AGI Stock Analysis: Alamos Gold | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.339m USD | 12M Return: 17.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 119M
EPS Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI) is a Canadian gold producer headquartered in Toronto, with operating and exploration activities in Canada and Mexico. The company focuses on the exploration, development, and production of gold deposits, and has been listed on the stock exchange since its 1999 IPO. With a large-cap market capitalization, AGI is classified within the GICS Materials sector, specifically the Gold sub-industry.
As a gold producer, Alamos generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold bullion at prevailing market prices, with operating results highly sensitive to gold price fluctuations, foreign exchange rates (particularly the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar), and mine production costs. The gold mining subsector is a component of the broader precious metals industry, which is generally regarded as a defensive segment often used as a hedge against inflation and currency depreciation.
- Gold price strength lifts realized revenue per ounce
- Island Gold expansion drives annual production growth
- Mexico mining regulatory changes threaten Mulatos operations
| Net Income: 1.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.84% < 20% (prev 14.27%; Δ 6.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 945.4m > Net Income 1.06b |
| Net Debt (-466.1m) to EBITDA (1.59b): -0.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (421.8m) vs 12m ago -0.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.12% > 18% (prev 44.90%; Δ 14.23% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.69% > 50% (prev 26.14%; Δ 8.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.48k > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.38b / Interest Expense TTM 397k) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.01b - Total Current Liabilities 582.7m) / Total Assets 6.56b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 393.3m / Total Assets 6.56b) |
| C: 0.23 (EBIT TTM 1.38b / Avg Total Assets 5.96b) |
| D: 2.39 (Book Value of Equity 4.62b / Total Liabilities 1.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.69 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.75 (Receivables 40.6m/36.6m, Revenue 2.07b/1.40b) |
| GMI: 0.76 (GM 44.90% / 59.12%) |
| AQI: 4.29 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.47 (Revenue 2.07b / 1.40b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 1.06b - CFO 945.4m) / TA 6.56b) |
| Beneish M = -1.15 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 29.72 with a total of 3,101,335 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.50%, over one month by -3.32%, over three months by -31.69% and over the past year by +17.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.60 (which is 7.1% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Alamos Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.64. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AGI.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 59.8% |
P/E Trailing = 11.7849
P/E Forward = 12.4533
P/S = 5.994
P/B = 2.696
P/EG = -2.5
Revenue TTM = 2.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 200.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 240.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 19.7m
Net Debt = -466.1m USD (calculated: Debt 240.1m - CCE 706.2m)
Enterprise Value = 11.9b USD (12.3b + Debt 240.1m - CCE 706.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.48k (Ebit TTM 1.38b / Interest Expense TTM 397k)
EV/FCF = 34.24x (Enterprise Value 11.9b / FCF TTM 346.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.92% (FCF TTM 346.7m / Enterprise Value 11.9b)
FCF Margin = 16.77% (FCF TTM 346.7m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Net Margin = 51.40% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Gross Margin = 59.12% ((Revenue TTM 2.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 845.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.90% (prev 60.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 11.9b / Total Assets 6.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 397k / Debt 240.1m)
Taxrate = 22.89% (315.6m / 1.38b)
NOPAT = 1.06b (EBIT 1.38b * (1 - 22.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.74 (Total Current Assets 1.01b / Total Current Liabilities 582.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 240.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.29 (Net Debt -466.1m / EBITDA 1.59b)
Debt / FCF = -1.34 (Net Debt -466.1m / FCF TTM 346.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.83% (Net Income 1.06b / Total Assets 6.56b)
RoE = 25.24% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.21b)
RoCE = 31.27% (EBIT 1.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.21b + L.T.Debt 200.0m))
RoIC = 18.09% (NOPAT 1.06b / Invested Capital 5.88b)
WACC = 8.09% (E(12.3b)/V(12.6b) * Re(8.24%) + D(240.1m)/V(12.6b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.14 | Cagr: 2.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈283.7m ; Y1≈325.3m ; Y5≈478.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.26 (EV 7.20b - Net Debt -466.1m = Equity 7.67b / Shares 420.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.88 | EPS CAGR: 61.49% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.39 | Revenue CAGR: 31.42% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-9.01% | Revisions=-38% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.65 | Chg30d=-6.40% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.22 | Chg30d=-11.81% | Revisions=-81% | GrowthEPS=+58.4% | GrowthRev=+27.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.19 | Chg30d=-7.80% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+43.8% | GrowthRev=+30.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -74% (up=3, down=29)