WING Stock Analysis: Wingstop | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.675m USD | 12M Return: -52.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 164M
EPS Trend: 96.4%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 97.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is a Dallas, Texas-based restaurant operator founded in 1994 that franchises and operates locations under the Wingstop brand across the United States and international markets, including Australia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, and The Netherlands. Its menu centers on chicken wings-offered in classic, boneless, and tender varieties with hand-sauced-and-tossed preparation-alongside chicken sandwiches, fries, and side items such as hand-cut carrots and celery, all cooked to order.
Operating within the Consumer Discretionary sectors restaurants sub-industry, Wingstop follows an asset-light, franchise-driven business model that generates revenue through royalty fees, advertising contributions, and sales from company-operated stores, a structure common among quick-service and fast-casual chicken concepts. The company has been publicly traded since its 2015 IPO.
- Domestic same-store sales accelerate on digital and loyalty growth
- Chicken wing commodity costs pressure restaurant-level margins
- International unit expansion in Europe and Middle East drives revenue growth
| Net Income: 111.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.94% < 20% (prev 35.82%; Δ -18.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 189.2m > Net Income 111.9m |
| Net Debt (1.20b) to EBITDA (216.9m): 5.54 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.6m) vs 12m ago -3.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 82.58% > 18% (prev 57.07%; Δ 25.51% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 105.4% > 50% (prev 93.44%; Δ 12.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 191.2m / Interest Expense TTM 36.6m) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 216.9m - Total Current Liabilities 96.7m) / Total Assets 648.9m |
| B: -1.24 (Retained Earnings -804.3m / Total Assets 648.9m) |
| C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 191.2m / Avg Total Assets 672.8m) |
| D: -0.55 (Book Value of Equity -799.2m / Total Liabilities 1.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.50 = CCC |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 23.5m/18.5m, Revenue 709.5m/651.1m) |
| GMI: 0.69 (GM 57.07% / 82.58%) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 709.5m / 651.1m) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 111.9m - CFO 189.2m) / TA 648.9m) |
| Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 137.24 with a total of 1,106,798 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.74%, over one month by -17.06%, over three months by -22.59% and over the past year by -52.30%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 126.30 (which is 8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Wingstop has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy WING.
- StrongBuy: 20
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 231.4 | 68.6% |
P/E Trailing = 34.8708
P/E Forward = 31.25
P/S = 5.1799
P/EG = 2.0881
Revenue TTM = 709.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 191.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 216.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 60.6m
Net Debt = 1.20b USD (calculated: Debt 1.33b - CCE 128.8m)
Enterprise Value = 4.88b USD (3.68b + Debt 1.33b - CCE 128.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.22 (Ebit TTM 191.2m / Interest Expense TTM 36.6m)
EV/FCF = 36.95x (Enterprise Value 4.88b / FCF TTM 132.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.71% (FCF TTM 132.0m / Enterprise Value 4.88b)
FCF Margin = 18.61% (FCF TTM 132.0m / Revenue TTM 709.5m)
Net Margin = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 111.9m / Revenue TTM 709.5m)
Gross Margin = 82.58% ((Revenue TTM 709.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 123.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 82.82% (prev 82.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.52 (Enterprise Value 4.88b / Total Assets 648.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.75% (Interest Expense 36.6m / Debt 1.33b)
Taxrate = 27.62% (42.7m / 154.6m)
NOPAT = 138.4m (EBIT 191.2m * (1 - 27.62%))
Current Ratio = 2.24 (Total Current Assets 216.9m / Total Current Liabilities 96.7m)
Debt / Equity = -1.67 (negative equity) (Debt 1.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -799.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.54 (Net Debt 1.20b / EBITDA 216.9m)
Debt / FCF = 9.11 (Net Debt 1.20b / FCF TTM 132.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -731.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.63% (Net Income 111.9m / Total Assets 648.9m)
RoE = -15.30% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 111.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -731.1m)
RoCE = 39.94% (EBIT 191.2m / Capital Employed (Equity -731.1m + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
RoIC = 26.61% (NOPAT 138.4m / Invested Capital 520.1m)
WACC = 8.45% (E(3.68b)/V(5.01b) * Re(10.79%) + D(1.33b)/V(5.01b) * Rd(2.75%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.57 | Cagr: -2.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.64% ; FCFF base≈115.0m ; Y1≈131.8m ; Y5≈194.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 61.19 (EV 2.87b - Net Debt 1.20b = Equity 1.67b / Shares 27.2m; r=8.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.44 | EPS CAGR: 27.51% | SUE: 1.68 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 97.28 | Revenue CAGR: 23.28% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=-0.75% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=27
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.18 | Chg30d=-0.45% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.56 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+11.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.57 | Chg30d=-0.44% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+22.1% | GrowthRev=+15.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=3, down=9)