ASIX Stock Analysis: AdvanSix | NYSE

Chemicals | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 560m USD | 12M Return: -1.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Nylon Resins, Caprolactam, Ammonium Sulfate, Acetone
Total Rating 26
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.41
Chemicals
Industry Rotation: +19.8
Market Cap: 560M
Avg Turnover: 5.26M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility43.4%
VaR 5th Pctl7.31%
VaR vs Median2.24%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.08
Rel. Str. IBD28.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group50
Character TTM
Beta0.869
Beta Downside1.097
Hurst Exponent0.500
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD62.15%
CAGR/Max DD-0.29
CAGR/Mean DD-0.50
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ASIX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.53, "2021-09": 1.51, "2021-12": 0.8, "2022-03": 2.26, "2022-06": 2.3, "2022-09": 0.43, "2022-12": 1.27, "2023-03": 1.3, "2023-06": 1.25, "2023-09": -0.36, "2023-12": -0.1, "2024-03": -0.56, "2024-06": 1.55, "2024-09": 0.88, "2024-12": 0.09, "2025-03": 0.93, "2025-06": 1.15, "2025-09": 0.08, "2025-12": 0.03, "2026-03": -0.56,
EPS CAGR: -6.48%
EPS Trend: -6.9%
Last SUE: -0.38
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ASIX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 437.682, 2021-09: 446.495, 2021-12: 424.064, 2022-03: 479.073, 2022-06: 583.736, 2022-09: 478.769, 2022-12: 404.062, 2023-03: 400.544, 2023-06: 427.94, 2023-09: 322.907, 2023-12: 382.208, 2024-03: 336.829, 2024-06: 453.479, 2024-09: 398.187, 2024-12: 329.062, 2025-03: 377.791, 2025-06: 410.022, 2025-09: 374.473, 2025-12: 359.947, 2026-03: 404.183,
Rev. CAGR: -1.73%
Rev. Trend: -40.6%
Last SUE: 0.07
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
High Debt While Negative Cash Flow

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 9.8 years of data

Jan -1.6% 8
Feb +2.3% 5
Mar -9.3% 20
Apr +0.0% 5
May -0.5% 21
Jun -0.8% 19
Jul +10.2% 49
Aug -3.6% 0
Sep +0.0% 11
Oct +0.7% 8
Nov +1.0% 8
Dec -1.8% 19

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ASIX AdvanSix

AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is an integrated chemistry company that manufactures and sells polymer resins, primarily Nylon 6, along with related chemical products. Its portfolio spans caprolactam (a feedstock for nylon production), ammonium sulfate fertilizers, acetone, and a range of intermediate chemicals such as phenol, cyclohexanone, and specialty amines. These products serve downstream markets including automotive components, adhesives, paints, coatings, water treatment, and pharmaceuticals. The company sells through both direct channels and distributors, marketing under brands including Aegis, Sulf-N, Nadone, Naxol, and EZ-Blox.

As a commodity chemicals producer in the GICS Materials sector, AdvanSix operates on an integrated production model in which key feedstocks like caprolactam and phenol are manufactured internally before being converted into finished resins and chemicals. This vertical integration is common among nylon producers, as it provides cost control over volatile raw material inputs. The company was incorporated in 2016, spun out from Honeywell, and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Caprolactam and nylon 6 pricing spreads drive segment margins
  • Ammonium sulfate fertilizer demand tracks spring planting season
  • Propane feedstock cost volatility pressures gross margins
  • Asian caprolactam oversupply weighs on pricing power
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 10.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.42 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.40% < 20% (prev 4.31%; Δ 1.08% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 96.1m > Net Income 10.4m
Net Debt (565.1m) to EBITDA (95.7m): 5.90 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.23 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.0m) vs 12m ago -1.13% < -2%
Gross Margin: 7.44% > 18% (prev 13.05%; Δ -5.61% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 92.82% > 50% (prev 95.85%; Δ -3.03% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.2m / Interest Expense TTM 9.37m)
Altman Z'' 2.52
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 454.0m - Total Current Liabilities 370.4m) / Total Assets 1.71b
B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 642.9m / Total Assets 1.71b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 14.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.67b)
D: 0.87 (Book Value of Equity 796.3m / Total Liabilities 914.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 2.52 = A
Beneish M -2.15
DSRI: 1.29 (Receivables 229.7m/179.3m, Revenue 1.55b/1.56b)
GMI: 1.75 (GM 13.05% / 7.44%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 1.55b / 1.56b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 10.4m - CFO 96.1m) / TA 1.71b)
Beneish M = -2.15 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of ASIX shares?

As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.25 with a total of 154,395 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.88%, over one month by +2.64%, over three months by -13.63% and over the past year by -1.82%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.10 (which is 5.7% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is ASIX a buy, sell or hold?

AdvanSix has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the ASIX price?
Analysts Target Price 23.5 16%
AdvanSix (ASIX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 560.5m (560.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 57.75
P/S = 0.3619
P/B = 0.7039
Revenue TTM = 1.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 95.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 270.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 43.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 582.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 156.4m
Net Debt = 565.1m USD (calculated: Debt 582.7m - CCE 17.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.13b USD (560.5m + Debt 582.7m - CCE 17.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 14.2m / Interest Expense TTM 9.37m)
EV/FCF = -50.63x (Enterprise Value 1.13b / FCF TTM -22.2m)
FCF Yield = -1.97% (FCF TTM -22.2m / Enterprise Value 1.13b)
FCF Margin = -1.44% (FCF TTM -22.2m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Net Margin = 0.67% (Net Income TTM 10.4m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Gross Margin = 7.44% ((Revenue TTM 1.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.94% (prev 7.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 1.13b / Total Assets 1.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 9.37m / Debt 582.7m)
Taxrate = 9.45% (5.14m / 54.4m)
NOPAT = 12.9m (EBIT 14.2m * (1 - 9.45%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 454.0m / Total Current Liabilities 370.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.73 (Debt 582.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 796.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.90 (Net Debt 565.1m / EBITDA 95.7m)
 Debt / FCF = -25.42 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 565.1m / FCF TTM -22.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 813.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.62% (Net Income 10.4m / Total Assets 1.71b)
RoE = 1.28% (Net Income TTM 10.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 813.4m)
RoCE = 1.31% (EBIT 14.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 813.4m + L.T.Debt 270.0m))
RoIC = 0.94% (NOPAT 12.9m / Invested Capital 1.37b)
WACC = 5.17% (E(560.5m)/V(1.14b) * Re(9.04%) + D(582.7m)/V(1.14b) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 19.73 | Cagr: 0.11%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -22.2m)
 EPS Correlation: -6.86 | EPS CAGR: -6.48% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.63 | Revenue CAGR: -1.73% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=-11.90% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=+8.97% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-5.90% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-37.1% | GrowthRev=+10.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=+2.99% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+103.8% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)