Debt / FCF = 9.26 (Net Debt 3.05b / FCF TTM 330.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.27% (Net Income 9.11m / Total Assets 4.30b)
RoE = 0.60% (Net Income TTM 9.11m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.51b)
RoCE = 4.95% (EBIT 122.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.51b + L.T.Debt 968.8m))
RoIC = 1.59% (NOPAT 61.2m / Invested Capital 3.84b)
WACC = 4.07% (E(2.25b)/V(5.33b) * Re(7.52%) + D(3.08b)/V(5.33b) * Rd(3.07%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Discount Rate = 7.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.91 | Cagr: 12.31%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈298.9m ; Y1≈342.7m ; Y5≈504.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 162.9 (EV 7.59b - Net Debt 3.05b = Equity 4.53b / Shares 27.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -43.96 | EPS CAGR: -20.81% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.73 | Revenue CAGR: 3.29% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=-15.44% | Revisions=-79% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.35 | Chg30d=-10.35% | Revisions=-59% | GrowthEPS=+20.5% | GrowthRev=+29.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.84 | Chg30d=-9.54% | Revisions=-47% | GrowthEPS=+44.5% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -69% (up=5, down=34)