UVSP Stock Analysis: Univest Pennsylvania | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.153m USD | 12M Return: 41.5% | US9152711001 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Banking, Lending, Wealth Management, Insurance Brokerage
Total Rating 53
Safety 63
Buy Signal 0.10
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +6.1
Market Cap: 1.15B
Avg Turnover: 9.43M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility19.7%
VaR 5th Pctl3.18%
VaR vs Median-2.17%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.42
Rel. Str. IBD74.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group70.8
Character TTM
Beta0.630
Beta Downside0.520
Hurst Exponent0.472
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.91%
CAGR/Max DD1.87
CAGR/Mean DD7.52
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UVSP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.7, "2021-12": 0.59, "2022-03": 0.68, "2022-06": 0.45, "2022-09": 0.69, "2022-12": 0.81, "2023-03": 0.71, "2023-06": 0.61, "2023-09": 0.58, "2023-12": 0.56, "2024-03": 0.6, "2024-06": 0.61, "2024-09": 0.63, "2024-12": 0.65, "2025-03": 0.73, "2025-06": 0.69, "2025-09": 0.86, "2025-12": 0.79, "2026-03": 0.98, "2026-06": 0.82,
EPS CAGR: 12.99%
EPS Trend: 82.9%
Last SUE: -0.85
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of UVSP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 74.123, 2021-12: 71.454, 2022-03: 71.668, 2022-06: 75.715, 2022-09: 84.836, 2022-12: 97.859, 2023-03: 102.933, 2023-06: 109.972, 2023-09: 115.797, 2023-12: 119.852, 2024-03: 124.204, 2024-06: 120.812, 2024-09: 126.588, 2024-12: 128.806, 2025-03: 125.831, 2025-06: 127.207, 2025-09: 131.571, 2025-12: 133.738, 2026-03: 129.585, 2026-06: 126.235,
Rev. CAGR: 6.78%
Rev. Trend: 92.8%
Last SUE: 0.57
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.1% 18
Feb -1.0% 18
Mar -7.2% 9
Apr +1.9% 27
May -1.4% 5
Jun +2.6% 21
Jul -0.7% 18
Aug -0.1% 7
Sep -3.8% 59
Oct -0.7% 26
Nov +5.0% 30
Dec +2.3% 25

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UVSP Univest Pennsylvania

Univest Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: UVSP) is a U.S. bank holding company that operates Univest Bank and Trust Co. and conducts its business through three core segments: Banking, Wealth Management, and Insurance. Its Banking segment serves individuals, businesses, municipalities, and non-profit organizations with deposit services, loan origination, mortgage banking, and equipment lease financing. The Wealth Management segment provides investment advisory, financial planning, trust, and brokerage services to private clients and institutional accounts, while the Insurance segment operates as a full-service brokerage offering commercial and personal property/casualty coverage, employee benefits, and HR consulting.

As a regional bank, Univest follows a community banking model, generating revenue primarily from net interest income on loans and deposits, supplemented by non-interest fee income from its wealth and insurance operations-a diversification strategy common among mid-sized regional banks seeking to reduce dependence on spread-based earnings. Founded in 1876 and headquartered in Souderton, Pennsylvania, the company was renamed from Univest Corporation of Pennsylvania to Univest Financial Corporation in January 2019.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin pressured by rising deposit costs
  • Loan growth slows amid commercial real estate weakness
  • Fee income from wealth and insurance diversifies revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 98.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.02 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.30k% < 20% (prev -1.22k%; Δ -79.82% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 108.8m > Net Income 98.4m
Net Debt (217.1m) to EBITDA (128.1m): 1.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (28.0m) vs 12m ago -3.64% < -2%
Gross Margin: 63.54% > 18% (prev 58.73%; Δ 4.81% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 6.46% > 50% (prev 6.40%; Δ 0.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.67 > 6 (EBIT TTM 122.8m / Interest Expense TTM 182.4m)
Altman Z'' -4.92
A: -0.82 (Total Current Assets 79.5m - Total Current Liabilities 6.84b) / Total Assets 8.20b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 628.3m / Total Assets 8.20b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 122.8m / Avg Total Assets 8.07b)
D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 954.3m / Total Liabilities 7.25b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.92 = D
What is the price of UVSP shares?

As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.16 with a total of 222,335 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.75%, over one month by +1.57%, over three months by -2.54% and over the past year by +41.53%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 41.10 (which is 2.5% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is UVSP a buy, sell or hold?

Univest Pennsylvania has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold UVSP.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the UVSP price?
Analysts Target Price 45.5 7.9%
Univest Pennsylvania (UVSP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.15b (1.15b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.9742
P/E Forward = 13.0208
P/S = 3.4939
P/B = 1.1967
P/EG = 1.3027
Revenue TTM = 521.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 122.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 128.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 224.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 18.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 296.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.9m
Net Debt = 217.1m USD (calculated: Debt 296.5m - CCE 79.5m)
Enterprise Value = 1.37b USD (1.15b + Debt 296.5m - CCE 79.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.67 (Ebit TTM 122.8m / Interest Expense TTM 182.4m)
EV/FCF = 13.31x (Enterprise Value 1.37b / FCF TTM 102.9m)
FCF Yield = 7.51% (FCF TTM 102.9m / Enterprise Value 1.37b)
FCF Margin = 19.74% (FCF TTM 102.9m / Revenue TTM 521.1m)
Net Margin = 18.89% (Net Income TTM 98.4m / Revenue TTM 521.1m)
Gross Margin = 63.54% ((Revenue TTM 521.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 190.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.71% (prev 65.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.17 (Enterprise Value 1.37b / Total Assets 8.20b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 61.49% (Interest Expense 182.4m / Debt 296.5m)
 Taxrate = 19.86% (24.4m / 122.8m)
NOPAT = 98.4m (EBIT 122.8m * (1 - 19.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 79.5m / Total Current Liabilities 6.84b)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 296.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 954.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.69 (Net Debt 217.1m / EBITDA 128.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.11 (Net Debt 217.1m / FCF TTM 102.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 945.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.22% (Net Income 98.4m / Total Assets 8.20b)
RoE = 10.41% (Net Income TTM 98.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 945.7m)
RoCE = 10.50% (EBIT 122.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 945.7m + L.T.Debt 224.0m))
RoIC = 1.20% (NOPAT 98.4m / Invested Capital 8.18b)
WACC = 6.52% (E(1.15b)/V(1.45b) * Re(8.20%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.49 | Cagr: -2.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.65% ; FCFF base≈102.2m ; Y1≈104.0m ; Y5≈113.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.77 (EV 1.76b - Net Debt 217.1m = Equity 1.54b / Shares 27.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 1.61% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 82.85 | EPS CAGR: 12.99% | SUE: -0.85 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 92.80 | Revenue CAGR: 6.78% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.81 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+22.7% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.93 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+3.2% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +75% (up=9, down=0)