BCO Stock Analysis: Brinks | NYSE
Security & Protection Services | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.925m USD | 12M Return: 30.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 60.6M
EPS Trend: 72.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 96.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is a global provider of cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions, and automated teller machine (ATM) managed services, operating across North America, Latin America, Europe, and other international markets. Its service portfolio spans the full cash-handling value chain, including armored cash-in-transit transportation, ATM cash replenishment and treasury management, secure vault storage for high-value commodities, customs-cleared cross-border shipping, and back-office cash processing such as counting, sorting, counterfeit detection, and electronic account consolidation.
Brinks also serves banks and retailers through vaulting and CIT services, commercial guarding and security offerings, cash management devices and software marketed under the Complete and CompuSafe brands, and end-to-end ATM management covering forecasting, optimization, remote monitoring, transaction processing, maintenance, and funds settlement. The company, founded in 1859 and headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, was originally known as The Pittston Company before adopting its current name in May 2003.
Operating within the GICS Security & Alarm Services sub-industry, Brinks sits at the intersection of physical security and financial logistics, where demand is shaped by both retail and banking cash cycles and the ongoing shift toward digital payments, while ATM managed services and digital retail solutions provide adjacent growth avenues beyond traditional armored transport.
- Latin America currency depreciation pressures reported revenue and margins
- ATM managed services revenue grows on digital retail expansion
- Labor and fuel cost inflation compresses cash-in-transit margins
| Net Income: 180.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.07% < 20% (prev 18.77%; Δ 2.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 728.4m > Net Income 180.2m |
| Net Debt (2.68b) to EBITDA (883.3m): 3.04 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.5m) vs 12m ago -4.60% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.10% > 18% (prev 25.23%; Δ 0.87% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 77.78% > 50% (prev 76.29%; Δ 1.49% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 583.5m / Interest Expense TTM 248.7m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 3.27b - Total Current Liabilities 2.14b) / Total Assets 7.28b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 265.6m / Total Assets 7.28b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 583.5m / Avg Total Assets 6.93b) |
| D: 0.04 (Book Value of Equity 262.0m / Total Liabilities 6.88b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.75 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 845.0m/772.4m, Revenue 5.39b/5.02b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 25.23% / 26.10%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 5.39b / 5.02b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 180.2m - CFO 728.4m) / TA 7.28b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 117.95 with a total of 857,796 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.16%, over one month by +28.25%, over three months by +10.94% and over the past year by +30.10%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 113.00 (which is 4.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Brinks has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BCO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 153 | 29.7% |
P/E Trailing = 28.7827
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 0.9378
P/B = 19.3629
P/EG = 1.1585
Revenue TTM = 5.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 583.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 883.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 322.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.78b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 310.6m
Net Debt = 2.68b USD (calculated: Debt 4.78b - CCE 2.10b)
Enterprise Value = 7.61b USD (4.92b + Debt 4.78b - CCE 2.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.35 (Ebit TTM 583.5m / Interest Expense TTM 248.7m)
EV/FCF = 13.98x (Enterprise Value 7.61b / FCF TTM 544.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.15% (FCF TTM 544.1m / Enterprise Value 7.61b)
FCF Margin = 10.10% (FCF TTM 544.1m / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Net Margin = 3.34% (Net Income TTM 180.2m / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Gross Margin = 26.10% ((Revenue TTM 5.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.87% (prev 27.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.05 (Enterprise Value 7.61b / Total Assets 7.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.21% (Interest Expense 248.7m / Debt 4.78b)
Taxrate = 42.00% (138.7m / 330.2m)
NOPAT = 338.4m (EBIT 583.5m * (1 - 42.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 3.27b / Total Current Liabilities 2.14b)
Debt / Equity = 18.23 (Debt 4.78b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 262.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.04 (Net Debt 2.68b / EBITDA 883.3m)
Debt / FCF = 4.93 (Net Debt 2.68b / FCF TTM 544.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 265.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.60% (Net Income 180.2m / Total Assets 7.28b)
RoE = 67.82% (Net Income TTM 180.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 265.7m)
RoCE = 14.23% (EBIT 583.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 265.7m + L.T.Debt 3.83b))
RoIC = 6.52% (NOPAT 338.4m / Invested Capital 5.19b)
WACC = 5.91% (E(4.92b)/V(9.70b) * Re(8.71%) + D(4.78b)/V(9.70b) * Rd(5.21%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 8.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.07 | Cagr: -3.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈355.5m ; Y1≈407.6m ; Y5≈599.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 154.1 (EV 9.03b - Net Debt 2.68b = Equity 6.34b / Shares 41.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 72.89 | EPS CAGR: 8.47% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.72 | Revenue CAGR: 3.98% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.41 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.24 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+14.8% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.59 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+14.6% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=6, down=6)