MAR Stock Analysis: Marriott International | NASDAQ
Lodging | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 87.096m USD | 12M Return: 36.1% | US5719032022 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 516M
EPS Trend: 52.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) is a global lodging company that operates, franchises, and licenses hotels, residences, timeshares, and other lodging properties across the U.S. & Canada, Europe, the Middle East & Africa, Greater China, Asia Pacific, and other international markets. Its portfolio spans more than 30 brands, ranging from luxury flagships such as The Ritz-Carlton, St. Regis, JW Marriott, and Bvlgari, through premium full-service names like Marriott Hotels, Sheraton, and Westin, to select-service and lifestyle brands including Courtyard, Fairfield, Aloft, Moxy, and Residence Inn. Beyond traditional hotels, the company also runs branded residences, timeshares, and yachts. Founded in 1927 and headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Marriott operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sub-industry) and is recognized for an asset-light business model that emphasizes franchising and management contracts over direct real estate ownership, allowing it to scale globally while limiting capital expenditure on property.
- RevPAR growth in Greater China accelerates post-pandemic recovery
- Asset-light franchise model expands margins with Bonvoy loyalty driving direct bookings
- Luxury brand portfolio captures premium pricing as US travel demand stays resilient
| Net Income: 2.59b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -13.67% < 20% (prev -17.69%; Δ 4.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 3.73b > Net Income 2.59b |
| Net Debt (18.2b) to EBITDA (4.95b): 3.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (269.4m) vs 12m ago -1.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.16% > 18% (prev 21.29%; Δ -1.13% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.08% > 50% (prev 93.96%; Δ 3.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.25b / Interest Expense TTM 849.0m) |
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 4.23b - Total Current Liabilities 7.90b) / Total Assets 28.1b |
| B: 0.69 (Retained Earnings 19.5b / Total Assets 28.1b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 4.25b / Avg Total Assets 27.7b) |
| D: -0.14 (Book Value of Equity -4.53b / Total Liabilities 32.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.28 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 3.34b/2.98b, Revenue 26.9b/25.7b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 21.29% / 20.16%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.76) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 26.9b / 25.7b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.59b - CFO 3.73b) / TA 28.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 352.03 with a total of 1,343,880 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.87%, over one month by -1.60%, over three months by -6.91% and over the past year by +36.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 338.70 (which is 3.8% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Marriott International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.59. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MAR.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 380.8 | 8.2% |
P/E Trailing = 34.7193
P/E Forward = 25.3165
P/S = 11.7936
P/B = 443.6338
P/EG = 1.6755
Revenue TTM = 26.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 16.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 460.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 859.0m
Net Debt = 18.2b USD (calculated: Debt 18.6b - CCE 462.0m)
Enterprise Value = 105b USD (87.1b + Debt 18.6b - CCE 462.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.01 (Ebit TTM 4.25b / Interest Expense TTM 849.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.61x (Enterprise Value 105b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
FCF Yield = 2.98% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Enterprise Value 105b)
FCF Margin = 11.64% (FCF TTM 3.13b / Revenue TTM 26.9b)
Net Margin = 9.62% (Net Income TTM 2.59b / Revenue TTM 26.9b)
Gross Margin = 20.16% ((Revenue TTM 26.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.98% (prev 20.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.75 (Enterprise Value 105b / Total Assets 28.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.56% (Interest Expense 849.0m / Debt 18.6b)
Taxrate = 9.63% (335.0m / 3.48b)
NOPAT = 3.84b (EBIT 4.25b * (1 - 9.63%))
Current Ratio = 0.53 (Total Current Assets 4.23b / Total Current Liabilities 7.90b)
Debt / Equity = -4.12 (negative equity) (Debt 18.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -4.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.67 (Net Debt 18.2b / EBITDA 4.95b)
Debt / FCF = 5.80 (Net Debt 18.2b / FCF TTM 3.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.33% (Net Income 2.59b / Total Assets 28.1b)
RoE = -66.73% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.59b / Total Stockholder Equity -3.88b)
RoCE = 33.79% (EBIT 4.25b / Capital Employed (Equity -3.88b + L.T.Debt 16.5b))
RoIC = 19.03% (NOPAT 3.84b / Invested Capital 20.2b)
WACC = 7.79% (E(87.1b)/V(106b) * Re(8.57%) + D(18.6b)/V(106b) * Rd(4.56%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 8.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.83 | Cagr: -3.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.55b ; Y1≈2.93b ; Y5≈4.31b
[DCF] Fair Price = 178.8 (EV 64.8b - Net Debt 18.2b = Equity 46.6b / Shares 260.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 52.24 | EPS CAGR: 3.98% | SUE: 1.83 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.85 | Revenue CAGR: 5.02% | SUE: -2.37 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=-30% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.72 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=+47% | GrowthEPS=+17.0% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.16 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+32% | GrowthEPS=+12.2% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +28% (up=24, down=13)