RYAAY Stock Analysis: Ryanair Holdings | NASDAQ
Airlines | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 30.532m USD | 12M Return: -6.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 108M
EPS Trend: 2.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 96.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ryanair Holdings plc is a Dublin-headquartered (Swords, Ireland) scheduled-passenger airline operator incorporated in 1996 and listed on NASDAQ under the ticker RYAAY. It runs passenger services across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and other international markets, primarily within Europe.
Beyond core flights, the group derives revenue from a broad set of ancillary services, including in-flight sales of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise, plus online-marketed car hire, travel insurance, accommodation, car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, and attractions. It also provides aircraft and passenger handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services to third parties, and sells gift vouchers through its website and mobile app.
Ryanair operates within the GICS Passenger Airlines sub-industry under the broader Industrials sector. Its model is characteristic of European low-cost carriers, which typically rely on high aircraft utilization, a single-aisle point-to-point network, and a meaningful contribution from non-ticket ancillary revenue to support low base fares.
- Ancillary revenue growth lifts per-passenger margins
- Jet fuel costs and hedging shape quarterly earnings
- Wizz Air competition pressures short-haul European fares
| Net Income: 1.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -10.56% < 20% (prev -22.73%; Δ 12.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 3.45b > Net Income 1.88b |
| Net Debt (-2.48b) to EBITDA (3.59b): -0.69 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (525.0m) vs 12m ago -1.91% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.85% > 18% (prev 23.82%; Δ -0.97% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 86.27% > 50% (prev 81.10%; Δ 5.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 56.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.14b / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 6.20b - Total Current Liabilities 7.85b) / Total Assets 18.2b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 7.15b / Total Assets 18.2b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 2.14b / Avg Total Assets 18.1b) |
| D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 9.48b / Total Liabilities 8.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.63 = A |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 95.8m/96.9m, Revenue 15.6b/14.7b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 23.82% / 22.85%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 15.6b / 14.7b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 1.88b - CFO 3.45b) / TA 18.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 57.47 with a total of 1,860,751 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.44%, over one month by -10.65%, over three months by +3.49% and over the past year by -6.13%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 54.90 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Ryanair Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RYAAY.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 76.6 | 33.2% |
Market Cap EUR = 26.8b (30.5b USD * 0.8765 USD.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 14.4828
P/E Forward = 13.3333
P/S = 1.9583
P/B = 2.8337
P/EG = 4.0174
Revenue TTM = 15.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.14b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.59b EUR
Long Term Debt = 38.3m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.8m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 325.5m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 143.6m
Net Debt = -2.48b EUR (calculated: Debt 325.5m - CCE 2.80b)
Enterprise Value = 24.3b EUR (26.8b + Debt 325.5m - CCE 2.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 56.59 (Ebit TTM 2.14b / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.21x (Enterprise Value 24.3b / FCF TTM 1.71b)
FCF Yield = 7.04% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Enterprise Value 24.3b)
FCF Margin = 10.93% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 15.6b)
Net Margin = 12.06% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Revenue TTM 15.6b)
Gross Margin = 22.85% ((Revenue TTM 15.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.76% (prev -12.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 24.3b / Total Assets 18.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.61% (Interest Expense 37.8m / Debt 325.5m)
Taxrate = 9.28% (192.9m / 2.08b)
NOPAT = 1.94b (EBIT 2.14b * (1 - 9.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 6.20b / Total Current Liabilities 7.85b)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 325.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -2.48b / EBITDA 3.59b)
Debt / FCF = -1.45 (Net Debt -2.48b / FCF TTM 1.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.40% (Net Income 1.88b / Total Assets 18.2b)
RoE = 20.19% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.34b)
RoCE = 22.82% (EBIT 2.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.34b + L.T.Debt 38.3m))
RoIC = 20.28% (NOPAT 1.94b / Invested Capital 9.57b)
WACC = 7.87% (E(26.8b)/V(27.1b) * Re(7.84%) + D(325.5m)/V(27.1b) * Rd(11.61%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 7.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.00 | Cagr: -3.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.71b ; Y1≈1.72b ; Y5≈1.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.23 (EV 28.3b - Net Debt -2.48b = Equity 30.8b / Shares 519.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 1.96 | EPS CAGR: 0.73% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.40 | Revenue CAGR: 7.12% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.86 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=+15.88% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.58 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-7.2% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=5.27 | Chg30d=-4.64% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+14.9% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)