BF-A Stock Analysis: Brown-Forman | NYSE
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.256m USD | 12M Return: -4.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.64M
EPS Trend: -23.8%
Rev. Trend: -96.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brown-Forman Corporation is a U.S.-based alcoholic beverages company that manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells a wide range of products including whiskeys, vodkas, tequilas, gin, rum, brandy, bourbons, liqueurs, wines, and ready-to-drink cocktails. Its portfolio features well-known spirits brands such as Jack Daniels, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester, Gentleman Jack, Herradura, el Jimador, Fords Gin, The Glendronach, Chambord, Diplomático, Benriach, and Slane. Beyond branded beverages, the company sells used barrels, bulk whiskey and wine, and provides contract bottling services.
The company distributes its products to retail customers and consumers through distributors, state governments, and direct sales to retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments across more than a dozen countries, with major markets in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, Spain, France, Mexico, Poland, Brazil, and Türkiye. Founded in 1870 and headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, Brown-Forman operates in the Consumer Staples sector and is classified under brewers and distillers within the global alcohol industry, which is typically characterized by brand-driven premiumization, long-aged inventory cycles for aged spirits like whiskey, and reliance on established distribution networks.
- Jack Daniels depletions decline on US distributor destocking
- Premium tequila portfolio expands with Herradura and el Jimador
- EU and Mexico tariffs pressure gross margins
| Net Income: 715.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.98 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 70.24% < 20% (prev 78.36%; Δ -8.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.00b > Net Income 715.0m |
| Net Debt (1.84b) to EBITDA (1.23b): 1.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (459.3m) vs 12m ago -2.87% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 60.54% > 18% (prev 58.94%; Δ 1.60% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.16% > 50% (prev 49.16%; Δ 0.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.40 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 100.0m) |
| A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 3.99b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 7.89b |
| B: 0.63 (Retained Earnings 5.00b / Total Assets 7.89b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Avg Total Assets 7.99b) |
| D: 1.04 (Book Value of Equity 4.02b / Total Liabilities 3.87b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.41 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 832.0m/830.0m, Revenue 3.93b/3.98b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 58.94% / 60.54%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 3.93b / 3.98b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 715.0m - CFO 1.00b) / TA 7.89b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.93 with a total of 156,742 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.33%, over one month by -1.13%, over three months by +0.18% and over the past year by -4.40%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 26.70 (which is 4.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Brown-Forman has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 17.4575
P/E Forward = 15.4321
P/S = 3.1202
P/B = 3.0488
P/EG = 4.2887
Revenue TTM = 3.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.14b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 68.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.84b USD (calculated: Debt 2.15b - CCE 308.0m)
Enterprise Value = 14.1b USD (12.3b + Debt 2.15b - CCE 308.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.40 (Ebit TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 100.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.79x (Enterprise Value 14.1b / FCF TTM 893.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.33% (FCF TTM 893.0m / Enterprise Value 14.1b)
FCF Margin = 22.73% (FCF TTM 893.0m / Revenue TTM 3.93b)
Net Margin = 18.20% (Net Income TTM 715.0m / Revenue TTM 3.93b)
Gross Margin = 60.54% ((Revenue TTM 3.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.61% (prev 60.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 14.1b / Total Assets 7.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.65% (Interest Expense 100.0m / Debt 2.15b)
Taxrate = 19.21% (170.0m / 885.0m)
NOPAT = 921.0m (EBIT 1.14b * (1 - 19.21%))
Current Ratio = 3.24 (Total Current Assets 3.99b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 2.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.50 (Net Debt 1.84b / EBITDA 1.23b)
Debt / FCF = 2.06 (Net Debt 1.84b / FCF TTM 893.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.95% (Net Income 715.0m / Total Assets 7.89b)
RoE = 17.63% (Net Income TTM 715.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.06b)
RoCE = 18.57% (EBIT 1.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.06b + L.T.Debt 2.08b))
RoIC = 14.10% (NOPAT 921.0m / Invested Capital 6.53b)
WACC = 5.98% (E(12.3b)/V(14.4b) * Re(6.37%) + D(2.15b)/V(14.4b) * Rd(4.65%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 6.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.34 | Cagr: -1.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈708.2m ; Y1≈811.8m ; Y5≈1.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 95.78 (EV 18.0b - Net Debt 1.84b = Equity 16.1b / Shares 168.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -23.83 | EPS CAGR: -3.18% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.68 | Revenue CAGR: -3.71% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2027-04-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2028-04-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+1.9%