SHOE Stock Analysis: Shoe Station | NASDAQ
Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 355m USD | 12M Return: -37.7% | US8248891090 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 17.3M
EPS Trend: -89.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -78.4%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Shoe Station Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SHOE) is a family footwear retailer operating in the United States, offering a broad assortment of dress, casual, sandal, boot, and athletic footwear, along with non-athletic styles and accessories for men, women, and children. The company runs a multi-channel retail model, generating revenue through both brick-and-mortar stores and digital platforms including www.shoecarnival.com, www.shoestation.com, and related mobile applications.
The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Fort Mill, South Carolina. It previously operated under the name Shoe Carnival, Inc. before rebranding to Shoe Station Group Inc. in June 2026.
As a small-cap player in the Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail sector, Shoe Station Group competes in a fragmented U.S. footwear market alongside specialty chains, department stores, and direct-to-consumer brands, where success typically depends on seasonal inventory turnover, brand mix, and store productivity.
- Tariff costs on imported footwear pressure gross margins
- Back-to-school comparable sales drive quarterly earnings results
- Consumer discretionary spending weakness pressures store traffic and ticket size
| Net Income: 24.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 40.19% < 20% (prev 36.19%; Δ 4.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 101.8m > Net Income 24.3m |
| Net Debt (253.4m) to EBITDA (66.2m): 3.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.2m) vs 12m ago -0.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.47% > 18% (prev 36.11%; Δ -1.64% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 94.84% > 50% (prev 99.03%; Δ -4.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 79.24 > 6 (EBIT TTM 31.1m / Interest Expense TTM 393k) |
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 590.7m - Total Current Liabilities 146.2m) / Total Assets 1.17b |
| B: 0.69 (Retained Earnings 799.9m / Total Assets 1.17b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 31.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.17b) |
| D: 1.38 (Book Value of Equity 676.8m / Total Liabilities 490.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.36 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.77 (Receivables 6.27m/8.46m, Revenue 1.11b/1.15b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 36.11% / 34.47%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 1.11b / 1.15b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 24.3m - CFO 101.8m) / TA 1.17b) |
| Beneish M = -3.22 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.00 with a total of 1,424,003 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.54%, over one month by -9.15%, over three months by -15.82% and over the past year by -37.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.10 (which is 6.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Shoe Station has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 14.8523
P/E Forward = 15.5763
P/S = 0.3212
P/B = 0.5322
P/EG = 0.9544
Revenue TTM = 1.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 66.2m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 58.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 371.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) (leases 354.6m already included)
Net Debt = 253.4m USD (calculated: Debt 371.4m - CCE 118.0m)
Enterprise Value = 608.7m USD (355.3m + Debt 371.4m - CCE 118.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 79.24 (Ebit TTM 31.1m / Interest Expense TTM 393k)
EV/FCF = 9.15x (Enterprise Value 608.7m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 10.93% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Enterprise Value 608.7m)
FCF Margin = 6.02% (FCF TTM 66.5m / Revenue TTM 1.11b)
Net Margin = 2.20% (Net Income TTM 24.3m / Revenue TTM 1.11b)
Gross Margin = 34.47% ((Revenue TTM 1.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 725.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.87% (prev 33.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.52 (Enterprise Value 608.7m / Total Assets 1.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 393k / Debt 371.4m)
Taxrate = 30.36% (10.6m / 34.9m)
NOPAT = 21.7m (EBIT 31.1m * (1 - 30.36%))
Current Ratio = 4.04 (Total Current Assets 590.7m / Total Current Liabilities 146.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 371.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 676.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.83 (Net Debt 253.4m / EBITDA 66.2m)
Debt / FCF = 3.81 (Net Debt 253.4m / FCF TTM 66.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 680.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.09% (Net Income 24.3m / Total Assets 1.17b)
RoE = 3.57% (Net Income TTM 24.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 680.8m)
RoCE = 3.05% (EBIT 31.1m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.17b - Current Liab 146.2m))
RoIC = 2.12% (NOPAT 21.7m / Invested Capital 1.02b)
WACC = 4.78% (E(355.3m)/V(726.7m) * Re(9.69%) + D(371.4m)/V(726.7m) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.73 | Cagr: -0.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈49.4m ; Y1≈56.6m ; Y5≈83.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.81 (EV 1.25b - Net Debt 253.4m = Equity 1.00b / Shares 27.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.66 | EPS CAGR: -21.11% | SUE: -2.60 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -78.45 | Revenue CAGR: -2.84% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-27.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-43.59% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-55.6% | GrowthRev=-2.3%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.44 | Chg30d=-22.06% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+70.4% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=0, down=2)