AGCO Stock Analysis: AGCO | NYSE
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.449m USD | 12M Return: 10.4% | US0010841023 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 148M
EPS Trend: -88.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -93.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AGCO Corporation is a global manufacturer and distributor of agricultural equipment and replacement parts, headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, and operating under the Fendt, Massey Ferguson, PTx, and Valtra brands. Its product portfolio spans horsepower, utility, and compact tractors; grain storage, drying, and handling systems; livestock and poultry feeding, ventilation, and watering equipment; hay and forage harvesting tools such as balers, rakes, and windrowers; tillage, planting, and seeding implements; combines for grain crops; and application equipment for liquid and dry fertilizers and crop protection chemicals. The company also produces diesel engines, gears, and generating sets, and sells its products through a network of independent dealers and distributors. AGCO is classified within the GICS Agricultural & Farm Machinery sub-industry, where equipment makers typically rely on a mix of brand-specific dealer networks and replacement-parts revenue to support cyclical demand from row-crop and livestock producers.
- Falling crop prices weaken North American farm equipment demand
- Fendt premium tractor sales lift European operating margins
- PTx precision agriculture acquisitions expand technology revenue mix
| Net Income: 533.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.53% < 20% (prev 17.94%; Δ -5.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 589.6m > Net Income 533.4m |
| Net Debt (2.27b) to EBITDA (1.06b): 2.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.2m) vs 12m ago -4.69% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.01% > 18% (prev 23.90%; Δ 1.12% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 85.57% > 50% (prev 82.63%; Δ 2.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 715.8m / Interest Expense TTM 61.9m) |
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 5.34b - Total Current Liabilities 4.04b) / Total Assets 11.9b |
| B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 5.80b / Total Assets 11.9b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 715.8m / Avg Total Assets 12.1b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 4.08b / Total Liabilities 7.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.28 = A |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.23b/1.21b, Revenue 10.3b/10.2b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 23.90% / 25.01%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 10.3b / 10.2b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 533.4m - CFO 589.6m) / TA 11.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 118.02 with a total of 796,348 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.48%, over one month by +6.38%, over three months by -0.41% and over the past year by +10.43%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 108.10 (which is 8.4% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
AGCO has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AGCO.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 124.5 | 5.5% |
P/E Trailing = 16.6874
P/E Forward = 15.7729
P/S = 0.8164
P/B = 2.0577
P/EG = 0.9492
Revenue TTM = 10.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 715.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 546.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.84b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.18b + ST Debt 546.7m) + Leases 111.9m
Net Debt = 2.27b USD (calculated: Debt 2.84b - CCE 573.4m)
Enterprise Value = 10.7b USD (8.45b + Debt 2.84b - CCE 573.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.56 (Ebit TTM 715.8m / Interest Expense TTM 61.9m)
EV/FCF = 32.44x (Enterprise Value 10.7b / FCF TTM 330.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.08% (FCF TTM 330.3m / Enterprise Value 10.7b)
FCF Margin = 3.19% (FCF TTM 330.3m / Revenue TTM 10.3b)
Net Margin = 5.15% (Net Income TTM 533.4m / Revenue TTM 10.3b)
Gross Margin = 25.01% ((Revenue TTM 10.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.75% (prev 24.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 10.7b / Total Assets 11.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.18% (Interest Expense 61.9m / Debt 2.84b)
Taxrate = 24.65% (171.1m / 694.2m)
NOPAT = 539.4m (EBIT 715.8m * (1 - 24.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 5.34b / Total Current Liabilities 4.04b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 2.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.15 (Net Debt 2.27b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = 6.86 (Net Debt 2.27b / FCF TTM 330.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.41% (Net Income 533.4m / Total Assets 11.9b)
RoE = 12.45% (Net Income TTM 533.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.29b)
RoCE = 11.07% (EBIT 715.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.29b + L.T.Debt 2.18b))
RoIC = 7.25% (NOPAT 539.4m / Invested Capital 7.44b)
WACC = 7.06% (E(8.45b)/V(11.3b) * Re(8.88%) + D(2.84b)/V(11.3b) * Rd(2.18%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -75.07 | Cagr: -2.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈473.1m ; Y1≈414.8m ; Y5≈335.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 44.47 (EV 5.38b - Net Debt 2.27b = Equity 3.11b / Shares 70.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -88.82 | EPS CAGR: -37.93% | SUE: -0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.68 | Revenue CAGR: -14.43% | SUE: -0.69 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-81% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.62 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-82% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.31 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+45.8% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -88% (up=1, down=36)