POOL Stock Analysis: Pool | NASDAQ

Industrial Distribution | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.681m USD | 12M Return: -41.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Maintenance Supplies, Replacement Parts, Building Materials, Irrigation Equipment
Total Rating 44
Safety 83
Buy Signal -0.61
Industrial Distribution
Industry Rotation: +0.4
Market Cap: 6.68B
Avg Turnover: 162M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.28%
VaR vs Median0.48%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.52
Rel. Str. IBD4.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group5.3
Character TTM
Beta0.733
Beta Downside1.038
Hurst Exponent0.710
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD56.77%
CAGR/Max DD-0.36
CAGR/Mean DD-0.91
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of POOL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 6.18, "2021-09": 4.4, "2021-12": 2.63, "2022-03": 4.23, "2022-06": 7.59, "2022-09": 4.76, "2022-12": 1.82, "2023-03": 2.46, "2023-06": 5.89, "2023-09": 3.5, "2023-12": 1.32, "2024-03": 1.85, "2024-06": 4.98, "2024-09": 3.27, "2024-12": 0.97, "2025-03": 1.32, "2025-06": 5.17, "2025-09": 3.39, "2025-12": 0.84, "2026-03": 1.43, "2026-06": 5.38,
EPS CAGR: -7.81%
EPS Trend: -84.0%
Last SUE: 0.79
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of POOL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1787.833, 2021-09: 1411.448, 2021-12: 1035.557, 2022-03: 1412.65, 2022-06: 2055.818, 2022-09: 1615.339, 2022-12: 1095.92, 2023-03: 1206.774, 2023-06: 1857.363, 2023-09: 1474.407, 2023-12: 1003.05, 2024-03: 1120.81, 2024-06: 1769.784, 2024-09: 1432.879, 2024-12: 987.479, 2025-03: 1071.526, 2025-06: 1784.53, 2025-09: 1451.131, 2025-12: 982.209, 2026-03: 1138.014, 2026-06: 1822.938,
Rev. CAGR: -1.54%
Rev. Trend: -66.2%
Last SUE: 0.20
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.3% 0
Feb -1.8% 14
Mar -0.3% 16
Apr +0.8% 0
May -1.1% 17
Jun -0.1% 2
Jul +4.5% 27
Aug +0.1% 5
Sep -0.5% 20
Oct -0.4% 21
Nov +3.5% 24
Dec -1.4% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: POOL Pool

Pool Corporation (POOL) is a U.S.-headquartered distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, irrigation products, and landscape maintenance goods, operating domestically and internationally. The company sources products from manufacturers and resells them to swimming pool remodelers and builders, specialty retailers, pool repair and service businesses, irrigation and landscape contractors, and commercial pool operators. Its product mix spans maintenance chemicals and accessories, repair and replacement parts, building materials for pool construction, irrigation components, commercial pool equipment, fiberglass pools, hot tubs, and outdoor living products such as grills.

Pool Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Covington, Louisiana. It trades on NASDAQ as a mid-cap stock within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS sub-industry: Distributors). As a specialty distributor, the company operates a B2B model focused on a fragmented pool and landscape contractor customer base, distributing across multiple product categories rather than manufacturing branded goods itself.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Housing market weakness pressures new pool construction and replacement demand
  • Chemical and freight inflation squeezes distribution gross margins
  • Aggressive share repurchases and dividend growth support earnings per share
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 399.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.43 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 24.29% < 20% (prev 23.22%; Δ 1.07% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 732.5m > Net Income 399.9m
Net Debt (2.01b) to EBITDA (631.9m): 3.18 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.67 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (36.3m) vs 12m ago -3.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.58% > 18% (prev 29.46%; Δ 0.12% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 145.2% > 50% (prev 143.7%; Δ 1.46% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM 580.3m / Interest Expense TTM 50.0m)
Altman Z'' 4.32
A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 2.09b - Total Current Liabilities 784.0m) / Total Assets 3.76b
B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 520.7m / Total Assets 3.76b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 580.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.72b)
D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 1.26b / Total Liabilities 2.50b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.32 = AA
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 637.9m/576.8m, Revenue 5.39b/5.28b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 29.46% / 29.58%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.29)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 5.39b / 5.28b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 399.9m - CFO 732.5m) / TA 3.76b)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of POOL shares?

As of July 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 184.61 with a total of 952,255 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.17%, over one month by -12.76%, over three months by -17.44% and over the past year by -41.29%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 169.80 (which is 8% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is POOL a buy, sell or hold?

Pool has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69. Therefore, it is recommended to hold POOL.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the POOL price?
Analysts Target Price 252.3 36.7%
Pool (POOL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.68b (6.68b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.0265
P/E Forward = 18.1818
P/S = 1.2474
P/B = 6.3091
P/EG = 1.6019
Revenue TTM = 5.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 580.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 631.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 124.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 343.6m
Net Debt = 2.01b USD (calculated: Debt 2.04b - CCE 28.8m)
Enterprise Value = 8.69b USD (6.68b + Debt 2.04b - CCE 28.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.60 (Ebit TTM 580.3m / Interest Expense TTM 50.0m)
EV/FCF = 14.23x (Enterprise Value 8.69b / FCF TTM 610.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.03% (FCF TTM 610.6m / Enterprise Value 8.69b)
FCF Margin = 11.32% (FCF TTM 610.6m / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Net Margin = 7.41% (Net Income TTM 399.9m / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Gross Margin = 29.58% ((Revenue TTM 5.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.80b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.66% (prev 28.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.31 (Enterprise Value 8.69b / Total Assets 3.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.45% (Interest Expense 50.0m / Debt 2.04b)
Taxrate = 24.59% (130.4m / 530.3m)
NOPAT = 437.6m (EBIT 580.3m * (1 - 24.59%))
Current Ratio = 2.67 (Total Current Assets 2.09b / Total Current Liabilities 784.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.62 (Debt 2.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.18 (Net Debt 2.01b / EBITDA 631.9m)
Debt / FCF = 3.29 (Net Debt 2.01b / FCF TTM 610.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.76% (Net Income 399.9m / Total Assets 3.76b)
RoE = 32.26% (Net Income TTM 399.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.24b)
RoCE = 23.92% (EBIT 580.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.24b + L.T.Debt 1.19b))
RoIC = 14.25% (NOPAT 437.6m / Invested Capital 3.07b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(6.68b)/V(8.72b) * Re(8.56%) + D(2.04b)/V(8.72b) * Rd(2.45%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.42 | Cagr: -2.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈539.8m ; Y1≈618.8m ; Y5≈910.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 320.9 (EV 13.7b - Net Debt 2.01b = Equity 11.7b / Shares 36.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -84.01 | EPS CAGR: -7.81% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.18 | Revenue CAGR: -1.54% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.47 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+7% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.07 | Chg30d=-0.08% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+3.1% | GrowthRev=+2.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.00 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+8.5% | GrowthRev=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=21, down=9)